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Everything posted by IronJimbo
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I just plotted a scaled graph of Avatar domestic against LOTR:TFOTR and Avengers, showing that Avatar curve is more similar to LOTR's curve than Avengers Curve. In turn proving that Avatar 2 will make more than the first like LOTR:Two Towers rather than AoU.
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I've never seen a film as advertised in my life, I imagin they will have spent atleast 500mil in advertising WW.
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Being canon doesn't mean it's not stupid. If I wrote a book and had 3 lottery winners all by chance live in the same village, it wouldn't mean it's not utterly improbable. If everything in her world is so equal than we can assume everyone has an equal chance of winning. We have 24 possible victors types and 56 victors. To find out the chance that there atleast 1 of each type of victor, we need to find the number of possible outcomes where atleast every victor type is taken. Sum[ (-1) ^k Binomial [24, k] (24 - k) ^56, {k, 0, 24}] gives 13442153227919038341767499335878161804472780884119993105301357891826483200000 possible outcomes. If we divide this number by the total possible outcomes (25^56) we get 0.0686, or 6.86%. 6.86% chance of a victor from every one of the 24 possible victor types. If you don't believe the maths I can simulate it for you on excel by randomly picking a district and gender 56 times, then repeating this millions of times to see how many times it's a full line-up.
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Wednesday The Force Awakens Estimates - 28M (Rth) | 27.2 - 27.9 (DHD)
IronJimbo replied to CJohn's topic in Numbers and Data
18m? Star Wars run is over?? -
Wednesday The Force Awakens Estimates - 28M (Rth) | 27.2 - 27.9 (DHD)
IronJimbo replied to CJohn's topic in Numbers and Data
Why are thursday drops so big? Why are they any different from a wensday weekday, kinda weird. -
Wednesday The Force Awakens Estimates - 28M (Rth) | 27.2 - 27.9 (DHD)
IronJimbo replied to CJohn's topic in Numbers and Data
He is always at the absolute front technologically, he single handedly pushes boundries every film he releases. Without technological advances we would still be watching black and white films, if you still don't find merit in that then you're a lost cause. -
Wednesday The Force Awakens Estimates - 28M (Rth) | 27.2 - 27.9 (DHD)
IronJimbo replied to CJohn's topic in Numbers and Data
If we use 740M by the end of the 3rd weekend and say it made 30% after it's 3rd weekend. That will give a total of 1.07b -
You're talking out your ass! It was highly watched in 2D and the Blu-Ray sales are through the rough (thats TWO DIMENSIONAL also).
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Wednesday The Force Awakens Estimates - 28M (Rth) | 27.2 - 27.9 (DHD)
IronJimbo replied to CJohn's topic in Numbers and Data
IMPORTANT NOTE: Thursdays (todays) change for JW is -5%, I manually changed it too -20%. This changes the final number by over 100m. I think Star Wars will have harder drops because it has bigger numbers. However it's curve will imo look close to JW but hit towards the 1.05b mark -
Wednesday The Force Awakens Estimates - 28M (Rth) | 27.2 - 27.9 (DHD)
IronJimbo replied to CJohn's topic in Numbers and Data
Jim's filmography is god tier -
Wednesday The Force Awakens Estimates - 28M (Rth) | 27.2 - 27.9 (DHD)
IronJimbo replied to CJohn's topic in Numbers and Data
When people say a director is better than others it seems like they're saying they prefer the filmography of Director X over Y rather than rating their directing skills. Oh well, all those Directors listed are better than Nolan in every measure though. -
Wednesday The Force Awakens Estimates - 28M (Rth) | 27.2 - 27.9 (DHD)
IronJimbo replied to CJohn's topic in Numbers and Data
Malick and Taratino but no Cameron, what do you measure a director by? What makes a directer better than another. I'm struggling to think of anything Tarantino is better than Jim at. -
Freiza white, hollywood executives white. It's all fallen into place. Only Jim can save us now, even George Locust is rooting for Jim.
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The reason why 3D was at it's peak was because Avatar was in cinemas, when Avatar 2 is released a new peak will be reached.
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Wednesday The Force Awakens Estimates - 28M (Rth) | 27.2 - 27.9 (DHD)
IronJimbo replied to CJohn's topic in Numbers and Data
You know who would make a great Star Wars film? James Cameron. -
Wednesday The Force Awakens Estimates - 28M (Rth) | 27.2 - 27.9 (DHD)
IronJimbo replied to CJohn's topic in Numbers and Data
1. Avatar re-released in August 2. It's been over two weeks since post-production, the garbage men have probably collected the scenes already. -
Wednesday The Force Awakens Estimates - 28M (Rth) | 27.2 - 27.9 (DHD)
IronJimbo replied to CJohn's topic in Numbers and Data
I think SW7 will make 120m this weekend, although todays numbers aren't as I thought they would I'm positive this will be a big weekend. I have friends and cousins who still haven't seen it yet and are planning to go this weekend, now the crazyness is dying down they will see it. I wouldn't be suprised if it made 1.3t DOM by March. -
Wednesday The Force Awakens Estimates - 28M (Rth) | 27.2 - 27.9 (DHD)
IronJimbo replied to CJohn's topic in Numbers and Data
Wasn't this meant increase? Tomorrows DOM will be interesting. -
Wednesday The Force Awakens Estimates - 28M (Rth) | 27.2 - 27.9 (DHD)
IronJimbo replied to CJohn's topic in Numbers and Data
You're going to need 300 blockbusters to get released in the next 10 years for that percentage to hold up.