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James

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Everything posted by James

  1. So damn good. Fantasy is the best genre. The second movie is just as good as the first. Too bad the third one Was so off. But Prince Caspian has that something (magic ) that makes me smile after I see it and start imagining things even more than usual. A
  2. Also, I liked DBZ a lot as a kid, but how on earth is it higher than Death Note? It may have hundreads of episodes, but it pales in comparison to the 30 smth episodes of DN.
  3. It all depends on how much the Into the Woods/Seventh Son will hurt it in the third weekend. They are both fantasy and both 3D I think so The Hobbit will lose some screens. If it manages to get past that weekend it will be alright up until Jupiter Ascending comes and takes away it's screens. Till then, it also has Taken 3 (that will be very big, but they do not share exactly the same audience) and Big Hero 6 (that, considering Disney/Pixar past, it will either do decent or completely bomb - the only success stories in recent memory are Brave, Frozen and Tangled I think, all princess movies).
  4. Yeah, that's why girls and kids were crying at my showing of TBOTFA. So... ... it doesn't mean we all have.
  5. They are both owned by WB so I guess it doesn't matter. Either way, CN is the distributor. At least here it is.
  6. Yeah, thinking your way TH will make 1B, much more than the puny GotG so... Oh, noooooo, POTC is one of the best adventure series ever. Don't put GotG near it. It's not even 1/100 the movie POTC (any of them) is.
  7. How much? Admissions and USD. It opened to 148K tickets and $860K here. Biggest OW all time, both in adm and USD.
  8. WEEKEND BOX OFFICE Thanks to the final movie in 'The Hobbit' trilogy, we just had the 2nd best overall weekend of the year (the best one is the first one of 2014) and the third best overall weekend ever! - The last Middle-Earth film was hugely anticipated here and the people advertising it made sure everybody knows it's coming. The only movie that had a silmilar marketing push was 'Mockingjay', but that clearly lacked the appeal The Battle of the Five Armies had. The result: 'The Hobbit' easily set a new opening weekend record, both in admissions and USD. It sold an incredible 148.191 tickets, beating the previous record holder ('The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 2' - 123.163 adm) by 17%. It also beat '300: Rise of an Empire', the record holder in USD till now, by 20% ($860K vs. $691K). Comparing BotFA with the previous two 'Hobbit' films, it opened 40% higher than AUJ in admissions and 26% higher in USD; against DOS, it debuted 33% stronger in adm and 24% stronger in USD and that is with a worse exchange rate. That may not seem like much compared to the openings in the major markets, but the opening was actualy not that far from Japan's 195.000 adm, and Romania's market size is 1/20 of Japan's, while it's population is 1/7. Coming close to that, even with the fall in popularity of the Middle-Earth movies there, is remarkable. Despite the fact that it set a record as the widest release when it comes to showtimes (over 1000), 'The Battle of the Five Armies' opened on the same number of screens as 'Desolation of Smaug', tying DOS for the widest release ever. That only shows the limitations of the market. As for the predicted total, I have no clue. AUJ had a 4.6x multiplier, while DOS had a 3.9x one (although with much more competition). TBotFA will probably be more frontloaded, given it's massive debut. On the other hand, after the main theatre chain decided to pull 'Exodus' out of the theatres to make room for 'The Hobbit', they seem to do the same thing with 'Night at the Museum 3', that should open this Friday. So TBotFA will have what usually is the biggest weekend of the year pretty much to itself. Of course, the comparison is not exactly apples to apples, considering the two previous movies opened a week earlier, so it remains to be seen how much the drop will be softened by the Christmas holiday. We might actually have another weekend above 100.000 admissions, which would be fantastic. Either way, giving it DOS' multiplier, we get around 575.000 adm. That might be a bit much, but around 500.000 should be possible. Here is a Top of the biggest OW in admissions: - In second, Dumb and Dumber To fell 54%. That's a similar drop to 'Horrible Bosses 2', two weekes ago, which is good, considering the bad grade it had on Cinemagia. Total stands at $343K. - Surprisingly, The Penguins of Madagascar had a nice hold in face of 'The Hobbit', sliding only 35%. That is a much better drop than 'Puss in Boots' (-70%), and the admissions are pretty much at the same level. Still, the exchange rate makes the gross vastly different (900K for 'Puss' vs. 765K for 'Penguins'). $1M is still a lock. - Against the juggernaut 'The Hobbit' was, Exodus collapsed (-75%!!). Total stands at a weak $311K. - Paddington had another beautiful drop (-31%). Cume is $234K. - Horrible Bosses 2 was down 46% and made an excellent $474K so far. - Interstellar suffered greatly from the loss of it's IMAX shows, tumbling 54%, it's worst drop yet. Still, admissions stand at a mighty 291.185 (300.000+ is a lock) and cume at $1.52M (finishing 3rd for the year, ahead of 'The Wolf of Wall Street's $1.6M seems like a sure thing now). - The Judge was down 54%. - The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1 dropped the same as 'Catching Fire' against 'The Hobbit' (54%). It now passed CF in admissions and it is still slightly ahead in gross so it will come close to matching that movie's $855K total. - Nightcrawler closes the top (-55%). Top 10: Next week's openers: - Night at the Museum: The Secret of the Tomb - Annie - Son of a Gun - Toonpur Ka Superrhero - Alt Love Building (local movie) 'Night at the Museum 3' will not open through the main theatre chain, which will pretty much destroy it. The previous 2 movies flopped (though the market wasn't as big as today either). Still, it will be hard for it to open to more than 15.000 adm. I don't see any of the other releases touching 10.000 adm. 'The Hobbit' will rule and it might top 100.000 tickets again. It had a lot of sellouts today (Monday). Same for tomorrow. I'll do some updates throughout the week. Top 20 for 2014:
  9. Well, GotG was cinematic trash so your point fails It's probably the worst Marvel movie since the last Hulk and that says a lot. It's bad even on a comedy level, so... TH on the other hand. And HP. One word: EPICNESS.
  10. How is that Sun/Cume/Admissions Total/weekend/presales for TH compare to the olther 2?
  11. Just finished watching the Season 25 finale and wooooo. Tthe team I was rooting for won! I so love this show. Can't wait for february and Season 26.
  12. Hmmm... chances for that are about 1% so...
  13. If it sold out 80% of the seats this weekend it would do way over 150.000. 200.000 would be possible. The thing is it does awesome in the evenings, but the morning shows are about 40-50% full. Granted, that's only from presales, so with walk-ins they should hit around 70% capacity. I mainly follow the biggest theatre chain and that sells very very good, but that is also because it promotes it's movies a lot. That owns about 60% of the showtimes. But then there are the rest of 40%. Some chains do very good, to the point of selling out their shows 4-5 days in advance, others not so much. There are just so many shows given to TH. Every theatre wants to make money on it, but the audience is still limited compared to other markets. For Bucharest alone I think we have about 150 ahows. That's about as much as an US big city like LA gets. That being said, I think there'sa 60% chance we have an opening in the 150K area.
  14. I really don't wanna push it. 150K would be huge - a 50% increase over DOS that is already one of the biggest openers ever (in fact, there are only 3 movies that ever opened above 100K). But... yeah, I think it has a shot at 150K. I hope I don't get my hopes up for nothing though.
  15. Quite simple actually. I've never heard of All in the Family so it's probably some american drama or smth. But VD is quite known WW. Same for some animes.
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