Also, I should mention that Gosling's performance definitely isn't showy. It's very good, but pretty underplayed. But with Bohemian Rhapsody's "eh" reception from Kyle Buchanan and Anne Thompson, as well as Old Man & The Gun's mediocre box office, the only other competitors left are Bale, Cooper, Mortensen, Eastwood, Lucas Hedges (a longshot from a movie that doesn't have a lot going for it), John David Washington (Adam Driver has gotten better ink) and Ethan Hawke (from a movie that nobody watched). I think Gosling will sneak in a la Kaluuya.