JB33

So no chance for a 125% jump then huh?

Merry Christmas to you all! Nice to wake up to that number for TLJ. A $39M Christmas Day is in play.

ROGUE ONE had accumulated 53.7% of its domestic gross at the 10 day mark. Using that same figure, THE LAST JEDI would end up with $679,866,585. Is it safe to say that, given the Calendar, TLJ might be a little more backloaded? If so, it has a chance to crack $700M.

Yes, because the Friday increase was not good at all.

Yep, which says something since baumer has been critical of TLJ's dailies since OW.

Yeah I don't know what to make of it. I'm trying to ask more, say less about things with which I'm not quite as learned as others yet.

What's everyone's take on the overseas gross for TLJ?

It does not have great word of mouth. It doesn't have bad word of mouth either. Just not great. Calendar factor aside, I'm convinced that with great word of mouth the first Monday drop would have been better and thus the weekdays would have been significantly better, which would have boosted the 2nd Friday etc. Etc.

Ah fuck it. @Broadwayfreak66

If that TLJ increase holds true, it will have almost matched PoH jump back in 2006, which is pretty good. Not going to hold my breath for that number to hold though. No offense @The Greatest Rth.

Great post! This is where Lucasfilm is leaps and bounds ahead of Marvel Studios. They don't just have a slate of movies, they have all this other material to go along with it, all of which is canon and carries a varying degree of importance to the overall lore. For instance, the novel 'Leia: Princess of Alderaan' first introduces the character of Amilyn Holdo and her relationship with Leia, as well as the world of Crait, not TLJ.

Bingo. Read this @EmpireCity and others instead of chastising people for their take on the box office performance. People here aren't stupid. We GET that these are big numbers either way. But you folks aren't stupid either and you know that this run so far post-OW has not gone as it should have.

Yeah, I don't know about anyone else but I'm not going to continue doing any personal estimates or have any expectations. Of course, it doesn't help when actuals keep coming in under both Deadline's and Rth's numbers. It's clear TLJ is playing by its own rules, RO or 2006 be damned.

What do you think of Giacchino's RO score?

I'm not surprised in the least. Almost everyone I talk to says things like "Why would I go to the theatre when I can stay home and watch Netflix or I can wait a few months and rent the new movies on cable?". It's depressing. It makes me want to give even more of my money to cinemas. They're basically my 2nd home and this prevalent attitude in society nowadays of "I want to be able to do everything now and in the comfort of my own home" could end up being the death of them. It's sad. I go to so many movies alone because it's like pulling teeth to get some friends together and go. They just can't be bothered.

All time biggest 2nd Saturdays: Star Wars: The Force Awakens $56,731,532 Marvel's The Avengers $42,905,519 Jurassic World $39,112,435 Beauty and the Beast (2017) $38,292,423 Avengers: Age of Ultron $33,835,656 Iron Man 3 $32,053,127 Captain America: Civil War $31,960,342 Spider-Man $30,505,929 The Hunger Games: Catching Fire $28,401,259 Avatar $28,274,406 The Dark Knight $28,272,494

Cool idea! I'll be looking forward to seeing how all your predictions play out.

I don't know if this has anything to do with it but I noticed the packaging for the TLJ line of toys didn't indicate anywhere it was based on TLJ. They just say STAR WARS and the only way you know the toys tie in to the movie, at least for me, is Rey's design. She's wearing the hair and outfit you see in the trailers. In the past, toys were labeled with the logo for the corresponding movie. I don't know, I think that's a critical detail anyway.

The holidays will logically provide a nice bump, but most people here are done holding their breath that the holidays will be huge enough to make up for the mediocre drops after opening weekend. We will see standard holiday bumps, if that. That's just to be expected.

I think it has a lot more to do with TLJ than TFA.

You should really just go see the movie.

Good post. I wouldn't say I'm glad to see it underperforming - actually pretty disappointed - but I do see what you're saying. I know I've sure learned a lesson this week. I'm going forward with zero expectations really. Come to think of it, my feelings on TLJ's box office closely mirrors my feelings on the film itself. Objectively good movie and good box office performance, but at the end my enthusiasm is rather muted.

You'll get flak for this post but it's very true.

Looking like TLJ really is TFA's own Age of Ultron: A big movie in and of itself, with not too big a drop on the opening weekend, but with a sizeable drop in WOM and domestic total. Domestic total I saw coming, it wasn't going to come anywhere near $936M, but I saw better WOM coming and much better dailies.

Yep, this is probably bang on.