Porthos

Obviously counting on the T-mobile deal to rescue GBFE. 😉 Look, while it might be more concentrated than some, thinking GBFE is gonna act like a late-arriving GA film isn't without reason. On the other hand, with four large(-ish) films release in a short amount of time "middle child syndrome" had to be kept in mind as a possibility. It is true that technically movie going isn't a zero-sum game. At the same time family movie-going budget isn't infinite, so increased competition in such a short amount of time within relatively similar demos really should be kept in mind. So could that Deadline range hit? Sure. Personally I'd take the under, but we won't really know how likely that is until we see review/social bump + T-mobile bump.

Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire — Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-13 days and counting Capped Sellouts Showings Seats left Total Seats Seats Sold Perct Sold TOTALS 0 0 126 19202 19863 661 3.33% Total Seats Sold Today 83 Assorted Day 3 Comps % Sold Day 3 Total Sold Sellouts Shows Seats Left Total Seats Perct Sold Final Sold % of Final Comp BA 120.18 48 550 0/146 21513/22063 2.49% 4494 14.71% 10.33m Wick 4 91.17 68 725 0/84 11995/12720 5.70% 5448 12.13% 8.11m AtSV 48.64 87 1359 0/123 18537/19896 6.83% 9744 6.78% 8.44m FNAF 63.37 200 1043 0/68 9279/10322 10.10% 6466 10.22% 6.53m BOSS 171.69 51 385 0/80 12154/12539 3.07% 2701 24.47% 9.87m GBFE 224.07 47 295 0/114 18603/18898 1.56% —— —— ???m FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Godzilla x Kong's current tickets sold versus that final number. Assorted T-13 Comps % Sold T-13 Total Sold Sellouts Shows Seats Left Total Seats Perct Sold Final Sold % of Final Comp BOSS 171.69 51 385 0/80 12154/12539 3.07% 2701 24.47% 9.87m BA T-13 67.79 63 975 0/146 21092/22067 4.42% 4494 14.71% 5.15m Wick 4 T-13 53.70 80 1231 0/89 12253/13484 9.13% 5448 12.13% 4.78m Fast X T-13 60.15 52 1099 0/178 26611/27710 3.97% 4122 16.04% 4.51m AtSV T-13 31.95 83 2069 0/129 18720/20789 9.95% 9744 6.78% 5.54m RotB T-13 75.72 69 873 0/120 18564/19437 4.49% 9744 6.78% 6.66m FNAF T-13 33.30 107 1985 0/102 13286/15271 13.00% 6466 10.22% 3.43m GBFE T-13 135.73 34 487 0/116 19329/19816 2.46% —— ——% 0.00m Regal: 118/7318 [1.61% sold] Matinee: 11/2085 [0.53% | 1.90% of all tickets sold] 3D: 54/4642 [1.16% | 9.34% of all tickets sold] PLF: 404/8686 [4.65% | 69.90% of all tickets sold] === Switching exclusively to T-x comps starting tomorrow night.

... Yes? (I see it often enough at least)

Shoulda put in the Agatha wink gif just for double levels of irony. aksually think that will surprise folks with how popular it'll be. Only real roadblock, IMO, is the length of time between WandaVision and whatever the latest name of this series is. But Agatha was... Yeah, I'll say a breakout character. Or near to it. There's always going to be some level of diminishing returns for a spinoff of a spinoff (see various SW projects). So don't get me wrong, I'm not talking massive numbers. But do think there will be an audience here. At least a potential one.

Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire — Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-14 days and counting Capped Sellouts Showings Seats left Total Seats Seats Sold Perct Sold TOTALS 0 0 126 19285 19863 578 2.91% Total Showings Added Today 6 Total Seats Added Today 1035 Total Seats Sold Today 138 Assorted Day 2 Comps % Sold Day 2 Total Sold Sellouts Shows Seats Left Total Seats Perct Sold Final Sold % of Final Comp BA 115.14 76 502 0/142 21311/21813 2.30% 4494 12.86% 9.89m Wick 4 87.98 176 657 0/84 12063/12720 5.17% 5448 10.61% 7.83m AtSV 45.44 253 1272 0/123 18626/19898 6.39% 9744 5.93% 7.88m FNAF 68.56 204 843 0/65 8837/9680 8.71% 6466 8.94% 7.06m BOSS 173.05 91 334 0/81 12545/12879 2.59% 2701 21.40% 9.95m FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Godzilla x Kong's current tickets sold versus that final number. Assorted T-14 Comps % Sold T-14 Total Sold Sellouts Shows Seats Left Total Seats Perct Sold Final Sold % of Final Comp BOSS 173.05 91 334 0/81 12545/12879 2.59% 2701 21.40% 9.95m BA T-14 63.38 59 912 0/146 21155/22067 4.13% 4494 12.86% 4.82m Wick 4 T-14 50.22 64 1151 0/88 12191/13342 8.63% 5448 10.61% 4.47m Fast X T-14 60.97 42 948 0/178 26762/27710 3.42% 4122 14.02% 4.57m AtSV T-14 29.10 94 1986 0/129 18803/20789 9.55% 9744 5.93% 5.05m RotB T-14 71.89 --- 804 0/120 18633/19437 4.14% 9744 5.93% 6.33m FNAF T-14 30.78 83 1878 0/102 13393/15271 12.30% 6466 8.94% 3.17m Regal: 118/7318 [1.61% sold] Matinee: 11/2085 [0.53% | 1.90% of all tickets sold] 3D: 54/4642 [1.16% | 9.34% of all tickets sold] PLF: 404/8686 [4.65% | 69.90% of all tickets sold] === Very nice second day, but can already see the accelerated calendar putting a bit of a thumb on a couple of the D2 comps, I think. Gonna do one more Dx comp before ripping off the bandaid and fully going to T-x comps on Saturday. FWIW, GBFE numbers [which I'll probably add to the chart in a day or two]: GxE = 2.33065x GBFE after two days of pre-sales [???m] [578/248] GxE = 1.27594x GBFE at T-14 [???m] [578/453]

Quick and Dirty Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire Sacramento Report [T-7] 684/20724 (3.30% sold) [+61 tickets] [123 showtimes] 0.92935x GBA at T-7 [4.73m] [adj'ed for ATP hikes since 2021] 0.74836x Sonic 2 at T-7 [4.68m] 0.48962x BA at T-7 [3.72m] 0.39220x Wick 4 at T-7 [3.49m] 0.46216x Fast X at T-7 [3.47m] 0.54329x RotB at T-7 [4.78m] 0.83111x BOSS at T-7 [4.78m] 1.40741x Wonka at T-7 [4.93m] 0.90119x Aqua 2 at T-7 [4.06m] ==== Yeaaaah, warned y'all this was a possibility a few days ago when I found out the embargo release strategy. Not liking the odds at 5m+ right now. Now it should be said, this might have a stronger push at the very end than some of the comped films thanks to a later review bump. But, then again, trying to disentangle late review bounce from normal GA accelerated buying is... tricky even in the best of circumstances. See how it goes, I suppose. Next update at T-3.

LOOOOOOOLLLLLLLL I was *NOT*the only one to get a back door pilot feel from those two episodes. I swear I hadn't read this tweet yet. (though I was wondering about Corey's reaction )

Was I the only one getting something of a Back Door Pilot feel out of these last two episodes? I know, I know: (replace Squirrel with "Cap Rex series") ((I mean, could be Not Confirmed to be Delta Squad, too, you know)) Still, just... I dunno. Probably wishful thinking. And these series are hella expensive so maybe they shift to a TotJ style run from here on out. At the same time folks have been clamoring for a Captain Rex series for eons now. And with [SPOILER DELETED] showing up as well as [SPOILER DELETED] [VERBING] [SPOILER DELETED] at the end of the episode, sure seems like there might be room for more stories, depending on how this series ends. Speaking of the end of the second episode...

@Brainbug trying to set expectations by buying out a bunch of Florida showtimes.

