Eric Prime

If this does 125M, I'm officially declaring the rest of the year is going to be absolute death at the box office, with everything going below expectations.

For the record, I've got nothing against double features or Disney doing them. Every studio does that, and it's really not that harmful in the grand scheme of things. But to all of y'all throwing a hissy fit over Panda's post, you need to chill.

Okay, relocated was the wrong word to use. How about "propping up money to Endgame?" There. Fixed. Doesn't change Panda's point.

...umm...no?

I'm sorry, those aren't proofs? You don't think that other Disney movies holding well, especially compared to other non-Disney movies each time a Disney film drops isn't just the tiny bit suspicious. And wouldn't you know it, I am thinking about double features, because that's what Disney does and what I was talking about in the first place. They are using another movie to prop up and give money to another film. Why exactly is a hypothetical Endgame/TLK double feature (although I doubt that will happen) any different from "Lion King money being relocated to Endgame"?

Just this past weekend, Aladdin had a sub-25% drop. Sure, it's having great legs, but it seems interesting that it had the lowest drop in the top 10, in spite of a 120M opener targeting the same audience. That's not even the most egregious example. Dumbo jumped over 250% on Memorial Day weekend, Ant-Man and the Wasp saw a 27% drop on Christopher Robin's weekend in spite of the past couple weeks being 40% or greater, Solo dropped 36% on I2's weekend despite two bad drops and losing over 1,000 theaters, A Wrinkle in Time got a boost every time a new Disney movie dropped, Pirates 5 saw a staggering 16% drop after two weekends of 50%+ drops on Cars 3's weekend. Captain Marvel and Black Panther also saw miniscule drops on the weekend their respective Avengers movie dropped. Sure it might not happen all the time, and there are plenty of other factors that go into a movie's holds. But when a Disney movie launches, other Disney movies often see better than average holds.

Feel it'll do about 6M. This seems destined to be a super frontloaded weekend, with MCU fanboys rushing out to see it on Friday.

I didn't even know a movie called The Other Side of Heaven even existed

Of course, the monkey's paw here would be that the only drag queen Disney would probably hire would be RuPaul, so...yeah, maybe there's a silver lining.

btw Disney should have cast a drag queen to play Ursula in honor of Divine (I get why they didn't, you don't have to explain why to me)

She did a duet with Barbra Streisand one time actually Although admittedly, Poor Unfortunate Souls isn't really a song that is all that demanding on a non-singer's vocals. Just need to have just enough craziness in her cadence, and it works.

@Porthos Here's what I'd do. Check Sacto for H&S for the first day, with maybe one or two more extra days. If the numbers look high, then keep going at it. If not, then just don't track it, or just check the sales every once in a while. I'd also suggest waiting for tracking numbers to drop in two weeks. If they're predicting bigly numbers, keep on tracking. If not, skip it and wait for It Chapter 2.

@Porthos I have sincere doubts on BOP's numbers for the time being. I personally don't really feel like buzz is there for a 100M opening, at least this far out, and this is also a spin-off movie. I sincerely doubt it'll even match Fast Five. I have it opening at around 70M for the time being, but I wouldn't be surprised at something in the 60s.

Just letting people here know, in case they were planning to track it, that Hobbs and Shaw tickets are officially on sale.

Runtimes w/out credits and attachments for next week's releases: Spider-Man: Far From Home: 1:59. Attachments unknown (likely Charlie's Angels and Jumanji: The Next Level) Midsommar: 2:22. The Farewell is attached

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-forecast-angel-has-fallen-my-spy-overcomer/ Angel Has Fallen: 17/49 My Spy: 9/30 Overcomer: 6.5/24 No other updates

https://deadline.com/2019/06/toy-story-4-yesterday-annabelle-comes-home-weekend-box-office-1202639398/

we get it

You know what I also love about Atom? That they don't shut down their public box office ticket samples for maintenance, and force some weirdo with an affection for the twink from CMBYN and feels weirdly obligated to track the numbers said sample generates for a box office forum and a random movie subreddit to wait until it gets fixed again, and being forced to check every hour, hoping that somehow the public box office ticket sample just magically starts working again. Atom would never do that.

Week 10 - Child's Play

Part A: 1. Will Annabelle make more than $22M? 1000 Yes 2. Will Annabelle make more than $28M? 2000 No 3. Will Annabelle make more than $34M? 3000 No 4. Will Yesterday make more than $12M? 4000 Yes 5. Will Yesterday's OW be higher than Annabelle's Friday? 5000 Yes 6. Will Dark Phoenix stay above Shaft? 1000 Yes 7. Will Child's Play stay above SLOP? 2000 No 8. Will Gosdzilla stay in the top 10? 3000 No 9. Will John Wick have a bigger percentage drop than Rocketman? 3000 4000 No 10. Will Aladdin cross $300 on Saturday? 5000 Yes 11. Will MEn In Black drop more than 53%? 1000 Yes 12. Will MIBI overtake Dark Phoenix's DOmestic total by the end of the weekend? 2000 Yes 13. Will Toy Story increase more than 88% on Saturday? 3000 No 14. Will Anna's PTa stay above $1000? 4000 No 15. Will there be an Annabelle/Chucky Romance scene set up for the next installment? 5000 Gross Part B: 1.What will Annabelle's OW be? 23.4M 2. What will Shaft's percentage drop be? -68% 3. What will Aladdin's PTA be? $2,800 Part 😄 3. Yesterday 4. Aladdin 6. Men in Black 8. Rocketman 11. Godzilla: King of the Monsters 13. Anna