Johnny Tran

Ant-Man had zero End Game tie ins, far less promotion, far less everything.. I don't see the comparison at all. Marvel threw everything but the kitchen sink at this. Ant-Man was on its own.

Batman movies were cracking a billion before movies were cracking a billion. No reason to EVER put Bats on the shelf. That's like saying to Marvel, put Spider-Man on the shelf or hey Universal you should stop making those Minions movies. Not gonna happen.

I think you are lowballing the domestic run quite a bit. It should be able to handle around $415M. I think $1.1B is locked.

Will this pass Aquaman and Civil War? It's looking to me like $415M domestic and $720M OS. That's $1.135B. What do y'all think?

Funny to see the members who hate DC films have to say "it's okay, I guess" Really hurt your soul to give this some props, like pulling teeth lol

He is well known in comic circles and he's been in some animated features but overall he's not even in the top 50 I'd say with the general audience. There are many individual X-Men members who are more well known, for example.

Breakout is commencing...

Hope it goes up. I like when great movies are rewarded.

I'll be happy when these remakes are over. Not because I don't like some of them I just would like to see some original ideas.

I'm not disputing Summer weekdays, I am saying this has had an End Game bump from the onset of its marketing straight through this week with the new End Game trailer that stars her. Obviously that has helped I mean even polling data shows that it has helped.

WW is a valid comparison because while that had Summer weekdays, CM has zero competition to this point and has an indisputable End Game tie in and bump. To me those weigh heavier than the Summer weekdays.

CM isn't acting like a film that has transcended the genre in America (WW/BP). It's acting like a typical MCU movie which is huge OW and then solid/decent (not amazing) legs. Isn't that fine for it? It was never going to be received as well in North America as those other two films, it's not in my view a great movie, it's a solid origin flick I suppose. It's performing very well overseas so it's still going to surpass GOTG2, Thor Ragnorak, SMH, and their other recent releases. That's good for it. No reason to be down about it.

There's no telling how much End Game has boosted CM, but it has obviously had an impact as seen in polling data and Marvel themselves tied the marketing of this movie to End Game. There is no escaping that fact.

CM has End Game boost however.

I think it will. I have CM around $415-420.

I don't think we will have two movies over 40. I think Us could eat into CM a little bit too.

I love the confidence they have in this. Already talks of a sequel. That tells me the budget numbers are real and they expect to make a nice profit whether it breaks out or not. Sequel sounds like it could be huge.

After weeks of posters saying that Mary Poppins was going to do $400M+ domestic, it's very interesting that people are just writing that off as a Disney throwaway now lol. Shazam on the other hand has an obscene amount of competition. I hope WB ramps up the promo 1000% in the next week or so.

JL didn't help Aquaman. The only place where Aquaman opened huge was in China. It had great legs throughout the holidays mostly due to strong WOM. Shazam could be great and have great legs but it has a lot of competition so I think WB really needs to ramp up the marketing for OW.

There's an I'll say.. good chance at FFH being better received with critics/audiences than CM? The reviews for CM are middling and the legs on CM are looking ok. So I think there's a good chance that critics/audiences will like FFH more. Not saying they will but CM hasn't had a glowing response, it's had an ok/good response.

I disagree. If Spider-Man is a great movie then I think it deserves whatever it makes. Great movies should be rewarded.

A couple of those were disasters, a couple more were before OS numbers jumped off and SS didn't have China. Not to say CM isn't have a nice run OS but that list isn't great.

Sometimes things just are. St. Patrick's festivities people might celebrate Saturday, people might celebrate Sunday. Maybe they'll go next weekend, maybe it will be a sub 40% drop. I don't think the festivities played a factor at all. It's a pretty standard drop off a big opening weekend. It wasn't a 60% drop so that's good for it. It's too early to say it has good legs, bad legs or standard legs. It's looking like it'll be right in the middle to me. Which is fine. That means it will comfortably cross $400M and a billion. Not sure what more people are expecting. This isn't Black Panther and never was. It's closer to Guardians of the Galaxy 2 with a bigger OS.

This whole run is affected somewhat by End Game. It had a clear tie in. Anyone saying this has zero to do with End Game isn't paying attention to the surveys where most people said they are seeing it because of End Game. That's not to throw water on the parade because it would have done well on its own regardless.

CM isn't even in the same league. Neither box office or quality.