edroger3

Maybe he is related with Barry Allen, "the fastest man alive".

Friday 20 SW9 still under SW8. Low numbers overall. Opening WED THR FRI SAT SUN Wkd Week Episode VII 16/12/2015 1.854 922 1.190 1.984 2.443 6.539 8.305 Episode VIII 13/12/2017 1.260 602 828 1.584 1.591 4.605 5.865 Episode IX 18/12/2019 1.184 651 718 1.369 2.553 Av.Endgame 24/04/2019 5.167 3.848 2.633 2.683 2.962 12.126 17.293 Joker 03/10/2019 1.033 1.242 2.113 1.885 6.273 6.273 1 STAR WARS: L'ASCESA DI SKYWALKER (STAR WARS: THE RISE OF SKYWALKER) 18/12/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 718.296 95.864 € 2.553.043 335.535 2 PINOCCHIO 19/12/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 343.402 55.224 € 621.426 100.233 3 IL PRIMO NATALE 12/12/2019 ITA MEDUSA FILM S.P.A. € 261.473 42.699 € 4.579.282 743.440 4 LA DEA FORTUNA 19/12/2019 ITA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 193.969 29.583 € 358.899 55.708 5 LAST CHRISTMAS 19/12/2019 GBR UNIVERSAL S.R.L. € 107.665 16.121 € 202.732 30.881 6 FROZEN II - IL SEGRETO DI ARENDELLE (FROZEN II) 27/11/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 89.362 14.204 € 15.422.411 2.407.389 7 CENA CON DELITTO - KNIVES OUT 05/12/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 68.194 10.090 € 2.898.528 454.834

Frozen 2 week sat14/fri20 usual locations -17%, about 1M admissions.

It seems SW9 about 400K adm today (5,5-6 depending on ATP level, I think way higher than Frozen). F2 despite new movies, is another day around -10%. Hoping the same for sat-sun.

I agree. Obviously isn't true that to have a leading female character automatically means a good movie or vice-versa. The true lesson of Ms Bedchel is that the female/female relationships should have a mayor impact in screenplays.

These are the numbers, Open Excel and do math. Opening WED THR FRI SAT SUN Wkd Week Episode VII 16/12/2015 1.854 922 1.190 1.984 2.443 6.539 8.305 Episode VIII 13/12/2017 1.260 602 828 1.584 1.591 4.605 5.865 Episode IX 18/12/2019 1.184 645 645 1.829 Av.Endgame 24/04/2019 5.167 3.848 2.633 2.683 2.962 12.126 17.293 Joker 03/10/2019 1.033 1.242 2.113 1.885 6.273 6.273 I think (after see it): SW9 finish well under Joker. SW7/8/9 have been/are unnecessary. Only Disney showing muscles. Although I only watch movies that have passed the Bechdel test, having a female main character have been the worst choice possible, especially if is that character and that actress.

This is my hope since OD. Now It's a 50/50 bet.

Joker 2nd day was a Friday. Friday is bigger than Thrusday overall. In any case, with this kind of competition, I don't think SW does that number today. Maybe Saturday. In opening week, wed and thr numbers are pretty useless here, unless they are holidays (like Endgame) or school-out in case of children-oriented movies (like TLK). So the gold standard for a classic opening is: "no words until Sunday".

Thursday 19 SW9 is roughly on par with SW8. A couple of new titles released yesterday are killing F2 (by now), among others 2 "big" italians: the new Pinocchio version by Matteo Garrone starring Oscar winner Roberto Benigni and La Dea Fortuna, drama by the italian/turkish Ferzan Ozpetek, that had see very good boxoffice results in past years. So the competition is strong coming to holidays. That happens because on first of January will be released the new work of Checco Zalone, (the 60M€+ man) that in term of boxoffice should be (or is waiting to be) the italian version of first Frozen japanese run, killing all other movies. We'll see. Opening 1 2 3 4 5 Wkd Week Episode VII 16/12/2015 1.854 922 1.190 1.984 2.443 6.539 8.305 Episode VIII 13/12/2017 1.260 602 828 1.584 1.591 4.605 5.865 Episode IX 18/12/2019 1.184 645 645 1.829 Av.Endgame 24/04/2019 5.167 3.848 2.633 2.683 2.962 12.126 17.293 1 STAR WARS: L'ASCESA DI SKYWALKER (STAR WARS: THE RISE OF SKYWALKER) 18/12/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 645.154 86.339 € 1.829.597 238.897 2 PINOCCHIO 19/12/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 275.049 44.518 € 275.049 44.518 3 IL PRIMO NATALE 12/12/2019 ITA MEDUSA FILM S.P.A. € 201.453 34.114 € 4.312.378 699.843 4 LA DEA FORTUNA 19/12/2019 ITA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 162.330 25.706 € 162.330 25.706 5 LAST CHRISTMAS 19/12/2019 GBR UNIVERSAL S.R.L. € 93.924 14.579 € 93.924 14.579 6 FROZEN II - IL SEGRETO DI ARENDELLE (FROZEN II) 27/11/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 56.627 9.490 € 15.332.389 2.393.053

