Barnack

There is a 40 anniversary event Grease 40th Anniversary (1978) presented by TCM: https://www.cinemark.com/grease

They just stopped to track Intl box office of Wrinkle of Time on comscore right ? Last weekend it made a: 9,494,000 worldwide with 4.8M intl and now it does not appear in their top 24..... It is at: + Foreign: $26,369,911 22.6% on Mojo, after Sunday the 1 april, it was at 21,100,000

Yeah since I follow this, I expect that title to be the most pre-sales heavy of them all, I expect low marketing for it and going on almost purely on it's fanbase. For Rampage it look slow by moment and still out of the top 10, but it is almost doubling (188%) a pg-13 Universal Blumhouse entry and those usually open really well and are frontloaded.

In part it could be that they are making hundreds and hundreds of them, and if you do not release them much during the award/christmas time nor summer blockbuster time, they will cram spring/fall: https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/genre/Horror Of the hundreds talked above, as much as 41 seem to trying to get a theatrical release... with only 5 of those in the months of may, jun, july, august month and only 2 in nov/dec, leaving 34 in only 6 month or 1.3 horror movie every week. If you have something with a low entry bar in a free enough market that look profitable, market force will normally make sure to generate so many of them for the ROI on horror to not be higher than the rest overall of those 40+ 2018 horrors movie outside Blumhouse, not many will be successful and you still have to pay for all of those going direct to video or not at all.

About the last 34 hours (combined 3d, imax, etc... together), bolded yet to release, super troopers have been showing up for a long time now and does not slow down: A Quiet Place 20652 Avengers Infinity War 12228 Blockers 5213 Tyler Perrys Acrimony 2162 Ready Player One 6546 Chappaquiddick 1685 Black Panther 2556 I Can Only Imagine 1486 Isle of Dogs 1315 Rampage 865 Sherlock Gnomes 624 The Miracle Season 619 Love, Simon 575 Pacific Rim Uprising (2018) 894 A Wrinkle in Time 557 Super Troopers 2 498 Paul, Apostle of Christ 410 Blumhouses Truth or Dare 458 Gods Not Dead A Light in Darkness 213 Grease 40th Anniversary 316 The Leisure Seeker 108 Tomb Raider (2018) 317 Walking dead 248 The Metropolitan Opera 213 The Death of Stalin 177 Game Night (2018) 186 Krishnarjuna Yudham 18 I Feel Pretty 63

Movie open tomorrow the 11 in the UK, the 12 in a lot of place including the US, must be tomorrow morning at the latest right ?

Ok maybe not make those movies, but it would be fun if they would make the trailers for them at least.

Not many, but that a bit of a circle, not many because how hard it is to make a 40m live action OW. If by expensive you have in mind 85m or more budget like a Geostorm/Ghost in a shell, Monster Truck, BFG, Great Wall, Deepwater Horizon, Valerian, God of Egypt, there is not that many. But even with some name recognition when it is not the strongest IP: Blade Runner, Mummy, Tarzan, King Arthur, Ben Hur, Miss Peregrine, Magnificent seven, PRU, Tomb Raider, Assassin Creed, the last Alien with good review did 36m. In 2017 to take that example, non horror live action without a strong IP (list was quickly made): Blade Runner, Valerian, Geostorm, Monster Truck, Ghost in a shell, King Arthur, Promise/Great Wall do not really count I guess, Even with a somewhat strong ip/sequel: Mummy, Alien Covenant, xxx Xander Cage, Kingsman Power rangers made it in extremist with 40.3m and Dunkirk. RPO barely did it, Spielberg 180m movie with giant marketings, holiday, impressive 4,200 theater with the imax/3d, the Kingsman movie never made it to 40, it is an high bar. One that would not be shocking to miss for an almost original movie from a box office point of view (that said 50+m for this would not be shocking either, gap between floor and ceiling can be large for movies like that)

Wait could we have some giant The Meg shark trilogy movie and it is in the third one they really go all cheasy !? Could we have a sequel were they go bigger, like bigger shark, more tourist dying, shark with weapon's ? Now that movie need to break out.

