The more I think about it, the lower the opening weekend of TMNT2 will be. $2M starting at 5pm means a 3x drop from the original's $4.6M for the 7pm-midnight period. Expect the weekend to be around $21-$22M (a third of the original's $65M).
There is a real chance now that TMNT2's domestic gross is under TMNT's opening weekend. Wow.
It should open to around $25 million based on that preview number. Joins Alice 2 for the biggest flop of the summer race.
Neighbors 2 is having a shockingly bad drop from the first. With a 7.6M Friday (including 1.6 M Thursday+midnight), it is doing around 19M for the weekend.
It won't lose money, since its budget is very small. But going UNDER 20M is an extremely poor performance.
This is performing great, but the opening would have been 200M+ if they just replaced 'Captain America' by 'Iron Man' in the title (or also just put Iron Man/Avengers in the title).
I am aware of that - but my argument was referring mostly to theatrical grosses since we have no idea yet how Cinderella would perform on DVD/Blu-Ray. But fair enough, Maleficent was solid there.
Both are big successes and btw, I have no desire to watch any of them either ("me male"). But I was just pointing out that Disney will probably make a bigger profit out of Cinderella, both being live-action fantasy adaptations.
Both did or are doing very well. But once you account for the budgets (95M for Cinderella and 180M for Maleficent), Cinderella is the big winner (at least domestically).
150 M is not locked, I don't think the WOM is going to be spectacular + competition from Blended (to some extent), and especially AMWTDITW. And it apparently only has a weak B cinemascore.