Eric Quinn

Why do the previews have a range? Feel like that's a first.

https://deadline.com/2022/11/box-office-one-piece-film-red-black-adam-dwayne-johnson-1235163473/

You're saying it is the theater's decision to leave that movie sooner?

Quorum Updates Armageddon Time T-1: 14.64% Awareness, 5.07 Interest Bones and All T-15: 15.79%, 5.02 The Menu T-15: 20.8%, 5.26 She Said T-15: 16.81%, 4.76 I Wanna Dance with Somebody T-48: 22.23%, 5.25 House Party T-71: 24.55%, 5.51 John Wick: Chapter 4 T-141: 52.47%, 6.57 The Marvels T-267: 44.16%, 6.23 One Piece Film: Red T-1: 18.77% Awareness, 4.75 Interest *Note that One Piece Film: Red's Final numbers are subject to change* Final General Awareness: 5% chance of double-digit opening General Interest: 24% chance of double-digit opening

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-7 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 250 8656 44218 19.58% Total Seats Sold Today: 357 Comp 0.471x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-7 (23.57M) 1.448x of The Batman T-7 (31.28M) 0.731x of Doctor Strange 2 T-7 (26.33M) 1.286x of Thor 4 T-7 (37.3M)

One Piece Film: Red Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 56 733 8930 8.21% Total Seats Sold Today: 159 Comp 0.447x of Jujutsu Kaisen 0 (1.29M) 0.397x of Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero (1.71M)

I gave this a like so you would get all the reactions

Man, why even put any movie in China at this rate? Just give up at this point lmao

The literal reason why trailers exist are to be judged. They are designed as marketing materials that makes you say "that looks good" or "that looks bad". Of course we will judge how a trailer makes a movie look, because that's what they are designed to do. And key word is "looks". Nobody is making a definitive statement that the film will be good or terrible, but how it appears at this point in time from what we are given.

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-8 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 250 8299 44218 18.77% Total Seats Sold Today: 317 Comp 0.465x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-8 (23.25M) 1.439x of The Batman T-8 (31.08M) 0.742x of Doctor Strange 2 T-8 (26.73M) 1.284x of Thor 4 T-8 (37.23M)

One Piece Film: Red Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 56 574 8930 6.43% Total Seats Sold Today: 100 Comp 0.418x of Jujutsu Kaisen 0 T-1 (1.2M) 0.436x of Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero T-1 (1.88M)

Movie Title Distributor Gross %YD %LW Theaters Per Theater Total Gross Days In Release 1 (1) Black Adam Warner Bros. $2,604,658 +32% -52% 4,402 $592 $115,493,052 12 2 (4) Ticket to Paradise Universal $1,610,365 +63% -38% 3,692 $436 $36,179,865 12 3 (2) Prey for the Devil Lionsgate $646,622 -40% 2,980 $217 $8,900,721 5 4 (3) Smile Paramount Pi… $485,287 -54% -42% 3,221 $151 $94,316,612 33 5 (6) Till United Artists $403,724 +64% +664% 2,058 $196 $4,218,066 19 6 (5) Halloween Ends Universal $269,720 -69% -62% 3,419 $79 $61,691,895 19 7 (7) Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile Sony Pictures $247,382 +29% -8% 3,135 $79 $32,915,791 26 - (-) TÁR Focus Features $162,515 +31% +126% 1,087 $150 $2,802,403 26 - (-) The Woman King Sony Pictures $114,758 +9% -40% 1,446 $79 $64,821,346 47 - (-) The Banshees of Inisherin Searchlight … $69,685 +47% +283% 58 $1,201 $903,130 12 - (-) Don’t Worry, Darling Warner Bros. $38,616 +17% -61% 576 $67 $44,936,892 40 - (-) Amsterdam 20th Century… $32,841 +14% -76% 535 $61 $14,631,557 26 - (-) The Bad Guys Universal $30,665 +33% 1,478 $21 $96,989,870 194 - (-) Barbarian 20th Century… $24,857 -51% -61% 465 $53 $40,619,154 54 - (-) Top Gun: Maverick Paramount Pi… $19,419 +14% -53% 292 $67 $716,624,879 159 - (-) Minions: The Rise of Gru Universal $16,695 -3% -18% 531 $31 $369,024,060 124 - (-) Paul’s Promise Integrity Re… $6,033 +88% -78% 122 $49 $241,339 12 - (-) DC League of Super Pets Warner Bros. $5,891 +15% -4% 384 $15 $93,451,003 96 - (-) Armageddon Time Focus Features $5,755 +33% 6 $959 $80,350 5 - (-) See How They Run Searchlight … $4,722 +45% -71% 160 $30 $9,577,927 47 - (-) Bros Universal $4,500 +47% -85% 101 $45 $11,617,995 33 - (-) Running The Bases UP2U Films $435 -49% -65% 22 $20 $1,486,921 47 - (-) Cuando Sea Joven Pantelion Films $210 +94% -71% 6 $35 $587,456 40 - (-) The Divine Protector - Ma… Freestyle Re… $151 -35% -76% 6 $25 $19,127 12 24 $6,805,506

The problem is less Avatar as a film and more Avatar taking up all the PLFs. Even compared to 5 years ago, IMAX and Dolby and 4DX are a huge part of a film's box office share now and most people won't even see a movie, especially big-budget actioners like Shazam, unless it's in the biggest, loudest screen possible. That's a huge problem because theaters only have one of those types of premium screens and Disney/Cameron have way more bargaining power to retain all those screens and/or give Avatar the best showtimes. This hurt Bumblebee to an extent in 2018, and while Matrix Resurrections obviously had a lot of other problems that hurt its box office, that also was an issue since Spider-Man took up everything even a week later. That's why this year the other big December movies, like Puss in Boots and I Wanna Dance and Babylon, are in genres/target audiences that don't typically shell out for the big PLF bucks. Shazam going to March is for the best since it'll be guaranteed PLFs that DC fans will prioritize first thing on.

Quorum Updates Armageddon Time T-2: 14.93% Awareness, 5.15 Interest Devotion T-21: 20.53%, 5.17 The Fabelmans T-21: 11.15%, 4.77 Strange World T-21: 26.89%, 5.29 80 for Brady T-93: 9.13%, 4.66 Evil Dead Rise T-170: 26.74%, 6.05 The Flash T-233: 39.06%, 5.89 Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One T-254: 35.58%, 5.87 Black Panther: Wakanda Forever T-9: 61.71% Awareness, 6.91 Interest *Note that Black Panther: Wakanda Forever's Final numbers are subject to change in the coming days* Final General Awareness: 100% chance of 50M, 90% chance of 70M, 70% chance of 100M General Interest: 100% chance of 100M DC/MCU Awareness: 100% chance of 100M DC/MCU Interest: 100% chance of 100M Wow, Black Panther's probably gonna open to over 100M. What a total shock you guys!

Thanks for the post, but just remember that you still have to PM me if you want it to count. It's so the process is a lot easier to compartmentalize and organize.

Likely a week before release a la Encanto, Bob's Burgers, Lightyear, etc. Just seems to be Disney's MO for their animated movies for whatever reason.