Aristis

Thor3 not, that one opened second in Germany behind local comedy. Jungle Book second in Turkey.

Don't think $1,4B is realistic, more like the absolute floor when TLJ has extremely bad legs. For US it's (probably) not possible to fall under $700M. If China only makes $50M than OS-CH had to do $650, can't see it having that bad legs. More like $750M US + $750M OS = $1,5B being realistic IMO. Under Furious 7, may happen, under Ultron, no way!

Well, that's what I feared would happen... According to Rth SW8 had a similiar Fr drop to SW7 - SW7 WE multipler would get it to 1,6M. Shouln't further drop now... Still, with fucking high TP this will probably get to €19,5M and $23M, so down about 15% in $. With holidays this will get past FJG3, I'm sure - it's not like FJG3 had great legs. The Hobbit movies got more than 4,5x their OW. 4xOW would bring this to about 6,5M. Coco -32% Paddington -28% Orient Express -32% FJG3 -33%

Sadly we'll probably not get estimates today, but early numbers seem to indicate something like 25%-drop for OD. So I'll say it should be above 1,6M admissions, anything below would be very disappointing... Should become the 2nd biggest OW in gross with at least €18M (anything below €11,50 average TP for the WE would be a big surprise, could approach €12,00...) 1 € 25.345.223 15 Star Wars VII 2 € 17.733.509 15 Fack Ju Göhte 2 (local) 3 € 16.666.356 01 Harry Potter 1 4 € 16.636.145 12 007 - Skyfall € 18.502.953 incl. Previews 5 € 16.590.492 15 007 - Spectre € 18.614.747 incl. Previews 6 € 16.500.000 05 Harry Potter 4 Estimate, 5 day € 18.497.906 7 € 16.175.918 02 Harry Potter 2 8 € 15.402.670 17 Fack Ju Göhte 3 (local) 9 € 14.940.428 11 Harry Potter 7-2 € 18.557.983 in 5 days 10 € 14.918.968 02 LOTR 2 € 18.932.340 in 5 days http://www.insidekino.de/DJahr/DBOStartrekordBO.htm In december those movies starting are often leggy, so 1,6M would probably lead to 6M+.

Wow, didn't think anybody could take that serious... That "1B-thing" was just a reaction to those absurd discussions like "20%-drop in Paris numbers is not a good sign for US-OW". I don't think anybody thinks this will miss a Billion. To be clear, I still think of $1,5B+. Maybe from now on I should make irony clear (or just do not use it).

Rather the second than the first I'm still hurt - I've a hard time as a DC-Fan so I'm still emotional... I'm serious if I say that TLJ will become the 4th biggest movie of all time WW

But it is down 20% from TFA and TLJ will be much more frontloaded, 1B WW in danger (--> Irony - not serious)

SW 7 was the first SW movie in 10 years and was a sequel too... The sixth actually...

What's wrong? 20% drop is great (if it's less frontloaded than SW7 - which I think will happen for the OW) Don't make drama after that number...

Only 20% down - that seems great! So maybe $70M+...

Can't see it doing less than $700M OS. Dom $850M OS $800M+ $1,65B+ With the biggest countries being UK ($120M/-27% (I still do not know which number is correct, BOM $163M)), Germany ($85M/-24%), China ($80M/-36%), Japan ($65M/-34%), France ($60M/-32%) and Australia ($55M/-18%). I think some of these could be conservative. I trust in the power of the force!

I wanted to watch SW Friday or Saturday but I won't pay 15€ Will see it on Tuesday for 10€. I hope I will not witness the slow death of German BO and anybody will have the will to change something.

06.12. - 10.12. 1 559.095 -37 1.575.154 2 Coco 2 523.752 --- 523.752 1 Santa & Cie 3 396.280 --- 396.280 1 Paddington 2 4 147.493 -34 819.642 3 Le Brio 5 147.493 --- 147.493 1 Stars 80, la suite 6 126.875 -41 377.181 2 C'est tout pour moi 7 121.891 -44 1.618.099 4 Justice League 8 100.394 --- 100.394 1 Les Gardiennes 9 84.042 -45 277.505 2 La Villla 10 83.248 --- 83.248 1 Suburbicon Moana had a 695k (-31%) 1,82M. It had a WE-Multi of about 5,3x. If Coco could have a 5x it would reach 4,3M. 4M seems like a safe bet. JL probably won't hit 2M after all... Hopefully the first DCEU to miss that mark will be the last one, too. The first Paddington opened to 517k and made 2,8M. Maybe this one can get to 2M again.