Red: F2 passes F1 in Local Currency or admissions Country F1 M$ F2 M$ F2 vs F1 W1 M$ W2 M$ W3 M$ W4 M$ Usa+Can 400,74 366,46 91,45% 130,3 158,6 49,2 28,3 China 48,24 111,43 230,99% 53,4 37,7 13,3 7,0 South Korea 76,70 85,37 111,31% 32,0 28,6 14,5 10,3 Japan 249,04 67,33 27,04% 17,9 22,0 15,4 12,1 UK 57,92 49,66 85,74% 19,4 15,8 8,3 6,1 Germany 48,29 39,78 82,38% 15,3 10,9 8,7 4,9 France 46,94 40,24 85,72% 14,8 11,8 7,6 6,0 Russia 33,44 27,60 82,55% - 14,0 9,3 4,3 Mexico 25,73 23,83 92,61% 8,6 8,1 4,5 2,6 Italy 26,42 17,40 65,85% - 8,9 5,8 2,7 Spain 22,49 17,00 75,58% 5,9 4,7 4,0 2,4 Philippines 2,69 15,34 570,13% 6,2 5,7 2,4 1,0 Indonesia 2,77 14,15 510,83% 6,3 4,9 2,0 1,0 Australia 26,70 15,50 58,05% - 6,6 5,3 3,7 Poland 7,35 10,01 136,18% 3,2 3,1 2,5 1,2 Taiwan 1,50 9,73 648,67% 3,3 3,4 1,8 1,1 Malaysia 3,62 8,71 240,70% 3,1 3,4 1,5 0,7 India 0,60 6,97 1161,67% 3,2 2,3 1,2 0,3 Thailand 1,45 6,15 424,14% 2,4 2,5 1,0 0,4 HK 2,58 6,23 241,50% 2,1 2,2 1,3 0,7 Netherl. 10,51 6,30 59,96% 2,3 1,8 1,3 0,9 Belgium 7,93 5,80 73,18% 2,2 1,8 1,0 0,9 EAU 3,14 4,70 149,60% 2,0 2,2 0,6 Singapore 3,84 5,28 137,45% 1,9 1,8 1,0 0,7 Switzerland 4,28 4,92 114,95% 1,8 1,4 0,9 0,8 Austria 5,29 4,62 87,34% 1,7 1,3 1,0 0,7 Colombia 6,27 4,85 77,37% 1,4 1,5 1,0 1,0 Turkey 4,73 3,70 78,19% 1,3 1,7 0,4 0,3 Ukraine 2,87 3,60 125,60% 1,4 1,2 0,7 0,3 Czech Rep. 1,56 3,15 201,92% 1,5 1,0 0,6 Vietnam 0,88 3,10 352,27% 1,5 1,1 0,4 0,2 Romania 2,00 2,25 112,50% 0,9 0,8 0,3 0,4 NewZel 4,43 2,50 56,44% - 1,0 0,9 0,6 Portugal 3,01 2,12 70,46% 0,7 0,6 0,5 0,3 Hungary 2,05 2,07 101,02% 0,8 0,6 0,4 0,3 Chile 5,23 2,17 41,47% - 0,7 0,8 0,7 Slovakia 1,21 1,16 95,87% 0,6 0,4 0,2 Greece 2,18 1,31 59,97% - 0,8 0,3 0,2 SAFR 2,66 1,70 63,91% - - 0,9 0,8 Bulgaria 1,40 0,89 63,57% 0,4 0,3 0,2 Croatia 0,50 0,77 154,00% 0,4 0,2 0,1 0,1 Serbia & M. 0,42 0,55 130,95% - 0,3 0,2 0,1 Slovenia 0,45 0,49 108,89% 0,2 0,1 0,1 0,1 Egypt 0,70 0,40 57,14% - - 0,4 Iceland 0,35 0,36 102,86% 0,1 0,1 0,1 0,0 Peru 3,41 0,01 0,29% - - 0,0 Israel 2,34 0,01 0,43% - - 0,0 Ecuador 2,48 0,01 0,40% - - 0,0 Venezuela 12,51 - 0,00% - - - Sweden 9,74 - 0,00% - - - Norway 7,53 - 0,00% - - - Lithuania 0,58 - 0,00% - - - Lebanon 0,60 - 0,00% - - - Finland 2,51 - 0,00% - - - Denmark 7,77 - 0,00% - - - Brazil 21,74 - 0,00% - - Argentina 11,55 - 0,00% - - - Other 28,36 25,96 91,56% 8,2 6,0 6,7 5,2 Total 1.274,20 1.033,64 81,12% 358,2 383,9 180,3 111,2

There are many soldouts, usually this means great numbers, but japan's great numbers aren't china's great numbers. Maybe 4/5M$. Or some more. We'll see.

Basing on presales (usual TOHO's by now) SW wins big, especially friday, but some of those on sat-sun could be "anticipated" presales.

