miketheavenger
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Everything posted by miketheavenger
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What should help IW is that weather is predicted to be much worse than the last few weeks. Hopefully that will also help the other movies. -
It's insane how Close to a Billion this movie is gonna come. The last huge surprise of 2017, which was the year of surprises it seems.
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This debate about JW being liked or not really irks me. It's a FACT that people loved it. It had better legs and a slightly bigger opening than The Avengers and nobody is denying that The Avengers is a beloved film. So why JW is not? Because it's not a Marvel/Disney movie? Its box office performance was arguably more impressive than TA, too, because literally nobody expected it to break records like it did. JW is at least as well-liked than TA, full stop. Also, Ultron dropped considerably from TA despite that movie being so beloved. Same thing will happen for JW2, but not because of its reception, but because it was a giant pop culture event that - like TA - can't be replicated by its sequel.
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It's gonna come in under Wonder Woman in most territories, though, so this isn't an outlier.
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I don't really care about Ant-Man sequels (despite The Wasp), but gimme more Guardians, more Strange, more Black Panther and more Captain Marvel ASAP. I prefer those over 4th films (except maybe Iron Man 4 with the real Mandarin).
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I can confirm that I'm guilty of this People are already throwing around a 3x for WW being "very likely". Just like with the movie's OW, you're just setting yourselves up for disappointment. This is not making 300m, mark my words. Not trying to sound like a hater, I HOPE I'm wrong and if I am, I'll be the first one to admit it, but right now I'm feeling pretty confident that this will top out at 280-285m.
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It ultimately really doesn't matter whether Ragnarök will beat Homecoming, Guardians Vol. 2 or even WW. What matters is that it will significantly outgross TDW. With better exchange rates, Thor 4 (if they bring Hemsworth and Ruffalo back and maybe add another hero like Captain Marvel) could be a candidate for $1 billion.
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Top 10 of 2018 predictions: From JAN 1st 2018 to DEC 31st 2018
miketheavenger replied to YM!'s topic in Box Office Discussion
Ultron dropped bigly from Avengers as well, so if you count JW as a flash in the pan, then so was Avengers. Also, JW actually had slightly better legs than Avengers despite opening slightly higher and facing (a lot) more competition. So JW being much more mediocre than Avengers is your opinion and does not reflect the GA's opinion. -
Loving these numbers for all three films. Daddy's Home 2 is the first hit for Paramount since forever and if it has even somewhat solid legs, we're gonna see a third one.
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Thor on track for a drop in the mid-50s, which is really good. 60m always seemed a bit optimistic after the weekday numbers. Daddy's Home 2 and MOTOE also doing well. The box office Needs this. Hopefully Coco can continue this streak.
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I wonder if Daddy's Home 2 does somewhat well if it'll be the start to the Mel Gibson playing creepy dads cinematic Universe.
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This obviously isn't a great drop by any stretch, but it's not that bad, either. It came off an inflated mini-holiday Tuesday. Now, if Thor stays flat or even decreases on Thursday we can start getting a bit worried, but considering the constellation that seems unlikely.
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Looks to be opening around SMH then. 300m is likely, but definitely not locked.
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I saw Ragnarok on Tuesday and it was really fun and funny. I agree that's it's upper mid-tier for Marvel, about the same as SM:H. GotG Vol. 2 and Logan are still the best CBMs of the year, though.
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When I saw Thor yesterday, my theatre was packed. I'm not surprised all the movies are doing really well.
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I think 450-500m total is the most likely range, which would be great.
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Saturday estimates: #1: FJG3: 1.575 million admissions #2: Jigsaw: 125k #3: IT: 80k #4: Snowman: 70k #5: BR2049: 60k
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FJG3 below the second film, which was expected, but it's still a monster and maybe it will increase over the weekend. Also solid for Jigsaw. The holdovers are obviously dying, but that's what happens when you have a mega opener.
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I feel like this thread nicely sums up BOT. It's got everything, from @CJohn and @Blankments meltdowns to TDKR discussions to The Star discussion to people complaining about their favorite movies flopping/underperforming. If anybody new wants to join this forum, we should just show them this thread so they know what they're getting into. An initiation ritual, so to speak.
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2nd trend: #1: IT: 300k #2: BR2049: 160k #3: Kingsman 2: 85k #4: AA: 80k #5: Cars 3: 70k
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I don't know how old your brother is, but how the fuck does he not know Harrison Ford???
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I'm really happy they kept Michael Keaton alive. He was such ab awesome villain. Hopefully he reappears in the future.
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Don't challenge Futurist to actually stan for this movie.
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Obviously this opening is disappointing, but calling BR2049 a bomb when we haven't even seen OS numbers nor the actual DOM number is BOT overreacting at its finest. Let's at least wait until Monday before we declare it a bomb. Bomb is a strong word that's being used way too often for my taste.
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Yeah, you're right. I probably overestimated the impact. All three of these movies are massive successes even with current exchnage rates, so it wouldn't have made that big of a difference anyway.
