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James

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Everything posted by James

  1. It won't, since it's clearly made with OS audiences in it's mind. If it manages to make 70-80M in the US it will be just fine. But anyway, I see it doing much more. 130M at least.
  2. What the hell? 30 pages in the last 2 hours? What happened?
  3. Re-watched this. Still the most fun I had in movies this year. There may of been 1 or 2 better movies when you talk about how well made they are, but this is undeniably the most exciting and thrilling one. Visually and story wise it's something I wish I would've created. Perfect. It leaves you with that amazing 'what if' feeling. A+
  4. I actually enjoyed ST and STiD more than Interstellar now that I think about it, but Interstellar is a much more well made movie.
  5. This looks so good Looks like I'll have my dose of fantasy epic for 2015 after all
  6. Thanks As for what kind of movies succeed here... well, first of all not local movies. The highest grossing local movie in USD is at around $360K (although the most attended ever is also a local one - 'The Second Fall of Constantinople', with 1.33M admissions and a gross of about $35K ; but that belongs in the past). So the answer is: Hollywood movies. As for what kind of Hollywood movies, it's a bit trickier. The most likely to succeed are the period/historical epics (fantasy): '300: Rise of an Empire' is currently the highest grossing movie of the year, 'Dracula Untold' and 'Pompeii' are in Top 10, 'Hercules' (The Rock movie) and 'The Legend of Hercules' (the Kellan Lutz movie) are both in Top 20 and the final 'Hobbit' movie will become the second highest grossing movie of all time, behind 'Avatar' (the other 2 Hobbit movies are currently No. 2 and 3). Further evidence: the last Pirates of the Caribbean is No. 4 all time here. We also love everything involving fast cars: Fast series is massive here and Need For Speed is No. 11 or 12 for the year. Animations are also successful, with Ice Age being a mega-brand (the last two movies are the 5th and 6th highest grossing all-time). One last category - big spectacle movies: 2012 is no. 8 all time. Oh, and sometimes raunchy comedies. Films that usually flop here are horrors and dramas. Also, we're not big on SH. Most Marvel movies lately do 1M, but they never go beyond that. Thor is the highest grossing SH film by far with 1.4M and that because it has a connection to Europe's mythology and can be regarded as a fantasy/historical epic.
  7. WEEKEND BOX OFFICE Another great weekend, thanks to 'Mockingjay - Part 1''s outstanding debut and 'Interstellar''s nice hold. - Against all expectations, The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1 snatched the 3rd highest OW of the year, debuting with an incredible 66.387 admissions (and $ 335K). That's way above the last installment of the series, 'Catching Fire', that started with a bit over 52.000. The reasons why tracking was so off on this one are quite a few. First of all, we have no idea on how wide a movie opens before we get it's OW results. So I was a very surprised when I saw 'Monckingjay' opened on 85 screens. That's the 3rd widest release ever (!!!), behind only 'The Hobbit: The Desolation of Samug' and 'Captain America: The Winter Soldier'! This way, even though 'Mockingjay' had no sellouts for the weekend, it had more than enough showtimes to make up for it. Another reason is the fact that this was one of the rare occasions where the country doesn't follow the taste of Bucharest in terms of movies. In the capital, taking after sellouts, 'Interstellar' ruled again. And the most obvious reason it did so good: an outstanding marketing campaing. The advertisment was EVERYWHERE! But after the OW, the things look to be far less pleasant. 'Catching Fire' opened to 296K on it's way to 855K. That's less than a 2.9x multiplier and for this market it is bad. And there's a lot of evidence that suggests 'Mockingjay' won't touch that. First of all, we have the exchange rate. Despite adding 14.000 admissions to the OW, in USD the increase was just about 39K. Second, there's the seemingly mixed-bad WOM. On the biggest movie site here, the first 'Hunger Games' movie has a 7.6 grade, the second - 8.1 and Mockingjay - 7.6. The trouble is, even if it has the same grade as 'The Hunger Games', that's just after only one weekend and with 1/20 of the number of votes the first film has (for comparison, 'Interstellar' holds at a mighty 9.1). And most of all, there is competition. 'Catching Fire' fell 53% in it's second outing, facing only 'The Delivery Man'. 'Interstellar's 4th weekend alone will be bigger than that. And we have two strong newcomers: 'Horrible Bosses 2' and 'The Penguins of Madagascar'. The first 'Horrible Bosses' was a hit here. it opened with 20.000 admissions on it's way to over 100.000 (It actually made more money than 'The Hunger Games'). Expect the second one to open above 30.000. As for 'Penguins', the last 'Madagascar' opened to 45.000 admissions here and made over $1M. I don't expect 'Penguins' to match that (although I won't rule it out either, considering 'Puss in Boots' was waaaay bigger here than any of the 'Shreks' - 56.000 adm OW), but opening over 30.000 admissions should be doable. 