Eric Deetz

You should've been theatrical.

Ah! I knew I forgot something. So now we add in Teen Titans Go, we go from 3.1x for that period down to...3.08x. Cool. I also decided to remove the 2021 stuff, since that's a valid point there. And now we go from 2.65x to...2.64x. Neat!

Coraline did a similar Fathom Event last year, and over the span of four days, it earned a whopping $7.1 million. It just has a lot of fans willing to see it on the big screen for whatever reason. Though granted, I'm a fan of the movie too, so I get it. Nightmare Before Christmas made $10 million that same year, albeit with a bigger rollout, so I guess spooky stop-motion is a theatrical event for some people.

But...they are more frontloaded. That is just me stating facts. If you want a comparison, these were the legs for superhero movies releasing in 2017-2019. I'm excluding Far From Home, as that opened on a weekday. And now here's the legs for superhero movies from 2021-2023. Though some stuff like Black Widow and The Suicide Squad were excluded due to day-and-date streaming stuff. So yeah. This isn't a myth. This isn't a hot take from those pesky Film Twitter and BOT users who are out to get Marvel. I'm stating facts. Part of the reason granted is because of COVID stuff and bad reception from certain movies. In The Batman's case, it's because it was on HBO Max for free just 45 days later. But even if a few movies did get better reviews or less restrictions on their release, I don't think it would change the average that drastically. Getting less than 2 times your opening was unheard of for the genre apart from Batman v Superman. But we just got four instances over the past two years. That means something. Not everything negative about superhero movies is some sort of attack against them, and I really wish you would not do such implications again.

Feels like almost everything is leggier these days. Superhero movies seem to be the one exception, more frontloaded than ever, thougn who knows if Deadpool 3 is a sign of things to come?

Menor.

Well now I'm curious what the rumor/third act twist is lol. Hope I like it!

Arguably 25% of the Star Wars fandom are full of alt-right bigots. That's where the hate is coming from. It's so peculiar this is the kind of audience this franchise attracts, but oh well.

Said this in another thread, but I've had two separate people at work come up to me and mention how excited they were for this. If Snow White can get 120M trailer views, this is for sure going to reach some crazy high metrics.

Discuss

Plus, this is a horror franchise. The whole gist of these movies has been one recurring actor, with a whole new cast to interact with and play off of. What else can you really do with Hicks and Newt anyways?

Quorum Updates Joker: Folie a Deux T-53: 61.02% Awareness, 63.85% Interest The Best Christmas Pageant Ever T-88: 11.07% Awareness, 32.7% Interest The Wolf Man T-158: 16.87% Awareness, 41.18% Interest Snow White T-221: 45.08% Awareness, 46.77% Interest Alien: Romulus T-4: 48.31% Awareness, 48.86% Interest Final Awareness: 78% chance of 10M, 48% chance of 20M, 26% chance of 30M, 17% chance of 40M Horror Awareness: 83% chance of 10M, 50% chance of 20M, 25% chance of 40M Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M, 18% chance of 20M, 61% chance of 30M, 47% chance of 40M Horror Interest: 100% chance of 10M, 67% chance of 20M, 40% chance of 30M, 20% chance of 40M Blink Twice T-11: 29.45% Awareness, 43.33% Interest Final Awareness: 19% chance of 10M Low Awareness: 14% chance of 10M Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M Low Interest: 34% chance of 10M The Crow T-11: 37.35% Awareness, 44.64% Interest Final Awareness: 19% chance of 10M Low Awareness: 14% chance of 10M Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M Low Interest: 34% chance of 10M The Forge T-11: 19.66% Awareness, 40.36% Interest Final Awareness: 0% chance of 10M Low Awareness: 0% chance of 10M Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M Low Interest: 34% chance of 10M Speak No Evil T-32: 26.99% Awareness, 48.98% Interest T-30 Awareness: 54% chance of 10M, 18% chance of 20M Horror Awareness: 63% chance of 10M, 21% chance of 20M T-30 Interest: 59% chance of 10M, 35% chance of 20M Horror Interest: 67% chance of 10M, 37% chance of 20M Killer's Game T-32: 19.52% Awareness, 41.93% Interest T-30 Awareness: 15% chance of 10M Low Awareness: 12% chance of 10M T-30 Interest: 59% chance of 10M Low Interest: 67% chance of 10M

Anecdotal, but I've had two different people at work today come up to me and talk to me about how excited they were for the new live-action Lilo and Stitch. It's also got massive views and likes on Instagram and TikTok. Way more than for Mufasa and Snow White (they aren't slouches either!) Don't know if I think it will win the summer or not just yet, but it's going to be in the top three easily. Only Jurassic World or Superman seem like the only potential upsetters. Won't win domestically though. Right now, I'm thinking it's either Zootopia or Avatar.

They should have a growing partnership with me 🧐

@charlie Jatinder @THUNDER BIRD your time has come

Books are for nerds.

Never.

Only about 65M more until we reach Lion King. The discourse will be dead. Long live the discourse!

First world problems over here but, the clear overestimation for It Ends With Us is a little silly. Like I know a 50M opening sounds shiny and exciting, but having an actually reasonable Sunday hold and putting out a 48M estimate is still going to get you a lot of good headlines.

Actually a decent hold for Trap. Better than Old's second weekend hold in fact.