Maybe, it depends on OW and legs (which I now see at $40M-$42M, ending with $135M-$150M) and I see Sully ending with $120M-$130M gross. If Mag 7 gets a B or B+ CinemaScore then I'd see Sully over it.
I also can see a decent possibility (35% chance) for $150M for Trolls where it acts like how Peanuts did last year along with Doctor Strange acting like Spectre did last year, if it gets great (85%+ RT) reviews. At worst, it could make Turbo numbers if it gets middling reviews (<55%). With it having to deal with DS, Moana, and Sing, I see a high 20's OW ($27-$29M) with decent legs ($100-$120M).
While I do see Moana doing anywhere from $250M-$300M this holiday, it depends on how Disney markets Moana these next few months, and doesn't pay more marketing attention to DS or RO. If they botch it $250M is the maximum total, if they ace it $300M+.
Predictions for upcoming $100M+ films
$500M+
Rogue One
$400M+
$300M+
Sing
Moana
FB
$200M+
DS
M7
Passengers
$150M+
Storks
LLL
$100M+
Sausage Party
Sully
The Accountant
Hacksaw Ridge
Arrival
Trolls
Birth of A Nation