'Mockingjay' might stabilize a bit in it's 3rd weekend, but after that it has 'Exodus' and then 'The Hobbit' that will completely decimate it. So, all in all, 'Mockingjay' has a good chance to fall under 'Catching Fire's gross. - In second, Interstellar slided 34% to 30.396 admissions. That's a steeper than expected drop, but understandable considering the opening for the lastest HG installemnt. It already passed 200.000 admissions and grossed 1.05M (becoming the 11th movie to cross the 1M border this year, a new record). By the end of the next weekend it will become the 4th highest grossing film of the year and in the end it is almost sure to beat 'Noah's 1.4M to claim No. 3. As for admissions, it should have no problem beating '300 2: Rise of an Empire's 274.444 and if it holds good it has a chance of making over 300.000 admissions and end on No. 2 for the year, behind only the final 'Hobbit'. - The Rewrite opened in third, with 8.223 adm. Not good, not bad for an unknown movie. - Northmen: A Viking Saga collapsed in it's second weekend (-61%). Total stands at a weak 156K. - John Wick had a good drop all things considered and totaled a very good 542K. - Qu'est-ce qu'on a fait au Bon Dieu? fades fast. - Fury has another very good drop and passes 500K. - Eliza Graves and The Boxtrolls had ugly drops. - As always, The House of Magic had a great hold (-18% in it's 15th weekend). With 658K in the bank and 131.766 adm, it is now the 2nd highest grossing animation of the year, ahead of 'The Pirate Fairy'. It actually has a chance of overtaking 'How to Train Your Dragon 2' as the most attended animated movie of the year. Top 10: Next week's openers: - Horrible Bosses 2 - The Penguins of Madagascar - Jessabelle - Ida - Scurt/4: Istorii de inima neagra (local) Big weekend ahead. I pretty much said everything above, when I talked about 'Mockingjay'. So I expect 'Horrible Bosses 2' above 30.000 admissions and 'The Penguins of Madagascar' at around 35.000. 'Annabelle' did good here, but that was the exception, not the rule for horrors. I'd be surprised if 'Jessabelle' opened above 10.000 adm. The other two will probably open under 5.000.
  8. Yeah, I couldn't find one with DH1. Just pretend it says "DH1"
  9. You don't have to ask : it's about JLaw's suckable toes and faucet-like nose.
  10. Wait. What the fuck? Is there anything after the scene with him screaming tied to a bed? The whole theatre emptied after that scene.
  11. The fact that I get these jokes just shows how much of a LOTR fanboy I am, doesn't it?
  12. I debated this in another thread. Disney has such a small number of releases because the only thing they release is franchises or Pixar animations or Fairytale remakes. They rarely do original or small projects. Their number of tentpoles will remain around the same in the future. It's a safe formula (never taking major risks), nothing bad in it, but no other studio is so concentrated on only their franchises. As for 2016, it will be a tight race between WB and Disney. Both have a lot of tentpoles.
  13. They will. Theatrical/DVD/Bluray/Rights should get them at least 200M of profit. I actually think it was a strategic decision. They were obviously not pleased with the performence of Spidey so taking a break will be good for them and audiences. And it seems they do quite well without francises too.
  14. They might beat Universal in some years, but I don't think they'll be on the same level with WB and Disney. Of course, it's all speculation, but still...
  15. That's with marketing. Even like that (although I doubt it's that high), it still made it's money back. And don't forget about DVD/Bluray, TV rights.
  16. The truth is, looking at it, WB and Disney will become the leaders by far. Yeah, 2015 is weak for WB, but just look at their slate from 2016 onwards - it's crazy. Paramount will likely close the top 3 in the future.
  17. You are kidding right. LOOOOOL. Transformers is a 1B making machine, The next MI will make over 700M for sure, Turtles will end up over 500M, so I don't see how it is a stretch for the next one to make 600M. Also Star Trek, Madagascar, King Fu Panda (the last two will likely make over 700M WW).
  18. Ted 2, Pitch Perfect 2, Everest... massive year for them. I'm thinking OS they will come fairly close to Disney. ? Sony has an amazing year. They don't have franchises, but most of their movies were hits: 22 Jump Street, The Equalizer, Heaven is for Real, The Monuments Men, Think Like A Men Too. And those which disappointed DOM made up for it OS: Sex Tape (126M WW), Deliver Us From Evil (87M WW), RoboCop (242M WW). Pompei was their only big money loser.
  19. If Disney won't top WB's 2009 next year I don't see any studio in the next few years doing it.
  20. 600M is locked. 650M also looks really good at this point.
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