JB33
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Everything posted by JB33
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What about it? Good or bad in your opinion?
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@SteveJaros
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I agree about the calendar. That's why I used Charlotte's Web in 2006 as a comparison.
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Anyone else think TLJ could jump as high as 14.5% today like CHARLOTTE'S WEB did in 2006? Looking back at the other openers on December 15 that year, THE PURSUIT OF HAPPINESS stayed pretty much flat (-0.7%) and ERAGON fell 3.4% after falling a huge 68.8% on Monday. The former's target audience was adults and the latter was a complete turd. You take a 4-quadrant movie that's received well and I think there's potential for a decent jump, rather than a flat gross.
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@EmpireCity Looking at the box office trends from 2006, is there a chance that Star Wars being the huge brand it is can compensate a bit for those trends? The Monday drop obviously did hold true to the 2006 data, but I'm still wondering if we could see a bit better 2nd weekend for TLJ than most here are prognosticating.
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@Rth Ragnarok @EmpireCity What's it looking like tonight?
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No chance of a 3.5x multi for $770M?
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Odds on Rth showing up tonight?
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I expect a 10x multi for Avatar 2.
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Clearly it does make a big difference if only 31% of schools are out today compared to 48% last year.
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Am I alone in thinking NEXT Tuesday could be the perfect storm for TLJ? It's Boxing Day and cheap Tuesday! That mix is perfect for huge box office numbers.
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This. Am I the only one who's looking at that going "Yeah, and..."? I realize a $20M Monday is great news whatever the circumstances but let's call a spade a spade: it's pretty much expected. We have to wait and see where in the 20's this will land.
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Uh...i would. Very.
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I'm aware. ROGUE ONE last year fell 53.3% under the same circumstances. Don't you think TLJ, being a saga film, could have a slightly better drop? Like 48-50%? -
My personal target (Note: not a benchmark for success or failure, just a mark I'm hoping it reaches) is $770M and a 3.5 multi.
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Precisely. Nobody I know gives a crap and I certainly don't.
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Star Wars will always win. Always.
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That weekend of June 19-21 was ridiculous. JW had an insane 2nd weekend of $100M+ and IO still managed $90M. I mean, that's an amazing result for both even if they were both left all on their own.
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Still hoping for $25M+ today.
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So it did end up dropping 20% on Sunday. A lot of people here were sure it wouldn't drop that much. I guess the night shows were just softer than expected. Still an enormous weekend overall. The big 3 of STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS, JURASSIC WORLD and THE AVENGERS are still king in terms of each day of the weekend minus previews though. If TLJ couldn't do it, it's going to be really tough for anyone to top the $62M+ true Fridays, $68M+ Saturdays and $57M+ Sundays of those 3 juggernauts.
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So pretty much $220M on the dot. Nice!
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In my dreams. I'm thinking $25M-$26M, which is a 50% or more drop from a $52M Sunday. Subject to change pending actuals.
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Waiting, waiting for actuals.
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Yes! Absolutely. One of the first things I thought of when pondering the movie after was Hamill's performance.
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A $56M Sunday gets it almost on par with JURASSIC WORLD and THE AVENGERS. I don't know if it goes that high, unless there is spillover from Saturday for some reason.
