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Quigley

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Everything posted by Quigley

  1. Disgust: We are talking about Ketih Simanton here. Don't hope for much accuracy. He'll probably change it in a day or two again. Fear: But what if he's right? Anger: That ridiculous film! How on Earth did this happen! Sadness: Well, this was bound to happen sooner or later. Joy: [Gone forever]
  2. What the hell? How did it make $9M last week when it only made $1M the week before? http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/world/
  3. No one can achieve the same consistent and high levels of success for original animated films.
  4. The guy (Keith Simanton) is truly and officially an imbecile. Look at what he tried to do here: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/showdowns/chart/?id=pixaroriginalssummer.htm He doesn't even know that Box Office Mojo's code doesn't allow for 7 films in a showdown. Also, the best comment he has to make when comparing Avatar and Inside Out (former and current original IP opening-weekend record holders) is "Avatar had a higher per-theater average" (which was btw only $200 higher). He needs to be fired right now. I'm sending an email to IMDb.
  5. So wknd BO was $160.5M, a drop of less than 50% from its preview-inflated opng wknd. WOW. Breaking the B in record time of 13 days. WOW. Even if it drops 50% from now on, it will reach $1.45B. WOW. However, I'm pretty confident Marvel's the Avengers will be kicked out of the Top 3 worldwide. WOW.
  6. In these 6 territories, it's openings were 33% higher than Up and on par with Finding Nemo. Comparison with MU is TS3 is less helpful as they are sequels.
  7. Looks quite low to me too. Records is going down, unless Saturday was overestimated by Deadline.
  8. This weekend was different from last one. Everyone overestimated JW and underestimated IO on Friday. Historical comps suggest the 34% increase is reasonable for a pre-Father's Day Saturday. What I do think they're underestimating is the Sunday drop. I think it could even be -5%.
  9. Monday. It doesn't matter though. The estimates tend to be quite accurate and the Saturday % change matters more.
  10. Pixar may not have a single first-place debut this year, since The Good Dinosaur opens the weekend after Mockingjay - Part 2, but both can still be immensely successful.
  11. Inside Out made more than Jurassic World on Friday even when you subtract the Thursday-night grosses. I really hope it stays flat on Sat and decreases only slightly on Sun, but even then JW has to do horribly to fall second place for the weekend.
  12. Friday-to-Friday drops are around 50%, maybe less. But its Wednesday and Thursday openings of last week will make the weekend drop more than 50%.
  13. Admittedly the track record is very poor for animated films in June, but those that exist - HTTYD 2 (9x), MU (11.5x) and TS3 (10x), which are all sequels - suggest it won't make much less than 10x its $3.7M late-night gross on Friday. Even 9x would put it at $33M for Friday (incl. late-night gross). That's more than enough to give it a chance at beating JW for Friday (headed, I believe, for around $30M for Friday based on mid-June historical comps), although I think it's too early to talk about beating it for the weekend.
  14. First of all, I've admitted I was wrong (besides, I'm wrong whether I admit it or not - numbers speak for themselves). Secondly, why does it even matter to you what my predictions are? I think I'm perfectly allowed to make any sort of predictions I want. Make fun of me all you want, but I don't HAVE to do anything as long as I follow the rules.
  15. Yeah yeah... keep saying that to yourself as if you knew this one was coming.
  16. In light of JW's record-shattering opening-weekend, I doubt it can reach a lot higher than $400m (around $415M).
  17. I still agree fully with my first paragraph after watching the film (which I did watch, by the way, not because I really wanted to but because of other, social, reasons). I obviously can't agree with the rest of what I wrote at the time. I don't think it's such a big deal. I mean, yeah it is hilarious that my predictions were so ridiculously inaccurate but no one even came close to predicting this level of success anyway.
  18. Honestly, I just want Inside Out to gross more worldwide. Nothing else really matters, but I know that's very unlikely.
  19. As expected, Jurassic World put the last nail on Furous 7's coffin (although Universal is not crying at all, I'm definite about that).
  20. Top 5 movies this year are from Universal and Disney. With Inside Out, Minions and Ant-Man coming out, they could monopolize the Top 8 (Ted 2, MI5 and Fantastic 4 also competing)
  21. Well, on this page, estimates are $97.3M. I can't explain such a big difference
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