(the firing/dismissal of DeMayo is discussed in the first part of the article, after some stage setting preambles that is — reads somewhat like a last minute addition to the article [due to it, being, well, last minute])

That didn't take long: Of course a cynic might note that "government staged false flag" is still covered by "what happened in Sandy Hook was an absolute tragedy". More likely though, he probably liked to shoot off his mouth and trade in Conspiracy Theory du Jour, but realized that publicly being associated with Sandy Hook Truthers is several steps too far.

He was trading on the Kennedy name which was still really strong in 2004 writing articles for Rolling Stone, among other things. He was one of the leading voices that claimed that the 200*4* election was stolen from John Kerry, allegedly thanks to Diebold voting machines in Ohio. Then in 2005 he flushed all that goodwill/cache he had earned in by hopping on the Lancet MMR vaccine discredited-even-at-the-time "study" that linked MMR shots with autism. Not really the thread to go deep into this, but ever since 2005 RFK Jr has been persona non grata within Democratic circles, which is probably why he wasn't on your radar much until recently. That's because he wasn't on anybody's radar much at all throughout the 10's and it was only "thanks" to COVID that he re-became a household-ish name. === I suppose a better way to put it is: Nothing, really. He wasn't an active politician at the time. But he was active in online spaces which even then counted for something. Especially when combined with his famous last name.

Gonna vary from market to market. Right now (one theater still out) in Sacramento the PLF:All Showings ratio is 36:120. Goes up a bit depending on how one counts DBOX seating. Interestingly enough, some of the Cinemarks in town are semi-splitting their PLF screen between GxK and GBFE for Thursday previews with GBFE getting the 2pm/3pm/4pm-ish slots and GxK getting the 6pm/7pm-ish slots. Or at least haven't committed the 3pm/4pm corridor yet. The other wild card here is 3D showings as most of the places in town are splitting the PLF screen between 2D and 3D screenings (though not the two Regal IMAXs, which have all three showings as 2D).

Oh, yeah, forgot to add. Seen a few stray references to how soon GxK will catch up with GBFE, so.... GxK D1 = 2.00000x GBFE [???m] [420/210] GxK T-15 = 1.00478x GBFE [???m] [420/418] It's... already caught GBFE on T-x counter, and I suspect it ain't gonna take long for it to catch it overall (GBFE is currently sitting at 623 tickets sold).

Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire — Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-15 days and counting Capped Sellouts Showings Seats left Total Seats Seats Sold Perct Sold TOTALS 0 0 120 18388 18828 440 2.34% Total Seats Sold Today 440 Assorted Day 1 Comps % Sold Day 1 Total Sold Sellouts Shows Seats Left Total Seats Perct Sold Final Sold % of Final Comp BA 103.29 426 426 0/142 21387/21813 1.95% 4494 9.79% 8.87m Wick 4 91.48 481 481 0/82 11915/12396 3.88% 5448 8.08% 8.14m AtSV 43.18 1019 1019 0/124 17505/18524 5.50% 9744 4.52% 7.49m FNAF 68.86 639 639 0/52 6623/7262 8.80% 6466 6.80% 7.09m BOSS 181.07 243 243 0/77 12063/12306 1.97% 2701 16.29% 10.41m FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Godzilla x Kong's current tickets sold versus that final number. Assorted T-15 Comps % Sold T-15 Total Sold Sellouts Shows Seats Left Total Seats Perct Sold Final Sold % of Final Comp BA T-15 51.58 65 853 0/146 21214/22067 3.87% 4494 9.79% 3.92m Wick 4 T-15 40.48 64 1087 0/88 12243/13330 8.15% 5448 8.08% 3.60m Fast X T-15 46.41 42 948 0/178 26762/27710 3.42% 4122 10.67% 3.48m AtSV T-15 23.26 71 1892 0/123 18027/19919 9.50% 9744 4.52% 4.03m FNAF T-15 24.51 85 1795 0/102 13476/15271 11.75% 6466 6.80% 2.52m Regal: 99/7318 [1.35% sold] Matinee: 6/2085 [0.29% | 1.36% of all tickets sold] 3D: 32/4642 [0.69% | 7.27% of all tickets sold] ==== Yeah, pretty much what we were thinking this afternoon. Threw in a ton of T-15 comps *NOT* because they are indicative, but to show how much of a hatchet things will take whenever I shift to T-x (prob after D3 or so). Be interesting to note the rise of them over the next couple of days. Not much else to add. Fairly good start. Now it's just a matter of how the 1,500 meter run goes (16 days of pre-sales is not exactly a sprint, but it sure isn't a marathon, either). ... Also, because I know folks will ask: GxK D1 = 0.91904x Dune 2 THURSDAY ONLY D1 SALES [9.19m*] * Yes, I know.** ** Also, I don't care.

