Cynosure
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Posts posted by Cynosure
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Hey, edroger, what multipliers are you using for your estimates ? Especially for DBZ since there's no past data for 'Battle of Gods'.
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It was a joke. Don't act stuck-up.
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I'd say they're lucky. I'd let them have AOU in exchange for their anime movies now in a heart beat.
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It's very similar to the Frozen-Conan battle from last year except the numbers seem even higher. To be fair, at the time last year Frozen was in its 6th weekend.
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Amazing for both DBZ and Conan. Sunday will determine the winner. Conan usually increases at least a little on sundays. The last DBZ movie decreased on sunday so it will have to do better than that to beat Conan.
And I mean this is the 19th movie for both franchises...they're peaking with their 19th movie, that's just some amazing longevity there.
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In my usual cinema they have bodyguards looking inside our backpacks so it can't work. I will try another cinema that's all, it will took more time to get there but that will be worth the effort
I would never go in a cinema where they look at what's inside your backpack. They don't want my money, screw them. 
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Another blockbuster rejected by Japan. They're keeping their money for DBZ and Conan.
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Thanks. With the real collapsing like that against the dollar in recent months, significant differences are bound to appear sooner or later in the different rankings.
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What's the top 10 in local currency ? In admissions ?
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I see. With exchange rates and 3D, they're probably fairly close in OS minus China admissions then.
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How much OS minus China for both ?
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Yep. Wednesday and thursday look like they will be very sunny with some clouds and even rain appearing here and there friday on.
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It will also depend on the weather. If it continues to be so sunny and warm, the box-office will suffer.
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Repeat of last year with Conan and Frozen.
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Thats why no WW OW record.
Instead of the current method, these should be established by looking at the OW of all the different countries and adding them up regardless of their release date. Of course, the issue would be with a country like Japan where AOU doesn't come out until july thus delaying a potential OW record by two months, but in terms of accuracy and comparaisons between movies it would make more sense.
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I find it amusing how everyone says that Avengers will kill the legs in every market. That's not how films work. Sure, when a giant blockbuster comes out, it hurts the film in the first week. But then it recovers the week after.
+1 And AOU probably being more front-loaded than its predecessor means FF7 might recover more than expected.
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I don't understand why you compare AoU in SK to FF7 in China, it makes no sense because you're mistaken -> AoU is set to become bigger in SK than FF7 in China :
-The SK market accounts for about $1.3B -> let's imagine AoU makes $100m
-The Chinese market accounts for about $6B --> $100m in SK s the equivalent of grossing $461m in China, FF7 won't gross that...
-----> AoU is poised to be a bigger event in SK than FF7 in China then.
In admissions, let's imagine AoU making 10m admissions in SK :
-SK = 50m inhabitants
-China = 1,380m inhabitants
--> China is 27.6 times more populated than SK --> FF7 would need to get 276m admissions in China to be as big as AoU in SK.
As you can see it's not comparable at all.
I agree with the reasoning when it comes to gross but the one regarding admissions is a bit dodgy. SK is a developed country where most of the population can afford a movie ticket and live near a movie theater. China on the other hand has a fair amount of its population living in rural areas where movie theaters have yet to be build and/or where people aren't willing to spend money on a ticket.
276M admissions in China would be about $1.65 billion which is very very very far from the current totals and gives you a vastly different result to the one you get when going by gross which is far more reasonable and accurate.
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I see. Thanks. Though if thuesday doesn't fall with FF7, it will most likely fall with AOU in a month.
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Which days could fall by the end of the week ? Knowing that friday and saturday are already a no-no.
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Come on China, make the unrealistic FF7 OS > AOU OS happen.
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It's hard to predict. It could increase in yen (from 2 billion yen to 2.5 billion maybe ?) but with the yen decreasing that means it would stay flat in dollars. I don't see $30M happening at all, it would need 3.6 billion yen for that which would amount to an 80% increase in local currency.
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FF6 did around 2 billion yen in Japan which equals to $16.5M in today's currency. FF7 could increase but it could be getting the leftovers in terms of big screens since two of the biggest local movies of the year are opening the following day.
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1 dollar = 80 yen in August 2012. 1 dollar = 120 yen today. So yes.
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Japan will probably be closer to $30M. That means it would stay flat in yen which would be an excellent result considering the release date isn't as good as the first one.
I would never go in a cinema where they look at what's inside your backpack. They don't want my money, screw them. 
Fast & Furious 7 | 1165.6m overseas | 1518.6m Worldwide | Crosses $1.5 Billion Worldwide / 3m from passing The Avengers WW total!
in International Box Office
Posted
With 2012 exchange rates it would have had a shot at 3rd place I think.