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Porthos

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Everything posted by Porthos

  1. Thinking about it a bit more, I suspect they'll cite the eight episode run and release the first two episodes for review about a week or so before the premiere and then have each of the other episodes up for review about 24 to 48 hours ahead of time. Maybe 72. LFL is too wedded to secrecy for its own good a lot of times, and that is one of those cases. If this was even a 10 episode run, I could see them screening the first four. But half the season? I'd be more than a little surprised given Lucasfilm's M.O. when it comes to this sort of thing.
  2. (one of the people who handles Social Media for SW but has a long record of cred in Nerd Circles) Have to admit, this sounds very much My Jam. 👍 === @Ryan Reynolds Wouldn't be surprised if they release the first few episodes for review closer to release. They do that for their animated series, so they might do it here as well. At least the first two. I know the embargo for this ~ 30min look is the 29th. That still leaves two weeks until release, more than enough time for review copies of some episodes to hit.
  3. Travis... ISHIKAWA HITS ONE INTO RIGHT!!!! Just a perfect call. (2014 NLCS Game Five Series Winning Walkoff for those who don't remember)
  4. As an aside, I am NOT at all sad to see BOTH Roberto Osuna AND Aroldis Chapman cough up home runs in the ninth. 👍 Osuna may be on my 'stros, but I got a loooooong memory for certain topics. EDIT::: My lane, this is it:
  5. @MrPink @Deep Wang @Menor Had it all the way! 👍 Never in doubt for a moment! 👍 👍 👍
  6. I probably won't have time, as I'll be scrambling locally myself, but I will note that if someone does this, they shouldn't need to count all the seats in case of a quick sellout. Just getting the auditorium number for each showing should be good enough as then @FlashMaster659 can go back later and get the seats at different showings/days if there are indeed sellouts. That's what I did for Endgame, for instance. I ran a screen grabber and just grabbed all the auditorium numbers show by show by show and then went back later and "back filled" the seat count at my leisure.
  7. The "All Audience" (i.e. including unverified folks) is pretty strong at 90 | 4.47/5 as well. Might be a genuine crowd pleaser for folks who are actually interested enough in turning up.
  8. Looks like they're screening it in waves, BTW, so expect reactions to come in throughout the day.
  9. Of course, I will try to be even handed and point out that this IS Collider Frosty and Ash. At the same time we're talking about a TV series here so perhaps initial emotional response is all that we need. Since it was disparate clips we still don't know how it hangs in regards to storytelling. That's the last piece to the puzzle and none of the reactions that are gonna be coming out today will be able to tell us that.
  10. The shark was, do I want to say 'mocked'... No that's probably too strong. Let's go with.. "not seen as cutting edge s/fx" even in its own day. There's a reason why it wasn't actually on screen all that much (around eight minutes according to Google). The cast and crew wasn't satisfied with it, either but made do with the limitations they had.
  11. Funnily enough, the TrueIMAX theater in town is having a 6am Fri showing. (It only has the one screen, so that does tend to limit its showtimes)
  12. Nope (the local drive-in has room for more showings if anything). Well, only in the sense that there's a lot more competition in the holiday time area. That's one of the reasons why It 2 got silly showtimes and even to an extent TLK (with all of the June and July films bombing left and right). And there is that point. Prior to this year, the most showtimes I had locally for preview night was for IW at 182. Nothing else really came close in 2018 (aside from DP2 at 169). So I am curious about the competition angle. Cats is opening directly against it. Laugh if you will, but that's gonna take some screens. Jumanji 3 will be in its second week. Who knows what all the November holdovers will be doing. Be interesting to see how the screens are all managed. Personally I might set my over/under at 250 or 275. If only because of Xmas time. Probably won't have a great sense for that for a while though. .... Then there is the possibility of a yet another new theatre opening in town that I've been alluding to off and on. Don't know if they're gonna hit December or not though, as the construction seems really slow. So there is that wildcard as well.
  13. I saw the explanation for what's going on with The Mandalorian episode dates and it makes a fair amount of sense. It's scheduled to air on Fridays. However they bumped up the first episode to be on Release Day for Disney Plus and instead of making folks wait 10 days for the next one, they just decided to say "Here, have a late birthday present, Porthos" and scheduled the next one three days later in its normal slot. But the also said LolNOPE on releasing the penultimate episode of the season on the same night TROS is released in the domestic market, so they shifted that episode up two days while having the Season Finale on its normal Friday. Works for me.
  14. I know post Pika Pika (and to a slight extent TLK) people are somewhat skeptical of trailer view counts, but sakes alike, the Frozen 2 trailer is just kicking all sorts of ass. The official trailer released four months back has now hit 82 million views, nearly doubling the view count of the teaser. And that's just on the main WDAS channel. I'm telling y'alls, I think Frozen 2 is gonna easily blow by the first one and has a very decent chance of blowing by 500m. I personally have been pegging it for around 550 to 575* and I'm a little nervous I might be lowballing it. * Admittedly as the optimistic call NOTE:::: The above is a gut-level read not based on any sort of hard data or tracking. The first target is really 500m (if not 450m). Anything above 500m is simply me looking at all the stars aligning and going "holy shit".
  15. I do want to point out something, actually. I've been observing in Sacramento at least, that pre-sale showtimes have gotten nutbar insane this past year. This is TLJ four days before release, locally: 36 sellouts! That's a lot. 133 showtimes though. I already have 121 133 showtimes locally up for TROS and that's with a couple of theaters not reporting yet. If I normalize for one of the theaters that opened in the last couple of years (Regal Delta Shores [the other new one in town doesn't have it's TROS showings up yet]), it's still already at 115 127 showings. And as I said, I have one theater that hasn't put up showtimes yet that was around when TLJ bowed. Well, what about opening night? That's right. 163 showings. Given how many showtimes were given to films like Captain Marvel (216), Endgame (347), The Lion King (289), and even It Chapter 2 (236), I'm going to take the over on 163 showtimes for TROS, even when adjusted for various new theaters. What this does to the sellout count, or indeed an preview to OW multiplier, I have no idea. But I reckon there probably won't be 70 sellouts locally simply because of so many more showtimes being available.
  16. I think the nearly two month window is the biggest factor, personally. There's also the minor consideration of tickets (probably) dropping at 8pm EDT/5pm PDT so a true "one day" comparison is gonna be tough with something that dropped at 8am EDT/5am PDT. As it is, I have zero data for TFA and TLJ at the starts of their run. I have some sellout/percentage data for TLJ's last week of pre-sales buried deeeeeeply in this thread, for what it's worth. But nothing at the seat level, unfortunately (I started doing that on Black Panther's run). But what I do have: IW: 4662 | 13164 | 35.41% of sales | 42 days of pre-sales Solo: 2630 | 5789 | 45.43% of sales | 21 days of pre-sales --- (more theaters tracked below this line) CM: 1498 | 10553 | 14.20% of sales | 59 days of pre-sales EG: 14975 | 26655 | 56.18% of sales | 24 days of pre-sales Looking at it, imma gonna go with "yes". Even Solo, which never really took off at the end still had a stronger first day of sales to final count ratio than Endgame. That's 1) how insane EG's first day was and 2) how many tickets had to be bought beyond opening night. Now, both Solo and Captain Marvel had a few hours of sales in the previous day that I rolled over into "day 1", but that would just make the percentage even lower if they were accounted for or some sort of "true 24 hour period" was established. Likewise, the percentages of both IW and EG would go up, as those are around 18 hours or so of sales.
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