I wouldn't know. I went out of my way to ignore him once he hoped on the antivaxx train way back in, what, 2005? 2006? *checks* 2005, that's what I thought. He became dead to me way back then and I've gone out of my way to not give him an ounce of attention, including listening to any of his speeches. (I personally blame the whole Diebold mess for poisoning his mind and causing him to leap off the deep end) ((then again, maybe he was always like this and getting into Diebold was just the trigger))

He's on the shortlist (along with Jesse Ventura) to be Veep for noted antivaxxer, 2004 election conspiracist, former Democrat now Independent RFK Jr, who is running for president this year. RFK Jr. has had... quite the political journey since he was a darling of (some of) the left way back in 2004.

Anyway, speaking of "cancelled" came over to mention that Aaron Rodgers is now, sadly, dead to me. I could take a little (or even a lot) antivaxx 'rona nonsense as just one of many people going crazy during COVID times. More than one person lost their mind there. Well the latest info appears to be that Aaron Rodgers has been this way for a good, long, while: Yeah... that's. That's more than 30 percentile weird/unconformist, that's going straight into Alex Jones Land uncut pure stuff. (actually kinda surprised Aaron Rodgers was able to keep his image so clean for so long if he's so far into the deep end as to be a Sandy Hook Truther)

Quick fact check. It was never cancelled. Off the schedule? Sure. Actually cancelled? Nope. (no, I don't feel like debating the meaning of the word "cancelled", thnx)

You know it was never officially cancelled, right? "Off the schedule"? Yes. Officially cancelled? Nope.

You're just saying that to get a full track outta me. (I was already planning on doing a full track, especially after seeing partial 1:30pm numbers)

Largely agree with Black Adam, especially after a few days for pre-window length differences to smooth out. Gonna be one of the comps I use. The other problem with RotB is that it that had two full more weeks of sales. Still, might equalize enough by, oh say T-9 or T-8. But first couple of days will be rough, unless one is doing a straight D1/D2 comp against the two. And even there the difference between a T-28 D2 and a T-14 D2 might be hinted at in the data. (FWIW, I came to RotB tracking late and only have numbers starting at T-14) === Speaking more generally, outside of Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes, last year didn't see many short pre-sale windows. For things I kept record for, isn't until allll the way back to John Wick 4 that I have something as short as T-22. We of course do have GBFE this year (T-21), but that won't be an actual comp until the last week of pre-sales. But aside from that, not much better once we go into 2022 as we gots Ava 2 (T-24) (lol), Black Adam (T-21), Thor 4 (T-24) (lol lol lol), Minions 2 (T-24) (loooooool) and TGM (T-23) (lol lol) Last year was just the Year of Inexplicably Long Pre-Sale Windows for whatever reason.

GxK has already passed the first day of sales of THG:BOSS locally, fwiw. (okay, by five seats, but still...) Now I know there's real debate about using that as even a yardstick, but they both opened up at T-15, so it might say something, if not a lot.

So are most of the films I brought up as comps. But this is mitigated to a small degree by the sheer number of pre-sale days. Even at drips and drabs they add up when you have 50+ of them.

Did a full check locally and, admittedly the day isn't over yet, but 24 combined tickets sold over Wed/Thr. On the one hand, that's about 42% of Nope's first day (2.69m — again noting the day isn't over yet). On the other hand, and I want to stress this very much: I mean, that it's sold anything at all is noteworthy. Beyond that? "Eh."