Barnack

It is playing in my city since at least Tuesday and they are counting Monday in it (that would be seven days).

PTA for a single week day, isn't a metric I often see to be able to think much of it, does not feel impressive to me but....

35m for the first 7 days (or 6) ? 27.7m 4 days weekend, precedent for this weekend look like: Multiplier OW of 27.7 with the same legs Eight Below 3.27 90.54 John Q. 3.04 84.18 Safe Haven 2.92 80.77 Bridge to Terabithia 2.88 79.86 The Spiderwick Chronicles 2.88 79.71 Step Up 2 the Streets 2.62 72.64 Unknown 2.50 69.31 Jumper 2.50 69.20 I Am Number Four 2.42 67.07 A Good Day to Die Hard 2.35 65.14 RoboCop (2014) 2.34 64.78 Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance 2.03 56.31 About Last Night (2014) 1.75 48.40 Average 71.38 Will it be on the higher ends of those example for a 80-90m run ? A bit Blade Runnerish.

I didn't fully follow everything, but in general 1) I do not like how leaking institution are getting, those still in development stuff getting public (if not made up) sound terrible. 2) It could be some love story/other personal conflict turning really bad, with those 2 (the extras wanting to be actor kind of people being good candidate to that type of story with an actor) wanting to take revenge and hiding their tracks using hate speech thinking they would never be suspected, with him knowing nothing about it and at night with mask not recognizing them. Or it could a big hoax for attention they made, also possible I imagine, but it is build on a lot of one source in the know is saying, no need to have any opinion before it get all clarified possibly just by next week.

Do you have a source for him saying the attackers were white ? Ok yes, found it: He also said that he believes he would have been taken more seriously if his attackers were not Caucasian. It is something that would been easy to have assumed if they said what they said, with the attack occuring at night by masked people

Lot of issues, a mix of too rushed part (Connelly character turn around being a big example of that) and yet feel like we do not have all the story at the same time, bad mix. It feel a lot like an adaptation and not writing has a movie from the start. Did the hidden faced villain looked a lot like James Cameron on purpose ? Anyway a lot of elite stuff in there, lot of money, some good sequence that make it worth a watch and a sequel imo, the lead character is just a lot of fun. But despite the budget and not telling all of the story, we still have a lot but really a lot of people talking exposition, some dynamic enough walking in the city for the first time and the fish out of the water cheap trick to do the exposition still have a pass, but some of Dyson Ido explaining her past sitting down felt like didn't had the money they needed and wanted for this.

Not sure that guy is open to thinking. Why is Alita so sexualized ? She is a cyborg !!!! And, why is the Alita cyborg so sexualized ? It is based on anime (that sexualize everything a lot), that does not empty the question, it just make it why that anime cyborg so sexualize.

??

True enough, even RPO rumored 175-180m budget is still far from JL 300m, but I took movie that were considered nice big success also. If Justice League was an total original affair like a Jupiter Ascending, no one would have called it a bomb I think, it still more than doubled is big budget.

Oh my yeah if that happen it does challenge Alice you are right, that would be a rare "public" stumble for Blum, usually their failure are not sequel (nor big budget) so goes quite in the low profile, if not never released.

Happy Death day 1 openned to 26m OW, how low this one could go for this to be worst than Alice 2 in percentage term ? Would it not go at least above 10m for the 3 days ? I think the first one trailer / music in the trailer was a giant part of is success. Maybe Russian Doll on Netflix created some fatigue for the high concept also, it got quite popular.

Franchise made it muddier for sure, because in the past it would have been a Flop (Mars Needs Moms) and an light underperformer if one for JL. Justice League still did considerably above RPO money or The Meg, it made 95% of Peter Jackson King Kong adjusted for inflation.

It must some group performance.

Is first choice quite competition dependent ?

I would imagine it is not like STX didn't sold I feel pretty to the biggest bidders exactly like Warner did for this: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=intl&id=ifeelpretty.htm&sort=studio&order=ASC&p=.htm Our brain still make some big difference between Netflix versus an other buyer on a market, but for the sellers not sure if there is much if any difference.

