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Jake Gittes

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Everything posted by Jake Gittes

  1. My low-key favorite box office story of the year is how Sony kept Smurfs going right up until it passed Going in Style. Couldn't let those photo finish weekend grosses from April go. Apr 7–9 4 $11,932,330 - 3,061 - $3,898 $11,932,330 1 Apr 14–16 5 $6,288,402 -47.3% 3,076 +15 $2,044 $23,318,880 2 Apr 21–23 4 $4,910,895 -21.9% 3,038 -38 $1,616 $31,671,738 3 Apr 28–30 7 $3,607,144 -26.5% 2,761 -277 $1,306 $37,346,914 4 May 5–7 10 $1,835,383 -49.1% 2,033 -728 $903 $40,536,301 5 May 12–14 13 $1,075,044 -41.4% 1,244 -789 $864 $42,387,451 6 May 19–21 13 $600,081 -44.2% 690 -554 $870 $43,372,898 7 May 26–28 21 $244,052 -59.3% 344 -346 $709 $43,862,968 8 May 26–29 21 $321,785 -46.4% 344 -346 $935 $43,940,701 8 Jun 2–4 19 $230,076 -5.7% 303 -41 $759 $44,245,405 9 Jun 9–11 21 $194,401 -15.5% 303 - $642 $44,563,631 10 Jun 16–18 30 $91,413 -53.0% 166 -137 $551 $44,749,457 11 Jun 23–25 36 $66,406 -27.4% 123 -43 $540 $44,868,935 12 Jun 30–Jul 2 40 $37,445 -43.6% 77 -46 $486 $44,944,380 13 Jun 30–Jul 4 36 $58,453 - 77 - $759 $44,965,388 13 Jul 7–9 42 $25,160 -32.8% 53 -24 $475 $45,003,463 14 Apr 7–9 3 $13,210,449 - 3,610 - $3,659 $13,210,449 1 Apr 14–16 4 $6,714,300 -49.2% 3,610 - $1,860 $24,945,059 2 Apr 21–23 5 $4,880,377 -27.3% 2,737 -873 $1,783 $33,418,362 3 Apr 28–30 8 $3,558,031 -27.1% 2,554 -183 $1,393 $37,977,532 4 May 5–7 9 $1,838,424 -48.3% 1,902 -652 $967 $40,588,998 5 May 12–14 12 $1,136,573 -38.2% 1,605 -297 $708 $42,154,837 6 May 19–21 15 $572,562 -49.6% 652 -953 $878 $43,064,566 7 May 26–28 19 $283,536 -50.5% 362 -290 $783 $43,615,975 8 May 26–29 19 $379,387 -33.7% 362 -290 $1,048 $43,711,826 8 Jun 2–4 20 $224,882 -20.7% 272 -90 $827 $44,035,646 9 Jun 9–11 22 $158,476 -29.5% 213 -59 $744 $44,336,614 10 Jun 16–18 29 $94,726 -40.2% 163 -50 $581 $44,548,142 11 Jun 23–25 34 $72,329 -23.6% 121 -42 $598 $44,708,273 12 Jun 30–Jul 2 37 $47,561 -34.2% 103 -18 $462 $44,820,941 13 Jun 30–Jul 4 33 $66,760 - 103 - $648 $44,840,140 13 Jul 7–9 38 $33,374 -29.8% 70 -33 $477 $44,894,228 14 Jul 14–16 39 $24,068 -27.9% 49 -21 $491 $44,949,021 15 Jul 21–23 48 $15,930 -33.8% 38 -11 $419 $44,986,234 16 Jul 28–30 57 $9,439 -40.7% 27 -11 $350 $45,011,202 17
  2. Paramount just stopped tracking Transformers after 9 weeks. 130m was all they wanted, couldn't even be bothered to stick around for Labor Day.
  3. You'd think The 40 Year Old Virgin, Don't Breathe, and especially the 2009 duo of Inglourious Basterds and The Final Destination would have taught them something.
