zenithtim
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Posts posted by zenithtim
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On June 4, 2016 at 4:34 AM, No Prisoners said:
Early scores for the all time leaderboard, last week's winner and a few notables.
@Bates 94.0%
No Prisoners 92.5
@8wombi7 92.1
@TalismanRing 91.0
@Rolling Thunder 90.8
@Matrix4You 89.9
@JMorphin 88.6
@WrathOfHan 88.4
@Tower 88.3
@Horror Wizard 86.9
@Spaghetti 85.0
Average score 90.0 that's huge for the overall average.
It's the score of the average that's 93.30% now, not the average score.
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Just now, babz06 said:
It's a dumb popcorn flick though, like Jurassic World. From a well liked classic summer movie, and people do want to see the cast again. I think you're wayyy off. 150m is the floor (imo)
I'm currently predicting 98m OW/ 360m DOM for Independence Day Resurgence.
Oh, please, don't say that the Roland Emmerich-directed 1998's Independence Day is as beloved as Spielberg's 1993's Jurrasic Park.
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4 minutes ago, RyneOh1040 said:
The one thing I'm really confused on is people thinking Independence Day will pass the original. The trailers have been really poor and every time I see it before a film (including last night before Turtles) I feel like there's no audience reaction. It's just shit blowing up with terrible one liners. Goodblum helps but I just can't see this being a big hit and would legitimately not be surprised if it doesn't out open the original. Seems like a 150 grosser to me.
Exactly, waiting 20 years for a 200M sequel to a movie that is NOT considered a classic is suicide, and ID2 will be lucky to gross 150M domestically.
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The more I think about it, the lower the opening weekend of TMNT2 will be. $2M starting at 5pm means a 3x drop from the original's $4.6M for the 7pm-midnight period. Expect the weekend to be around $21-$22M (a third of the original's $65M).
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2 minutes ago, babz06 said:
That's just sad.
What other sequels this year will underperform?
Independence Day 2 should open below $60 million as well, despite crazy expectations by some users here.
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There is a real chance now that TMNT2's domestic gross is under TMNT's opening weekend. Wow. It should open to around $25 million based on that preview number. Joins Alice 2 for the biggest flop of the summer race.
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3 hours ago, Nova said:
There are no guarantees when it comes to a movie doing over a billion dollars so no one is going to "lock it in." I mean if the holy trinity of DC can be susceptible and not make a billion dollars then I refuse to believe there are films locked to make a billion dollars when no one knows a single thing about them.
Any movie with Iron Man played by RDJ in a leading role is LOCKED to do 1B+. All the Star Wars direct sequels are LOCKED to do 1B+.
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2 hours ago, CaptainJackSparrow said:
I was really hoping X Men would break out. I should have kept my earlier predictions for it, before being swayed by the hype.
What hype? Everybody expected it to disappoint massively for the past three weeks (once the subpar reviews started coming in).
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On May 20, 2016 at 5:22 PM, Daxtreme said:
I think Warcraft is going to be a surprise hit.
I'm IN for $1B worldwide. DOM share is gonna be very small though, at least I think. Something like 200/800
It's not doing 200M domestically for sure. It's not doing 100M either. More like:
DOM 60M
OS 500M
WW 560M
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Just now, Empire said:
Alice 2 & Now You See Me 2.
And Independence Day 2 - completely unnecessary nonsense.
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Neighbors 2 is having a shockingly bad drop from the first. With a 7.6M Friday (including 1.6 M Thursday+midnight), it is doing around 19M for the weekend.
It won't lose money, since its budget is very small. But going UNDER 20M is an extremely poor performance.
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2 hours ago, RyneOh1040 said:
So pumped to see The Nice Guys tomorrow been getting hype for it for weeks now. Caught Money Monster this week and honestly thought it was kind of a snooze fest. Everything in it was just paint by numbers to me and I'm confused why it got such incredible reception out of Cannes. Wasn't terrible or anything but as middle of the road as it gets.
Where did you get the idea that it got an "incredible reception" at Cannes? Its reception there was middling at best.
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This is performing great, but the opening would have been 200M+ if they just replaced 'Captain America' by 'Iron Man' in the title (or also just put Iron Man/Avengers in the title).
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10 minutes ago, Empire said:
The Big Short just won best picture at the PGA Awards.
So it is the new Oscar frontrunner as the last time Oscars and PGA Awards disagreed was 2006.
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Understand.
Might be, depends probably a lot on how the blond, other story type.... will be received in non-US... countries.
It might be able to beat the $3/4bn+ of Maleficent, but with the considerable bad exchange rates for so many countries nowadays it might be more difficult then some might expect. Alone the Euro lost ~ 25%, the countries with the Euro (and the countries without Euro, but currenciy 'logged' to it), are not a small percentage of the foreign BO, Russia's Rubel even way more worse
Only out of curiousity:
are you aware about Maleficent making in dom alone considerable more money via DVD/Blu-Ray sales as e.g. Transformers 4?
I am aware of that - but my argument was referring mostly to theatrical grosses since we have no idea yet how Cinderella would perform on DVD/Blu-Ray. But fair enough, Maleficent was solid there.
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I do not see a sense in picking only one detail out of the sum to compare movies success. Especially as the kind of story, in a way even genre... seems not to be compareable to begin with
(btw, me female,... not interested in - or even willing to watch - any of both of them)
Both are big successes and btw, I have no desire to watch any of them either ("me male"). But I was just pointing out that Disney will probably make a bigger profit out of Cinderella, both being live-action fantasy adaptations.
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Can we please not tear Maleficent down to lift Cindy up though? Both are wonderful accomplishments. All hail Disney.
Both did or are doing very well. But once you account for the budgets (95M for Cinderella and 180M for Maleficent), Cinderella is the big winner (at least domestically).
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Whoever wins we lose.
We and the society in general.
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Clash of the teeny tiny Titans
Yeah, I am starting to become interested in this clash. Sunday can't come early enough to see who won the Mom vs Oz war.
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Good catch. I'm sure they read these forums.
Even after Nikki left?
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Mom's Night Out better pull through on Mother's Day to pass Legend of Oz.
That would be quite the upset.
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At least the person who saw it apparently enjoyed it.
You beat me to that joke. Yeah, it must have been someone from the director's family, possibly his daughter.
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Cinemascores: 'Legends Of Oz - A.
The kids really, really loved it, the very few who saw it anyway.
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That's huge for Neighbors. Will end near Gatsby OW with a lower theater count. 150m seems a given, 175m is a more realistic target at the moment.
150 M is not locked, I don't think the WOM is going to be spectacular + competition from Blended (to some extent), and especially AMWTDITW. And it apparently only has a weak B cinemascore.
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CIVIL WAR OS | $744M OS | $1.15B WW
in International Box Office
Posted
Tied with Iron Man? This is a laughable assertion. No Avengers movie without RDJ as Iron Man would get close to 1B.