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Everything posted by miketheavenger
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I'm just gonna take a random guess and say that the Church Fight in the first Kingsman film is number 1. Just because it's one of my personal favorites, but also because it's a true cinematic work of art IMO.
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BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
miketheavenger replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
According to estimates, Sunday must've been very strong because almost everything increased Deadpool 2: 725k AIW: 185k (-55%) Truth or Dare: 85k I Feel Pretty: 55k Rampage: 55k That number for Deadpool 2 is only 6% lower than the first film and today is a national holiday, so it should continue to do well. -
That would be a really good Sunday drop for DP2. I still think legs aren't gonna be as bad as some people here think. Having seen the movie yesterday and laughing my ass off and hearing the audience laughing a lot as well, I would be very surprised if this had a sub-2.4x multi. WoM is gonna be strong IMO.
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BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
miketheavenger replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
2nd trend: Deadpool 2 still at 650k, but unfortunately Infinity War decreased to just 140k (-66%). Everything else below 100k. -
I'm still surprised that so many people thought IW would have a 50% drop or better this weekend. DP2 may be R-rated, but it's still direct competition. This drop was expected for me, especially since IW already burnt off such a huge demand over the past three weeks. Still, IW could be pulled out of theaters today and it would still be a monumental success. So everybody chill out!
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
miketheavenger replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
IMO if it matches the first Deadpool's OW it would be a big success considering the first one opened on a holiday weekend. -
BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
miketheavenger replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
Unfortunately, almost everything a bit lower in the 3rd trend: Infinity War: 400k (-15%) Truth or Dare: 135k Rampage: 117,5k Liliane Susewind: 95k I Feel Pretty: 95k Jim Knopf: 75k Sherlock Gnomes: 42,5k Early Man: 30k -
Expected Friday number. If it stays at 15.5m, the scenarios for the weekend are IMO: Pessimistic scenario: 15.5m Friday 24m Saturday (+55%) 15.6m Sunday (-35%) 55.1m weekend (-52%) Realistic scenario: 15.5m Friday 25.6m Saturday (+65%) 17.9m Sunday (-30%) 59m weekend (-48.5%) Optimistic scenario: 15.5m Friday 27.9m Saturday (+80%) 20.9m Sunday (-25%) 64.3m weekend (-44%) No idea if/how Mother's Day will affect it, but right now I'm thinking right around 60m seems likely. Also Friday could be higher, of course.
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Man, this constant useless back-and-forth about IW's numbers has become so tiresome so quickly. I can't wait for Deadpool and Solo to steal a lot of the attention away from IW so that these asinine discussions will finally stop.
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I agree Solo will make less than Rogue One (probably quite a bit less) but it's still going over 300m, likely over 350m. While that's not an event-movie gross, it's still pretty big.
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BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
miketheavenger replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
The next few weeks all will contain a holiday and a bridge day, so legs should be fine. It will also to a lesser extent help Deadpool 2 and Solo. -
We'll have to wait for another Asgard update or official estimates, but given the numbers we have so far the range is 115-120m IMO. That would be a 53-55% drop, which would be quite a bit better than Ultron and CW. In fact, it would be a better hold than Winter Soldier, GOTG 1 and 2 and Ant-Man. I don't want to hear anyone complain about this result.
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Now this is an older thing and I don't know if he changed his prediction closer to release, but I remember Ethan once predicting Infinity War would go under Civil War DOM. This is almost a bigger fail than his Deadpool prediction. Not trying to hate on Ethan btw. We all make predictions for which we look stupid later on, but I just remembered this right now.