  4. Part A: 1. Will Leap Open to more than $4M? 1000 Yes 2. Will All Saints open to more than $4M? 2000 No 3. Will Birth of the Dragon open to more than $2.5M? 3000 Yes 4. Will the top 3 New Entries combine to more than $11M? 4000 No 5. Will any new entry open in the top 3? 5000 No 6. Will Dunkirk drop less than 35%? 1000 Yes 7. Will Detroit drop more than 62.5%? 2000 Yes 8. Will Nut Job above Spiderman? 3000 No 9. Will 4 animated films be in the top 15? 4000 Yes 10. Will Good Time make more than $1M this weekend? 5000 Yes 11. Will A Taxi Driver drop less than 20% this weekend? 1000 No 12. Will A Gentleman have a PTA above $2,200? 2000 Yes 13. Will Cars 3 have a PTA above $800? 3000 Yes 14. Will Hitman's Bodyguard make more than $4.75M on Saturday? 4000 Yes 15. Will Terminator 2 3D make more than Blackhat in China this weekend? 5000 Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Leap make for its 3 day OW? 4.338 2. What will be the combined gross of the three highest new entries (no expansions allowed_? 10.066 3. What will Nut Job's PTA be? $922 Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. The Hitman's Bodyguard 3. Dunkirk 5. Leap! 8. Spider-Man: Homecoming 10. The Nut Job 2: Nutty by Nature 15. The Dark Tower
  5. I expect 2-2.5m. Add another minimal hold next weekend and 4x might just happen.
  6. > EXPANDING 1 2 Annabelle: Creation Warner Bros. (New Line) 3,565 +23 +0.6% - - - - 3 7 16 Wonder Woman Warner Bros. 2,210 +1,407 +175.2% - - - - 13 8 13 Despicable Me 3 Universal 2,108 +557 +35.9% - - - - 9 9 17 Wind River Weinstein Company 2,095 +1,401 +201.9% - - - - 4 17 53 Good Time A24 721 +701 +3,505.0% - - - - 3 18 19 The Big Sick Lionsgate 706 +88 +14.2% - - - - 10 19 50 Ingrid Goes West Neon 647 +621 +2,388.5% - - - - 3 22 30 47 Meters Down Entertainment Studios 307 +161 +110.3% - - - - 11 23 27 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 Buena Vista 299 +104 +53.3% - - - - 17 24 37 The Only Living Boy in New York Roadside Attractions 289 +223 +337.9% - - - - 3 Some studios got no fucks to give.
  7. dude those things couldn't look more generic what the fuck are you going crazy about.
  8. Linklater's movies with their gradual accumulation of nuances really aren't made for trailers. Looks promising, I'll trust that the actual movie is better. Still taken aback by how young the actors look. Cranston at 60 is in the role Nicholson played at 36, so it shouldn't be that jarring considering the movies take place three decades apart, except Cranston could still easily pass for mid-40s. Carell is even weirder even though he's 32 years older than Randy Quaid was in the original. I'm continually shocked by how old he actually is.
  9. Here it's a bit of a cult object. I haven't seen any other 1987 Russian horror films... don't even know how many there are tbh.
  10. I've actually seen that Russian movie. It's a fucking trip. The best thing about it is the score.
  11. Update: 1. Zodiac 2. My Winnipeg 3. There Will Be Blood 4. The Assassination of Jesse James 5. Walk Hard: The Dewey Cox Story
  12. Friday would need to drop less than 40% from last week and Sunday less than 25%. I don't think it'll be high enough over Labor Day weekend to pull $1m days.
  13. Sorry to rain on Chewy's parade but I doubt this will stay Yes. So far it's had 7 days above $1m, and it needs another three (since the question specifies "more than 9"). It's not jumping over 90% on Tuesday. Saturday could be the 8th day, but even that isn't locked. And then where are the other 2 days supposed to come from?
  14. I'm an idiot. For whatever reason I thought yesterday that it was Lethal Weapon 2 that was in 1987. The first one makes total sense in the top 5 obviously.
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