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Aristis

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Everything posted by Aristis

  1. Since percentage drops weren't posted yet I'll just do that: DM3 -24% (nearly 3,3M admissions untill Sunday with that trend, the 1st position on the yearly chart (FSOG2 3.442.654) could be reached sooner than I thought. Valerian -23% (good drop and near 550k cume! Could be $7m+ after Sunday) SM:H -36% Das Pubertier -5%! Would be a good weekend, we'll see with the next trend how that develops.
  2. Monday numbers: DM3 460/2590 (-32%) Valerian 227,5 Again a bit better for Valerian! Maybe I can dream of 1M+ again... SM:H 157,5/557,5 (-47%) Pubertier 85/355 (-13%) TF5 37,5/1115 (-46%) Baywatch 37,5/1840 (-26%) POTC5 35/2525 (-26%)
  3. Meanwhile, it should be noted that Disney’s Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales — with an estimated gross of $596.6M — has now become the highest grossing title of the Pirates franchise internationally for Disney (when looking at all at today’s FX rates), thereby passing Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides which grossed $593.4M at current rates. Deadline If that is correct it is even more impressive and you can't see franchise fatigue OS!
  4. With the 2nd Trend DM3 is down to 500k (-27%), Valerian is still at 200k. Not too bad that it stays at 200k while every other movie is down! SM:H 160k (-47%) Pubertier 80k (-18%) Baywatch 35k (-31%) TF5 35k (-50%) POTC5 35k (-26%)
  5. 12.07. - 16.07. DM3 already in the yearly TOP10 after the second weekend. Looks like it should be able to top Raid Dingue. InsideKino (http://www.insidekino.de/BO/F2017.htm)
  6. Wow, that's really bad for Spidey. There is so much less interest in this movie than I thought... Even 1M admissions isn't safe with that OW - it seems to be pretty frontloaded. The drop is OK now for DM3 1,9M to 2M admissions after Sunday and still on course for 4M+. POTC5 drops even better now! Down only 8%! It had a rather small OW but a good multipler.
  7. DM3 with probably 1,8M+ admissions after the weekend, while my prediction for the weekend itself was wrong at least my projection for the total is correct. If that drop holds it wouldn't be that good, Minions increased to over a Million admissions on the second weekend... But the weather could be worse over the weekend, so... 400k for SMH is OK, maybe it's more a family film, than it could increase with the next Trend. TF5 -41% Baywatch -11%
  8. Spider-Man-Movies: (OW admissions/OW-Theaters/Total) SMH has to do at least 400k, if not that seems like a flop to me. And it should have a total bigger than TASM1...
  9. Wow, La La Land back to the Top20! The Boss Baby left the Top20 so probably no 2M+... Next weeks chase for the 1st position could be quite interesting! I could imagine DM3 with a minimal drop (750k+), seems like weather could be a bit worse, and a total of 1,8M+ after the weekend. As for Spiderman, I don't think it'll do better than GOTG2 but I could imagine a total of 2M+. But I would be OK if I were wrong I'll vote for the Minions
  10. 5.7. - 9.7. -21% from Minions (Ended with 6,59M, same multipler for DM3: 5,2M) +38% from DM2 (4,65M --> 6,4M) +124% from DM1 (3M --> 6,75M) I don't think it'll have much better legs than Minions, it could end up between 5M and 6M admissions for the second best result. InsideKino
  11. The actual for DM3 is 851k, that is 95% and 63% higher than DM1+2 and 9% below Minions. DM1 multipler (5,74x) would be 4,9M DM2 multipler (7,08x) --> 6M Minions multipler (7,43x) --> 6,3M I nearly want to say 5M is safe, but it's still early. I do not see a real threat to this the next time.
  12. Would be the biggest movie in 2 years actually since TFA was the last to do more than 5M (and 4M) admissions...
  13. July could be an interesting month, DM3 will obviously be the biggest movie by far. But Spiderman, Dunkirk and Valerian are hard to predict and will probably all flop and could surprise, at least one or two of them
  14. 28.06. - 02.07. The last TF: That drop seems not to be too bad... In their 4th weeks: InsideKino
  15. Since it made an estimated $1M in Japan this weekend (even if there will be sharp drops till now) it'll come above that comfortably
  16. Despicable should have opened this weekend! Next seems to get better than this one... But it's a good one nonetheless, especially for family stuff. Diary of a Wimpy Kid is up about 50% Hanni&Nanni and Boss Baby are up more than 80%! Bob der Baumeister up 60% That's the weather effect
  17. At the top there is "Box Office D". Click on that one and scroll down to the annual numbers
  18. Wow, the Boss Baby could have a real chance at 2M, who would have thought! The following weekend will judge. Hopefully this the time weather will be really worse...
  19. 21.06. - 25.06. 3 222.071 -51 1.974.824 3 Man of Steel 3 244.949 -40 2.021.858 3 Batman v Superman 4 256.389 -17 1.803.291 3 Suicide Squad They're pretty close actually, but with the smallest OW WW has now the biggest 3rd weekend InsideKino
  20. So maybe $4,5M for the weekend for TF5. BOM has TF4 at $11,16M - 60% drop...
  21. 3rd Trend: Even worse... Transformers 350k Baywatch 115k (-46%) WW 105k (-53%/-59%) POTC5 90k (-49%) The Mummy 65k (-53%)
  22. Germans tend to like this sort of comedy (Bad Neighbours did great here too with about 1,7M admissions...) Comedy seems to be peoples favorite Genre here...
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