All countries out of Japan and those not yet opened for F2 (estimated at wed) F2 990 (+25) F1 965 Asia + 120 Usa - 30 Europa - 50 Others - 15 Japan - 180

Joker Opening was classic 4 days. 1033-1232-2113-1885=6263 I don't think SW will be over.

In fact I wrote "end credits" not "movie"

After see it: the end credits of Avengers Endgame are more emotionally intense than the entire new SW trilogy.

Italy Day 1 - 1,136M€ (1,27M$) -10 vs SW8 -38 vs SW7

Star Wars 9 Day 1 below 7 and 8. The fall of Skywalker (by now) Opening Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4 Day 5 Wkd Week Episode VII 16/12/2015 1.854 922 1.190 1.984 2.443 6.539 8.305 Episode VIII 13/12/2017 1.260 602 828 1.584 1.591 4.605 5.865 Episode IX 18/12/2019 1.136 Pos. Titolo Prima Progr. Nazione Distribuzione Incasso Presenze Incasso al 18/12/2019 Presenze al 18/12/2019 1 STAR WARS: L’ASCESA DI SKYWALKER (STAR WARS: THE RISE OF SKYWALKER) 18/12/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 1.136.478 147.363 € 1.136.493 147.365 2 IL PRIMO NATALE 12/12/2019 ITA MEDUSA FILM S.P.A. € 297.085 53.159 € 4.105.054 664.636 3 FROZEN II - IL SEGRETO DI ARENDELLE (FROZEN II) 27/11/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 93.273 16.776 € 15.272.520 2.382.907 4 L'IMMORTALE 05/12/2019 ITA VISION DISTRIBUTION € 92.390 15.707 € 5.265.058 779.057 5 CENA CON DELITTO - KNIVES OUT 05/12/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 79.154 14.414 € 2.782.039 436.86

Tuesday 17 Pos. Titolo Prima Progr. Nazione Distribuzione Incasso Presenze Incasso al 17/12/2019 Presenze al 17/12/2019 1 IL PRIMO NATALE 12/12/2019 ITA MEDUSA FILM S.P.A. € 341.882 62.302 € 3.803.761 610.746 2 L'IMMORTALE 05/12/2019 ITA VISION DISTRIBUTION € 110.940 19.188 € 5.170.456 762.967 3 FROZEN II - IL SEGRETO DI ARENDELLE (FROZEN II) 27/11/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 101.130 18.486 € 15.178.574 2.366.000 4 CENA CON DELITTO - KNIVES OUT 05/12/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 80.280 14.735 € 2.702.086 422.308 5 ROYAL OPERA HOUSE 2019-2020 08/10/2019 GBR NEXO DIGITAL S.P.A. € 36.696 3.331 € 149.984 13.554 6 UN GIORNO DI PIOGGIA A NEW YORK (A RAINY DAY IN NEW YORK) 28/11/2019 USA LUCKY RED DISTRIB. € 29.664 5.469 € 2.989.757 467.892

Monday 16 Pos. Titolo Prima Progr. Nazione Distribuzione Incasso Presenze Incasso al 16/12/2019 Presenze al 16/12/2019 1 IL PRIMO NATALE 12/12/2019 ITA MEDUSA FILM S.P.A. € 271.296 46.988 € 3.450.288 546.465 2 L'IMMORTALE 05/12/2019 ITA VISION DISTRIBUTION € 107.404 17.810 € 5.037.045 740.234 3 FROZEN II - IL SEGRETO DI ARENDELLE (FROZEN II) 27/11/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 91.664 15.932 € 15.070.496 2.346.358 4 CENA CON DELITTO - KNIVES OUT 05/12/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 71.005 12.399 € 2.620.193 407.237 5 UN GIORNO DI PIOGGIA A NEW YORK (A RAINY DAY IN NEW YORK) 28/11/2019 USA LUCKY RED DISTRIB. € 29.281 5.361 € 2.959.538 462.334

Frozen 2 by Sunday 5.683.129 admissions (F1 6.353.001) - 7,34 BYen (F1 7,71 BYen)

SW 9 opens Wednesday 18. Below daily of 7&8 opening. Opening Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4 Day 5 Wkd Week Episode VII 16/12/2015 1.854 922 1.190 1.984 2.443 6.539 8.305 Episode VIII 13/12/2017 1.260 602 828 1.584 1.591 4.605 5.865 Episode IX 18/12/2019

Top 5 of 2019 so far. Pos. Titolo Prima Progr. Nazione Distribuzione Incasso Presenze Incasso al 15/12/2019 Presenze al 15/12/2019 1 IL RE LEONE (THE LION KING) 21/08/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 37.503.366 5.691.121 € 37.503.366 5.691.121 2 AVENGERS: ENDGAME 24/04/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 30.282.559 4.098.421 € 30.282.559 4.098.421 3 JOKER 03/10/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 29.315.203 4.185.506 € 29.315.203 4.185.506 4 ALADDIN 22/05/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 15.437.924 2.411.074 € 15.437.924 2.411.074 5 FROZEN II - IL SEGRETO DI ARENDELLE (FROZEN II) 27/11/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 14.959.715 2.327.624 € 14.959.715 2.327.624