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titanic2187

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Everything posted by titanic2187

  1. Cultural revolution 2.0 is underway in China. From cracking down the tech giant, to tuition sector, online gaming, entertainment. I won't be surprised if one day they will force marriage all the "left lady and man"
  2. They really push Dune for the award season, I can see Dune checking off every major film festival. But to be realistic, it is hard to be a Oscar contender while being a tentpole blockbuster if you aren't socially relevant. The past high profile tentpole were nominated for Best Picture in the past 20 years are mostly either socially relevant like Joker (class conflict), Avatar (environmentalist), or minority empowerment like Gravity, Mad Max or BP. Dune has to replicate the high bar set by Inception, LOTR trilogy, or The martian to be in this exclusive club.
  3. I thought Eternals was always planned for theatrical exclusive? Anyway this should box office is about what you want it to be, instead of how you think it is going to be.
  4. Giving FG a good pass but not Marvel films is just too commercially doesn't make sense, maybe there is more beneath the surface. Could be they want to retain Hi Mom ww number 1 position (but they give greenlight to Gvk and F9), could be China still punishing marvel over Eternals and BW. Or they just see cinema as spiritual opium.
  5. I wonder if wom from the first one is really that sour based on RT score, i feel like general public love this and won't mind to have a sequel to that.
  6. The key different between this LD weekend and LD in 2018 and 2019 is, we have almost none of the movies gain from Saturday to sunday when in both 2018 and 2019, all films at least had single digit gain in Sunday. Monday drop is also harsher this year with 5 movies in top 10 dropped more than 30% from Sunday but only one in 2018 and zero films in 2019 had this level of drop. One of the not-so-satisfying observation.
  7. I think Raya sub-performance is just inevitable outcome when Raya wasn't that big hit in USA. One cannot deny strong correlation between domestic market and international space. While there are one or two exception like Warcraft and Resident evil, where domestic market only contributed 10%, that was actually largely buoyed by China alone, the rest of the world didn't really follow suit. And to remind all, you can say MCU or FF series is a big international hit, but don't forget the box office from their initial films were very domestic centric. It is the overperformance in NA market that lead to the subsequent international recognition.
  8. Seem like the first batch of movies welcoming moviergoers back after nearly 5 months closure would be those "old" movies like BW, AQP2, F9 and TSS. SC would likely land 4 days holiday weekend next week. The reopening announcement come as a surprise to all because the country is largely still under phase 1 lockdown but based on the initial blueprint, the cinema was supposed to be the last sector to be re-opened by Phase 4. So the "cutting the line" treatment raise some eyebrow out there. Still, given that nearly all cinema in Malaysia are embedded within shopping mall and cinema operator has been consistently one of the top tenants for retail space. A dying cinema will be big blow to property market which Government cannot accept, not to mention millions footfall from cinemagoers bring to shopping mall everyday. The chain effect of the cinema to retail property segment is just too big for government to ignore, therefore they are willing to risk it and give them a premium lane.
  9. Glad that Sony realising that just a two weeks release won't keep them away from Covid. In fact Oct 1 slot make them the first major tentpoles since SC.
  10. I don't think so, in fact I am glad they vacant 2021. The recovery is still very fragile, we only have 2 weekend so far in 2021, that the aggregate box office pass 100m (BW and SC), and they only narrowly pass it. Good news is if SC can open to 76m when there are 160k+ cases and 1.6k death per day, I would say that the worst has passed, at least for cinema. Any improvement in covid situation is a plus point for cinema.
  11. Because the younger the demo, the more minority share in the population, in fact minority race made up >50% of the population below 18 in America and younger demo has been force of moviegoing, which completely falsify the myth that brick and mortar theater are for old crowd.
  12. Damn, disney must be trying hard now to avoid a 74m 3 days for a freaking chinese-centric film, which may spill a whole bad luck for the rest of the SC's run or even MCU.
  13. Yes, those kind of box office run are boring as hell. You may occasionally get some mega-opener for a one-week hype but they quickly disappear. The total final box office always been so predictable.
  14. So aggregate box office from all movies would be around 110m, not quite the number that I want to beat BW weekend but at least this weekend represent the week when domestic box office finally beat 2020's total. Hope this can double 2020's total or at least 3.5bn by end of 2021
  15. FG suffer harsh under SC. In fact, if you took at preview, this friday w-o-w hold is worse than FG's 2nd friday, a friday that a film drop the harsh. I thought this could hit 100m by Labour day, seem like we have to wait for one more week for that milestone. Final total likely to be at 120m, unless some crazy hold throughout empty Sep.
  16. I wonder if the policy that only allow vaccinated group in cinema actually lead faster recovery since many hesitate risk-averse group are now feel safer to come back cinema
  17. The box office market should consistently make more than 100m during weekend for theater to be profitable to operate in the normal working hour.
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