Valonqar
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Posts posted by Valonqar
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New openers - FB2, IF and Widows - have absolutely abysmal PTA. I'm not sure they'll hold that well during the holiday week especially if new movies (well, some of them) are what people actually want to see.
BR OS numbers are wonder to behold. truly stunning and well-deserved. Would be monster numbers for a SH/other blockbuster, let alone a musical biopic. Perhaps if Solo was set to Queen tunes like GOTG was to awesome mixed tapes, it would have been a hit?
Never trust festival bubble hype. Those people are not normies. They are clueless about what GA wants to see.
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Come through, Amy! While I'd prefer a lead Oscar, I'll settle for Supporting for now.
So Cooper or Bale?
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Note to studios - if your new franchise has bland characters and story, loading the sequel with known faces and forced connections is not gonna help the boxoffice.
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2 minutes ago, filmlover said:
Next weekend I have Ralph with $68M and Creed II with $50M over the 5-day frame. Robin Hood will bomb with about $11M over the 5-day. No idea about Green Book although the limited numbers certainly aren't promising.
Likely over RH. That movie's boxoffice gonna make Spider Web's boxoffice look like Venom.
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18 minutes ago, Premium George said:
Pokemon is definitely much bigger but power rangers, Godzilla amd other Japanese properties didn't do that hot. And japan have their own taste, maybe they don't like pikachu being voiced by deadpool.
Jk, it will do half a billion dollars here.
Isn't Pikachu going to to be voiced by a Japanese actor anyway? They won't hear Deadpool's voice. They don't even have to use the actor who voices Deadpool in Japan.
That said, I agree that Japan likely won't care for yet another Hollywood version of Japanese IP.
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People are simply not interested in movies released this week so I expect Ralph and Creed 2 to blow up. I think they'll benefit from indifference towards this week's releases. I especially want Creed 2 to break out cause of Mike and Tessa.
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PTA for all new movies is abysmal.
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Aren't Ralph, Creed 2 and war-hardened crusader flooding the theaters on Wednesday? So this weekend's new movies won't have even a full week to themselves.
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@filmlover In immortal words of Pretty Woman "big mistake. Huge" considering that all newbies are underperforming.
@Premium George I can accept that reason.
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WTF is with drops????? BR's 200M goal evaporated with this ridiculous nose dive. What's happening?
@Slambros Widows and GB were never in contention for wins, only noms. There was a brief moment of "Viggo might upset BCoop" but Viggo's N Bomb demolished that. Not that he would upset Coop anyway. So no matter the boxoffice, nothing would have changed since they are vying only for also-run spots not for wins.
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13 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:
I agree. I hate that Widows is being called a flop without us seeing any numbers.
Exactly. Just another day on BOT where flop and bomb are attached to everything. Movie drops 0.01% = crumbling.
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Once again, we don't even have the second Friday estimate and people are already burying movies because the super early one wasn't 50M. Wait for new estimate to see if something is flopping or not. It could go up.
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19 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:
There’s something about the HP-films that does puzzle me a little bit. How come characters like Ginny, Neville, Seamus, Luna & some other students didn’t join in with Harry, Hermione & Ron on their quests in the movies more often whenever the trio’s in danger and need help (Yeah, i know some of them did that in OOTP, but i meant more like that moment)? It would have been a lot easier for the gang survive from being injured or almost killed by any Death-eater or Voldemort himself. Kinda hard to do it alone.
Especially Ginny, who’s Harry’s girlfriend. And she’s not that often there for him when he needs help or something?
It makes sense because juggling so many characters at the same time would be tough. That's why stories and movies prefer duos and trios.
Also, fuck HP where Ginny is even more prominent than she already was. awful, awful character, horrid romance, just ugh.
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5 minutes ago, Brainbug said:
And because Tom Hardy + Venom makes for a highly entertaining combination. I do think the film enjoys its good WOM partly, because many people were genuinely surprised that they liked it as much as they did. Popular characters/Great marketing can give you a great OW, but legs are always heavily dependant on WOM.
Absolutely. Right actor in the right role worth gold. Tom + Venom = perfect. RDJ + Stark/IM = perfect. RR + Deadpool = perfect. Etc. Oft recast characters such as Batman and Spiderman have different levels of popularity depending on who plays them. Some soar, some plummet.
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4 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:
Leonardo Dicaprio is the only draw around. He's the only one that can sell dramas, thrillers and action movies.
Preach. He really has the cross appeal that eludes many other stars who are mostly one genre driven. Big Willy had that power in his hayday (Pursuit of Happiness, Hitch were huge hits and not action/sci fi where Willy was consistently reliable) and Sandra has it too outside of romcom and comedy (Blind Side = drama, Gravity = action/sci fi, Ocean's 8 = heist).
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Widows is a WOM movie so it's really too early to judge. Give it time. It may hold well during holidays when everything will have decent to good holds. I think that market is too full of adult-skewing movies and people prioritize those that they already have interest in (BR for Queen, FB for Potter, ASIB for Gaga). Big test is going to be Creed 2 cause it's yet another adult skewing movie with built-in fandom. If Widows pulls an ASIB against that, like how ASIB held in the wake of BR, it'll be fine.
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those weekend numberas cannot stick for 5M and 5.5M Friday cause they would indicate collapse on Saturday. And that ain't gonna happen for movies that aren't frontloaded. Variety and THR are blindly reporting Deadline crap. No way either makes under 15M let alone 12-13M lol give me a break.
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2 minutes ago, filmlover said:
Those multipliers Deadline is predicting for Widows and Instant Family sure are funny.
Deadline could never do the math. They had various people write for boxoffice column and each and every of them couldn't do the math. I guess that's requirement for the position.
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6 minutes ago, Nova said:
Wait a minute. I just saw the Friday's for Instant Family and Widows. I want to know how the hell Deadline is getting $12.5M and $13.3M with those Friday numbers. Especially since their preview to Friday is not front loaded at all
IKR? IF should jump considerably on Saturday.
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18 minutes ago, DAJK said:
Everything except Beasts is increasing from Deadline's weekend lowballs IMO. That 12.5M for Instant Family from a 5M Friday seems ridiculous
yeah, Deadline always lowballs. Still I got scared.
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Any hope BR goes higher than that ridiculously low 16M projection? I don't want it to lose #3.
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that's too low for BR. Are they sure?
Bohemian Rhapsody OS: $684M OS | $900M WW
in International Box Office
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The movie truly makes people feel. I hope it legs it up to over 500M.