Jake Gittes

give me Baumbach vs Tarantino vs Rian vs Bong in original screenplay.

saving cinema like

Ana de Armas was also MVP of Blade Runner 2049 so this is cool to hear.

It's a tough choice but after considering it I'm gonna have to say that the movie without a song about the joys of minstrelsy & a 5-minute blackface routine wins.

I'll get Only Angels Have Wings in the top 3 by sheer force of will.

Top 5 Coens imo.

there's still space for it in November/early Dec between the foreign movies and the musicals if anyone wants it. go ahead people grab those likes.

Like I said, vicious circle. And they're never expected to because they don't get that push. And when they do bring blockbuster business - see Get Out, for example - it's more or less seen as a happy accident and while studios may be glad to invest in future Jordan Peele movies, they aren't inclined to go look for people who might be similarly successful with their own personal material. Not even remotely, but they'd get more breathing room at least, and that's important. I'm not even against the MCU's existence, or against movies making a billion dollars, I'm against the narrowing down of options and the chasing of safety at the expense of variety. A system in which [checks BOM] 500+ movies get theatrically released over 8 months and six of those movies own nearly 40% of all the domestic grosses, and all those movies are basically brand extensions, while more and more name filmmakers are forced to migrate to Netflix, is not a system that's remotely healthy, and this isn't just the business naturally being the business or whatever; Disney is absolutely taking advantage and setting the terms, and its practices actively harm the environment that surrounds it.

No, they don't, strictly speaking, force them to watch anything, but they weaponize things like nostalgia and brand/franchise loyalty to create in the audience a sense of obligation to see something. In other words, they sell their products as events. These events attract attention, and hype, and screen space, and so they balloon to become even bigger events, so they attract even more hype, etc. And because they get this wildly disproportionate exposure, they condition the audience to spend the bulk of both their interest and their money on them, and because they all broadly follow the same template, they don't encourage the audience to be curious about/open to something different when going to the theater. So everything else then has to work around these events. The other studios see their best response in trying to create event movies of their own, and this puts 99% of non-blockbusters, adult movies, original movies, etc. into even greater disadvantage. It's not enough to just have a non-Disney film in wide release "somewhere". You gotta invest in it, push it, let people know that it's out there, be able to keep it in theaters for more than two weeks before Avengers 25 arrives and clears everything out. But because Disney movies are the biggest, you get both less opportunity and less inclination to do that, so fewer people get to know about those movies, so fewer of them get a wide release or even a theatrical release at all. The big movies get bigger and the small movies only get smaller. You end up with an unequal, self-enclosed, self-perpetuating, vicious circle-driven system the purest example of which is the Disney slate this year: literally only sequels and remakes get released and make money, because nothing else is worth it, because literally only sequels and remakes get released and make money.

And by doing so they limit the types of movies the audience gets, and would love, to see in a theater, reducing other studios' interest in making and widely pushing them and the audience's interest in and chances of seeing them. Hollywood has literally never been more conservative in terms of what kinds of movies it commits to making and Disney is directly responsible for this, more than anyone else. Stop thinking like shareholders for chrissake.

Into the Spider-Verse was an exceptional studio movie and it still got outgrossed by The Lion King in three days. Maybe they should my ass.

Not one but two Chazelle joints in the top 50 I'm into this.

2. Will It Chapter 2 Open to more than $115M? 2000 No 5. Will It Chapter 2 Open to more than 35% of its weekend total on Friday? 5000 Yes 7. Will Angry Birds Stay above Dora? 2000 No 8. Will 47 Metres drop more than 65% 3000 Yes 10. Will Lion King Have a PTA above $1,750? 5000 No 11. Will Overcomer increase 100% on Friday? 1000 Yes 12. Will Good Boys drop more than 33% on Sunday? 2000 Yes 13. Will It chapter 2 drop more than 10% on Saturday? 3000 Yes 14. Will anything in the top 15 increase this weekend? 4000 No 15. Will Peanut Butter Falco's domestic total overtake Blinded by the Light's 5000 Yes 16. Will Spdierman have a larger percentage drop than Toy Story? 1000 No 19. Did you remember the final week always has two questions like this? 4000 No 20. Who's coming back for Winter? 5000

Part A: 1. Will It Chapter 2 Open to more than $95M? 1000 Yes 2. Will It Chapter 2 Open to more than $115M? 2000 No 3. Will It Chapter 2 Open to more than $105M? 3000 No 4. Will It Chapter 2 Open to more than 70% of all cinematic grosses reported by BOM this weekend? 4000 No 5. Will It Chapter 2 Open to more than 35% of its weekend total on Friday? 5000 Yes 6. Will Spiderman stay above Angry Birds? 1000 No 7. Will Angry Birds Stay above Dora? 2000 No 8. Will 47 Metres drop more than 65% 3000 Yes 9. Will anything reported by BOM except It Chapter 2 have a PTA above $12,000? 4000 Yes 10. Will Lion King Have a PTA above $1,750? 5000 No 11. Will Overcomer increase 100% on Friday? 1000 Yes 12. Will Good Boys drop more than 33% on Sunday? 2000 Yes 13. Will It chapter 2 drop more than 10% on Saturday? 3000 Yes 14. Will anything in the top 15 increase this weekend? 4000 No 15. Will Peanut Butter Falco's domestic total overtake Blinded by the Light's 5000 Yes 16. Will Spdierman have a larger percentage drop than Toy Story? 1000 No 17. Will Saaho drop more than 62%? 2000 No 18. Will Overcomer drop less than 255 on sunday? 3000 No 19. Did you remember the final week always has two questions like this? 4000 No 20. Who's coming back for Winter? 5000 Bonus: 12/20 3000 13/20 5000 14/20 8000 15/20 12000 16/20 16,000 17/20 20,000 18/20 26,000 19/20 32,000 20/20 40,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will It chapter 2 make for its 3 day OW? 98.000 2. What will Lion King's Sunday gross be? 1.147 3. What will Angel has Fallen's PTA be for the 3 day weekend? $1,839 4. What will 47 Metre's Percentage drop be? 70.4% 5. What will Ms. Purple's PTA be? $15,816 Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. It: Chapter 2 2. Angel Has Fallen 4. The Lion King 6. Hobbs and Shaw 8. Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark 10. The Peanut Butter Falcon

week 20 no

There was a great piece on The AV Club yesterday that really got at this among other things.

I might have gotten cranky over musician biopics being eligible but it allows me to put Walk Hard on my list so it's cool.

Sitting here sighing heavily every time I remember that animation is eligible.

FYC (my #1)

30 Uncle Buck 68 31 The Cook, The Thief, His Wife & Her Lover 67.5 I know now what @aabattery felt.

This godforsaken forum I swear.

Just top 30?