Monday numbers: Coco 155k (-22%) 395k (Should have done that in OW...) Paddington2 107,5k (-13%) 590k Orient Express 85k (-19%) 1,04M FJG3 75k (-32%) 5,77M Daddy2 60k/75k JL 40k (-44%) 590k Bad Moms 35k (-30%) 735k Thor3 27,5k (-29%) 1,435M (passed Thor2)

29.11. - 03.12. 1 887.188 --- 954.401 1 Coco 2 223.094 -31 635.508 2 Le Brio 3 216.426 --- 216.426 1 C'est tout pour moi 4 216.311 -41 1.469.773 3 Justice League 5 153.096 --- 153.096 1 La Villa 6 98.563 --- 98.563 1 The Snowman 7 79.516 -39 1.818.730 6 Au revoir là-haut 8 78.365 -40 2.395.273 6 Epouse moi mon pote 9 74.910 -39 445.828 3 Happy Deathday 10 71.900 -40 215.310 2 Flatliners Next weekend JL will probably fall behind WW, this WE was worse than WW (263k/1,4M), SS (256k/1,8M), BvS (244k/2,02M) and MoS (222k/1,97M).

Top10 numbers are now behind 2016. If SW won't save this year it could be worse than the catastrophy of 2016...

Isn't it in Japan more like 1,3 or 1,4 too? (Population 127M, Admissions ca.165M). France is so huge...

To be fair, WW isn't much better. And Intouchables still is the biggest movie of the decade

Thought about posting the numbers earlier... Coudln't. It's getting worse every weekend, I'm happy when SW8 arrives and I won't accept bad numbers!

Nr. Admissions € Opening Week 1 5.514.304 48.168.248 Fack Ju Göhte 3 2.895.338 2 4.622.589 37.817.406 DM3 1.245.812 3 3.446.682 30.761.478 FSOG2 1.551.324 4 3.422.393 32.823.962 BatB 1.090.876 5 3.240.051 30.287.260 FF8 1.616.152 6 3.166.092 29.916.450 It 1.600.951 7 2.689.386 27.835.663 POTC5 800.707 8 2.513.217 27.397.279 GOTG2 1.069.933 9 1.973.221 16.281.962 Baywatch 701.444 10 1.971.330 14.544.594 The Boss Baby 372.834 For all 100k+ movies: http://www.insidekino.de/DJahr/D2017.htm

Not great for JL, down 50%, but second best 2nd WE drop for the DCEU. WW 317k -51% 1,07M (held -17% the following, so...) 2,17M total SS 309k -67% 1,4M (-17% after that too) 2,28M BvS 409k -60% 1,66M 2,5M MoS 457k -47% 1,51M 2,3M WW multipler 2,03x --> JL: 2,44M (will not happen) SS 1,63x --> JL: 1,96M (will probably not happen, JL may have a worse hold) MoS 1,5x --> JL: 1,8M BvS 1,5x WE multipler would be a bit different: WW 3,47x ---> JL: 2,48M (won't happen) SS 2,85x ---> JL: 2,25M (neither) BvS 2,05x ---> JL: 1,95M MoS 1,72x --> JL: 1,83M So 2M seems not to be dead, just to be unlikely (if not the second comparison is better and its able to hold better than BvS...) Would be the first DCEU not to reach the 2M mark. http://www.insidekino.de/BO/F2017.htm

That hold for JL would better than I thought! Would be a better 2nd WE hold and WE than WW had (112k, -48%) but that didn't do great either (and the WE after movies had great holds...). Would be OK, hope that holds... Paddington OW is at least higher than the first one, hope WOM will be strong for this one.

16.11. - 19.11 1 3.006.610 --- 3.006.610 1 Justice League 2 1.099.280 -34 3.194.624 2 The Place 3 682.475 -33 1.841.419 2 Paddington 2 4 617.388 -37 1.835.604 2 Happy Deathday 5 483.937 -41 1.506.968 2 Borg/McEnroe 6 349.454 --- 349.454 1 The Zookeeper's Wife 7 327.419 --- 327.419 1 La casa di famiglia 8 268.600 -47 2.010.269 3 Captain Underpants 9 267.773 -66 8.636.814 4 Thor 3 10 258.805 --- 258.805 1 Breathe InsideKino

Not the only country though, I think in Mexico that'll happen too

BvS 1,001M (2,5M) 2,5x SS 923k (2,28M) 2,47x MoS 867k (2,3M) 2,65x JL 741k WW 643k (2,17M) 3,37x With SS it will get to 1,83M, with WW to 2,5M. I hope it can get to 2M, would require 2,7x... Compared to Germany that drop isn't that bad. At least it's above WW... InsideKino