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Everything posted by BadAtGender
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Weekend Actuals: M:I-RN - $28.5m | F4 - $25.7m
BadAtGender replied to Bishop54's topic in Numbers and Data
Huh. Bellevue. Nice enough theater, I suppose, but... Bellevue. (Still nice to see some WA presence, though.) -
The plot is pretty straightforward. It's a survival story. A lot of the elements are going to be similar to other high concept survival stories: Apollo 13, Gravity, Castaway, etc. The thing about it is the execution of the plot, not the plot itself. Damon's character (if he's like he is in the novel) is very, very funny, in spite of the tremendously horrible situation he's stuck in. That's the thing I worry about most. Scott's recent films seem particularly devoid of humor. If you take that out, this is going to be a slog to view.
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What? I can't like it? I can see obvious problems with the film. I can even see what probably caused all those problems. But I personally enjoyed it. It's fine if others don't feel the same way.
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Not perfect. There's a bit of a focus problem. But it's conceptually interesting. The actors are pretty great. Considerably better than Age of Ultron.
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1) Will F4 open to more than 45 million? NO 2) Will F4 make at least 4m in sneaks? NO 3) Will Rogue Nation drop more than 51% for the weekend? YES 4) Will Rogue Nation jump at least 35% on Saturday? YES 5) Will Pixels drop at least 47.5%? YES 6) Will Shaun the Sheep place in the top 7? YES 7) Will Inside Out stay in the top 10?NO 8) Will Jurassic World finish above Mr. Holmes? NO 9) Will The Gift open to more than 10 million? NO 10) Will Minions finish above Ant-Man? YES 11) Will any movie jump at least 78% on Friday? NO 12) Will Paper Towns pass 31.5 million in total gross? YES 10/12 3000 11/12 5000 12/12 7000 What finishes in spots: 3 Minions 4 Vacation 5 Ant-Man 6 The Gift 7 Shaun the Sheep 2000 each 5000 bonus if you get all 5 correct Bonus 1: What is Rogue Nations’ percentage drop (specify to three decimal places)? 5000 53.375 Bonus 2: What will F4 make on OD (including sneaks)? 5000 16.807 Bonus 3: What will be F4’s WW gross (by Sunday estimates)? 5000 93.400
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This isn't specifically BSG related, but might be of interest I've been thinking about our forum games, recently. Right now we've got BSG, which is massive and takes up about 4-5 months of time (depending on how dedicated one is to the the pre-season). And the Winter Game covers November/December, right? I've gotten the sense that these games provide a lot of investment in the forums, and it's a bit of a shame that there's a bit of a dead zone between the end of the Winter Game and the start of the BSG. If there's some huge movie business, that can suffice to keep interest up, but it did feel like things got pretty light for a while. I've been thinking about a game format that I'd like to try, probably running for about two months from about MLK to Easter to fill in the gap. I want it to be something that's a bit easier to get into, without the long prep-time, to serve as a sort of appetizer for the main course that is the BSG. But since I'm not sure if it'd work at all, I though it might be good to do a test run of it for about a month in September/October. Would anyone be interested in trying it out? I'm still working out the details, but if there's sufficient interest, I can start a thread for discussion on the format.
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Answer key: 1) Will Vacation drop more than 25% on Thursday? YES 2) Will Mission Impossible make more than 60 million? NO 3) Will MI5 make more than 5 million from previews? NO 4) Will Pixels finish with more than Ant-Man? NO 5) Will Minions fall more than 50%? NO 6) Will Vacation make more than 30 million for the 5 day? NO 7) Will JW increase more than 48% on Saturday? YES 8) Will IO finish ahead of JW by more than half a million? YES 9) Will Trainwreck drop less than 30%? NO 10) Will any film increase more than 60% on Friday? YES 11) Will any film increase on Thursday? YES 12) Will Papertowns drop more than 58%? YES 10/12 3000 11/12 4000 12/12 6000 What film finishes in spots: 5 Pixels 7 Southpaw 9 Inside Out 11 Mr Holmes 2000 each and 3000 bonus for all 4 right Bonus 1: What will Ant-Man and Minions combine to make? 5000 25,190,019 Bonus 2: What will MI5 gross WW? 10,000 for closest, 7000 for second, 3000 for third closest. 121m, if we're just going by the estimates. Narnia: 1) Will MI5 have an opening day of more than 20 million? YES 2) Will Paper Towns increase on Saturday? YES 3) Will Southpaw increase more than 5% on Thursday? NO 4) Will JW make more than 9 million WW according to Rentrak on Sunday? NO Damienroc 1) Will Vacation come within 20 million of MI5, if you use its 5 day to MI5's 3 day? NO 2) Will IO increase more than 55% on Friday? NO 3) Will any film increase more than 60% on Saturday (top 11 only) NO 4) Will any film fall more than 29% on Sunday (top 11 only) NO (...) Chewy: 1) Will Ant-Man drop more than 45%? YES 2) Will Jurassic World have all three days over 1.5 million? NO 3) Will Trainwreck fall less than 35% on Saturday compared to last Saturday? NO 4) Will The Vatican Tapes fall more than 58%? YES
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This information isn't readily available on BOM. The lists there stop at 10-day grosses. It's pretty awesome that e1828 has collated it together for us to see, and you can get a cool picture of how great the late legs for some of these films are. After the day 52 point, Titanic grossed another 263m. Avatar grossed another 120, and Frozen another 87. That's pretty awesome. (Actually, I don't think we've yet hit Titanic's biggest single day, yet. Next weekend, perhaps?)