Intergalactic Ping Pong

Its continuous ability to make money is certainly helping. Theaters don't want to drop it because it keeps on bringing them money. Last week it only lost 16 theaters and this week it's not losing any. And this is in spite of the fact that its coming out on Blu Ray on Tuesday. I'm interested to see how many theaters it keeps next week.

I've looked through the records as well for the past 3 years and while there is a pattern of daily increases on Thursday, the rest of the dailies for Friday, Saturday and Sunday are very hard to gauge if the 'drop off' seen on Saturday is an actual drop off, per se. Let's say X movie grosses $1 mill on Wednesday then bumps up to $1.2 mill on Thursday (a day that normally sees 10-20% drops), then goes to $2.7 mill on Friday. It's then 'even' on Saturday (usually an increase day) and has a typical Sunday drop or maybe slightly more. Is the weekend number actually depressed or are the drops just different due to a higher starting point from Thursday/Friday? Are the Saturday & Sunday numbers actually depressed or does it just appear so because of the aforementioned? Looking at weekend to weekend drops might give us some clues. The weekend before Easter 2014, CA: Winter Soldier dropped 56.6%. It dropped 38% on Easter. Divergent dropped 43.1% the weekend before, but only dropped 24% on Easter. The weekend before Easter 2015, Cinderella dropped 51.3%. It only dropped 40.3% on Easter. Insurgent dropped 58.8% the weekend prior and 53% the weekend of Easter. On the other hand, Kingsman dropped 35.9% the weekend prior and 39% the weekend of Easter. There's no clear pattern, as far as I can tell, which would unequivocally show that Easter weekend earnings are actually depressed.

@kayumanggi Out of curiosity, did someone manage to archive the threads from BOM before it was shut down? Would be interesting to see if so, but since that shut down happened so abruptly, I wouldn't count on it.

Yep, I remember that one. I thought it was a misspelling of 'peculiar' for a little while. lol It's a good thing that some names around here were carried over from BOM. The main reason I joined was because I knew this site was a legitimate follow-up to BOM with Baumer and BKB and the mentions of Kal El.

Thank you. That is really cool of you to say. I used to go by Guardian Devil on BOM a long time ago (in a galaxy far, far away), but someone carried on that tradition and adopted it over here. So it gave me an incentive to come up with a new name, which I like even more.

Zootopia has pulled in ~$180 million in China alone. If it keeps on having these insane holds, its China gross may just beat the domestic gross. Long shot, but the fact that this is even a remote possibility is crazy.

Allegiant (aka Divergent on Life Support) $29.03 mil Miracles $14.81 mil 10 Cloverfield $12.51 mil Deadpool $8.01 mil London Has Been Blown Up $6.85 mil

It's like Jaws... just lurking out of sight until you think it's safe to go in the water and then BAM... $200 million.

To piggyback off this idea, we should look at the the category of Families with children under 10. Of all that would take their kids to the movies, I suspect perhaps 1 in 5 families would take their kids to BvS. On the other hand, conservatively, 3 in 5 families would take their kids to Zootopia at some point. So for BvS's opening weekend, Zootopia might lose around 33% of that segment temporarily. But those families in that 33% may have already taken their kids to see Zootopia already, or will do so at some point anyways, regardless of BvS. If Zootopia has amazing WOM, then that number might jump to 4 in 5 families (or even higher), especially given that besides KFP3, there isn't any kids' animated competition in the marketplace for around 6 weeks.

They have a specialized version of this 4D at the Moody Gardens down in Galveston. Probably the best venue for this type of thing, since its a theme park with an assortment of attractions. I took my kids to it a year ago. They were showing The Wizard of Oz. It used 3D projection, audio and show control systems along with wind, seat sensors, leg ticklers, scent spray and water misters. It was a 20 minute snippet of the movie for about $10. During the tornado scene it activated the 'leg tickler' which whipped you in the leg as if debris was hitting you. Another part was accompanied by the water spraying. The boys liked it but it was definitely not an added value to my movie-going experience. If they want to go see the upcoming Ice Age 4D show, I would take them. But it's certainly something I would not pay for under any other circumstance, though.

Prognosticator showdown!! Deadpool Sunday actuals increased to $15,960,385 so nilephelan takes the crown!

Risen made more in its first weekend than PPZ has made through its third weekend. Zombie Jesus beats Regency Period zombies.

Prognosticator showdown!!

Just $90 million more and Deadpool will have made ten times it's production budget.

$600K bump from Sunday's estimate. It's like Christmas all over again, with Deadpool's red suit and all this green showering down on him.

Deadline certainly has some madness in their methods when it comes to projecting box office weekend grosses. Example: between the third and fourth updates, Star Wars declined $11K for it's Friday earnings, from $915K to $904K. Off of this, Deadline's weekend projection dropped $200K. Wow.

Just like? I would prefer to be smitten with it.

I need Star Wars to start dropping 25%* or less weekly, on average. $936 million, please and thank you e gracias. *Figure based on normalized weeks with no holiday. For example, this week's normalized earnings would have been around $6.6 million with holiday earnings excluded. I need next week to be around $4.97 million (which would really be a 45.4% drop from this week's actuals.)

^^What he said.

No predictions over $900 million. 3 predictions over Avatar's gross. 22 predictions under. Small sample size, but only 12% even predicted this would best Avatar. It absolutely exceeded expectations on BOT.

Tuesdays numbers have started rolling in from Box Office. The Revenant took in $818K Star Wars: TFA with $708K So far the week to week holds have been fantastic.