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Daxtreme

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Posts posted by Daxtreme

  1. One thing too...

     

    China is literally THE country in the world where studios get the least amount of returns per $ grossed, so... by that logic, it's also the country where the amount of $ grossed matters the less.

     

    However, the ungodly amount of $ movies gross there offset that.

     

    Still, $ grossed in the US is worth more than double $ grossed in China, so I'd say Disney shouldn't be too mad about that distribution.

  2. Just wanted to pop by and say that it is time to compare Rogue One actuals with my projected numbers in this post:redcapes:

     

    Last Monday I projected the weekly numbers for R1 based on the week-end estimates, and here is what I had after applying a 73% week-to-week drop to the whole week:

     

    4-day week-end: 64.35M

    Tuesday: 6.1M

    Wednesday: 4.9M

    Thursday: 4.5M

    Total: 79.9M

     

    Now, here are the actuals for Rogue One's week:

     

    4-day week-end: $65,522,676

    Tuesday: $6,268,921

    Wednesday: $4,237,535

    Thursday: $3,893,517

    Total: $79.924M

    Difference: +0.03%

     

    I must say, I didn't expect it to be THAT close. :ohmyzod:

     

    It all happened because of the higher than expected Monday hold, because for the rest of the week, I actually under-predicted the already-huge 73% week-to-week drop I gave Rogue One (it dropped more like 76% on average). I guess Monday's insane number compensated for those huge drops.

     

    I then applied a 50% weekly drop to this weekly number for 8 weeks and ended up with 535M. Did the same for 3 other movies (Sherlock Holmes 2, MI:GP, and Alvin) released in 2011, and got a difference between the projection and the actuals of + ~5% on average. (range was 4% for Alvin to 6.77% increase for MI:GP)

    So yeah, I said 535M was the floor for Rogue One based on those calculations, so of course that's not gonna change since nothing changed :qotd:

    If we apply that 5% bump on average to $535M, we get $560M. To stay on the safe side, I'd say the more probable finish for R1 is $555M, with potential to go up to $575M or so (~1.07 x 535M)

     

    Cheers  :hiphiphoray:

     

     

    • Like 11
  3. Alright... Here is my front yard right now

     

    Brace yourselves ...

     

    Coming out of the house :kitschjob:

     

    DSC_0171.jpg

     

    Looking toward the front door :ohmyzod:

     

    DSC_0170.jpg

     

    In case you're wondering, yes the door frame in total is 7 feet high

     

    There is almost 7 feet of snow in front of the door :bouncy:

     

    Actual, ahem, "front yard" :sadben:

     

    DSC_0169.jpg

     

     

    Rest of the yard is about 6 feet of snow

     

    ----

     

    Quebec City, bitches :qotd:

     

     

    • Like 34
  4. Just now, JonathanLB said:

     

    Yup saw it last week - funny! Overall I liked it. I mean it's not really my cup of tea honestly and the girl is a mess but it was well made and well acted. I think if it seems like your type of movie you'll like it.

     

    I hated Moonlight so whoever said overrated yeah, may be the most overrated movie of all time considering its meta score. It was absolutely awful, zero star trash. I guess if you make a movie about a gay black man growing up in the ghetto it's automatically every critics top choice? It was just deplorable all around and really no character development. I even liked Manchester better - at least it had funny lines amidst the tedious boredom.

     

    I liked your post more for the first part I must say, because the second part is a bit too "hatey" for me.

     

    I mean, obviously they poured a lot of work into Moonlight, it's just not something you enjoy that's all! No need to bash the movie!

    • Like 4
  5. Just now, filmlover said:

    I saw it and loved it. Shame it never caught on.

     

    Seems like my cup of tea.

     

    I enjoyed Easy A, Mean Girls, The Perks of Being a Wallflower, The First Time -- you know, well-written/smart coming of age drama

     

    I absolutely loathe the bad written or cheesy ones, but when it has heart, count me in, and this one seems like it does.

  6. -76.6% week-to-week drop, ouch

     

    and a 32% drop from yesterday

     

    No matter how you look at it, it's a pretty bad drop. Seems like the movie is finally course-correcting for the end of the holidays.

     

    Still, Monday was unusually high so it got that as a buffer

     

    Those international holds are great too

     

    edit: well, those week-to-week are in line with TFA so, I'd say it's "average" instead :P

    • Like 3
  7. 2 hours ago, pepsa said:

    TFA was just a bad movie, to unoriganal... thats why they don't like starwars. Probably wasn't epic enough and i do agree with that.

     

    Or maybe... Star Wars is just ridiculously popular in the US and not that much in Asia, and it has nothing to do with quality?

     

    It happens!

     

    I mean, Furious 7 is the top-grossing Hollywood import in China of all-time, does that mean it's the best movie of all-time? 

     

    Different strokes for different people.

    • Like 4
  8. 14 minutes ago, SWXII said:

     

    Hoping a Rogue One trajectory graph shows up here. It has earned it. Are you listening @daxtreme ?

     

    I think I will run through my calculations again, but only after the actuals for the whole week are in, so I can compare between the 2 results.

     

    But with this monday... things are looking pretty interesting ;) 

    • Like 2
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