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Quigley

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  1. INSIDE OUT An additional $8.6M (waaay up from the estimated $6.3M) for Inside Out’s 18th offshore frame came from 22 markets. Maintaining No. 1s in Germany and No. 2 in Austria (losing the top spot to Hotel Transylvania 2) in the charmer’s 3rd week, it’s beating tough local competition and benefiting from school holidays around Europe. New milestones for the Disney/Pixar title include being the highest grossing movie of 2015 in Italy at $27.4M, as well as the highest grossing Pixar animated title of all time in both Denmark and Finland. The international cume is now $479M for a joyful global total of $833.9M. All markets have released. http://deadline.com/2015/10/crimson-peak-ant-man-martian-hotel-transylvania-scorch-trials-pan-international-box-office-results-1201586990/ Significantly higher than estimates. Big relief since the % drop from last weekend - even when taking into account China's 6-day opening - was a bit harsh.
  2. What about Alice in Wonderland. That made $40M. Do you have a table?
  3. That number would be quite impressive imo. Although tbh, given inflation, $700M should be the minimum target.
  4. So excited for Inside Out! With the Hotel Transylvania obstacle out of the way, it'll surely thrive in this market.
  5. My theory is that there are two factors: Pre-release buzz influences opening weekend WOM influences the rest of the run. I don't feel like it has enough buzz in enough countries to have sufficiently high openings that will then propel it to $1B (assuming WOM is really really good).
  6. Dunno about you guys but I think a solid target for any non-franchise film is to end up in the Yearly Top 10 worldwide and/or earn more than the previous year's 10th biggest film worldwide. Given that Hunger Games, Spectre and Star Wars are all gonna surpass Mission Impossible 5 (would be a complete debacle if they didn't) and assuming no other film will reach that level, Good Dinosaur has to at least surpass 50 Shades of Grey to get into the Top 10 (ie. make more than $570M). Last year, Interstellar was #10 and earned $675M. So although earning above $675M is what I'm hoping for, a final gross in the low 600s will be fine too. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/yearly/chart/?view2=worldwide&yr=2015&p=.htm http://www.boxofficemojo.com/yearly/chart/?view2=worldwide&yr=2014&p=.htm
  7. I think since the weekend actuals were higher, the weekday total is less than that. :/
  8. Once it surpasses Inception, it will have achieved the third-biggest initial run among films not based on other source material (i.e. among films that are original IP). The other two are Avatar and Finding Nemo. This achievement I would call, at the bare minimum, good enough, inflation taken into account.
  9. Last 4 Pixar films are 4 least-attended Pixar films in Germany (not incl. IO)
  10. I saw the second one again. It's actually better than I thought the first time I saw it.
  11. Hopefully, it can stay above $10M this weekend (not incl. China). $462M+ by Sunday (incl. China).
  12. These are all important and rational points to make. I agree. I just think we should wait for at least some promotional material to come out before making a guess. But for now $400-$450M sounds reasonable. After all, the WOM was better for Alice than Clash so an equal % drop would be disappointing.
  13. IO will ALMOST DEFINITELY beat Minions in Italy. I would never have expected this, especially given how well Minions performed in Italy. And now it's shaping up to have a similarly impressive run in Germany.
  14. Roughly €3.65M weekend and €18.7M total. It's got one more weekend before the arrival of MR2 and HT2 so I think becoming second biggest animated film is guaranteed. If its holds are exceptional, then maybe first?? (long shot though - Ice Age 3 is SO HUGE)
  15. We talk about a lot of films that came out even more than 2 years ago...
  16. That not true. It's just that their last film was released 2 years ago, when the market was smaller. $34M back then was an ok number.
  17. IO's also doing great in Germany where it will probs open to at least $6M. Given it will earn at least $3M in Italy, this is shaping up to another $10M+ weekend.
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