They set net in the paragraph, strongly implying $237m net. It is definitely on the high end for a project like that, but so was $170M in a way, Cameron at Fox has the cache for that, like when Heyman got to make a Gravity at WB, producers-studio relation can give budget. Intl profit tend to be in international tv deal, making the sell to netflix probably quite comparable to other intl sales. They certainly paid more than expected just theatrical profits they are a small part of intl profits.

No one I think, many presenters will probably a bit more text to compensate I imagine, I didn't watch the previous ceremony with no hosts of the past.

Pure speculation on my part but I feel like some of those Disney (or just event movie in general) that could underperform get a lot of unregular audience out to theater, if they underperform the box office of the rest would probably not gain much. A bit like when we look at summers Box office with or without a Pixar release, it seem to have a direct boost or lack when they skip a year or Star Wars Christmas season: 2018 $2,511.6 -19.0% 60 $41.9 137 $18.3 -37.9% Aquaman $328.4 13.1% 2017 $3,100.8 +7.6% 59 $52.6 101 $30.7 -24.4% Star Wars: The Last Jedi $620.2 20.0% 2016 $2,882.6 +1.3% 59 $48.9 109 $26.4 -36.4% Rogue One $532.2 18.5% 2015 $2,845.5 +25.2% 58 $49.1 104 $27.4 -41.9% Star Wars: The Force Awakens $936.7 32.9% 350m just went away.

It is true, a remake of the Intouchable like Green Book, a cops playing by the rules and an others being more rogue bodycops action-comedy are not necessarily more "original" than a Top Gun 2 (well depending, but that one seem like quite the challenge to come up with a story) But even in the most relative and subjective gray continuum, the remake of a movie (that was itself based on an already very popular story) feel like it iis no Tomorrowland, 2001 a space odyssey, BlackSwan, La la land, Tree of Life, etc...

In Jupiter Ascending days, Disney was funding Tomorrowland around the same time. Pretty certain Futurist is talking about very right now, when stuff like Alita are starting to feel original to people.

Well yes ? Non Disney people have not the franchises that would allow them to do with they do. In 2018 it was pretty much 0 original for them: Rank Movie Title (click to view) Studio Total Gross / Theaters Opening / Theaters Open Close 1 Black Panther BV $700,059,566 4,084 $202,003,951 4,020 2/16 8/9 2 Avengers: Infinity War BV $678,815,482 4,474 $257,698,183 4,474 4/27 9/13 3 Incredibles 2 BV $608,581,744 4,410 $182,687,905 4,410 6/15 12/13 4 Ant-Man and the Wasp BV $216,648,740 4,206 $75,812,205 4,206 7/6 11/1 5 Solo: A Star Wars Story BV $213,767,512 4,381 $84,420,489 4,381 5/25 9/20 6 Ralph Breaks the Internet BV $197,572,913 4,017 $56,237,634 4,017 11/21 - 7 Mary Poppins Returns BV $169,763,349 4,090 $23,523,121 4,090 12/19 - 8 A Wrinkle in Time BV $100,478,608 3,980 $33,123,609 3,980 3/9 7/5 9 Disney's Christopher Robin BV $99,215,042 3,602 $24,585,139 3,602 8/3 11/29 10 The Nutcracker and the Four Realms BV $54,858,851 3,766 $20,352,491 3,766 11/2 - In 2019, also planned to go for zero original movies: Captain Marvel Buena Vista 3/8/19 Dumbo (2019) Buena Vista 3/29/19 Penguins (Disneynature) Buena Vista 4/17/19 Avengers: Endgame Buena Vista 4/26/19 Aladdin (2019) Buena Vista 5/24/19 Toy Story 4 Buena Vista 6/21/19 The Lion King (2019) Buena Vista 7/19/19 Artemis Fowl Buena Vista 8/9/19 Frozen 2 Buena Vista 11/22/19 Star Wars: Episode IX Buena Vista 12/20/19 Not only 0 original, but only 2 adaptation (Fowl and Wrinkle) that is not part of already on going franchise or a remake. You pretty much just have to make one original movie, to make more original movies than Disney at this point. When you look at how much money there in their franchise business, it is normal for just movies to not look interesting for them right now, that an high risk low ROI business model that would be a bit of a waste of money for Disney.

Good bet they are, release is still what more than 2 months away ? Alita changed a lot from trailers to release.

We all remember all the complains about Zootopia and Moana.... (never ending complain)