That a giant group of people to have a party with. Greenlight by high-exec (maybe even owner considering the size) of Flagship Entertainment, Gravity Pictures, China Media Capital, Warner Brothers. It even have the Auckland Tourism, Events and Economic Development involved has a partner.... They built this in part for this movie, but it will be permanent: https://www.aucklandnz.com/film/auckland-film-industry/film-studios/kumeu-film-studios

Both Pre-sales and tracking are really special and a clean different step above Ultron/Civil War/everything ever if I understand the number correctly and if they are for the same amount of time before release date. It bring a part of Guardian gained audience, a part of Panthers gained audience, Panthers just did over 200m and Infinity wars seem to be above it in every way thus far tracking/selling wise.

Do you mean it take not being a serious trailer at all in a too calculated/scientific tested way to appear as such mindless fun but didn't achieve to do it ? The "Wrong", the dog, the this summer trailer moment, well the giant shark, the Wilson quip, pretty much everything was so little serious that you cannot imagine someone making a spoof of this movie, like Jurassic World didn't took itself seriously at all. Has for the 150m budget rumors that a good question, apparently a lot of giant production went into it: https://variety.com/2017/film/asia/meg-helps-new-zealand-kumeu-film-studio-1202001354/ That had a 156m budget that we can be sure about for a recent comparable: Had a big paycheck director to pay, I imagine similar lead deal and some water production that tend to be costly. A lot of the fight with the shark/consequence of the shark attack money shoots were not in the trailer, I imagine after trailer #3 it could feel like a Deepwater horizon like budget.

That close to an "honest trailer"..... Could work really well with audience, they could feel the need to experience the ridicule with a big crowd (like watching The Room in theater) to have the full experience. Kind of think it could work.

Shocked even with the tracking showing 35m and nothing special since then happened about that movie (except A quiet place second weekend being a bigger than expected even if it is more than different enough to find all audience there): http://variety.com/2018/film/news/box-office-dwayne-johnson-rampage-opening-weekend-1202733783/amp/ Possible obviously, 45/50m is possible, but 35m is hardly shocking considering that Johnson has one non franchise entry 40m+ OW in is hole career so far with San Andreas (Jumanji being a december 36m is probably an equivalent of over 45m, but that a franchise title with Hart) and giant disaster movies can open above 60m with an non-star cast (day after tomorrow, 2012 for examples) And non horror/not strong IP live action opening 40m+ in 2016/2017/2018: 0 in 2016 Dunkirk 2017 RPO kinda in 2018 (still a somewhat popular book) And those are giant director's above with giant 150m+ movies with special marketing/good reviews-buzz going on. Need to go back to 2015 with The Martian/San Andreas to find some, it is just extremely rare now a day to have a 40m non horror/not a strong IP to do that kind of figure (San Andreas/RPO showing how possible it is, even to reach 50 obviously, but it would not be bad to get 35/37m for this, it should be an fully international play with a good intl multi over dbo and should not have Pru/TR type of WW legs).

Was a bit over 20m spent on tv a good 2 weeks before release: http://variety.com/2018/film/news/blockers-studio-tv-ad-spending-1202741540/ WB is not know to go cheap on the tv ads (tend to be the biggest spender on them), I would imagine we will see it quite a bit during the nhl playoff starting this wednesday. Not sure what to make of those fandango pre-sales number too, some hours it is outsold by Truth or Dare, must imagine it will pick up tomorrow or after tomorrow (and Avengers will be some kind of monster): 2018-04-09 18:00:00 1362 A Quiet Place 2018-04-09 18:00:00 368 Avengers Infinity War 2018-04-09 18:00:00 321 Blockers 2018-04-09 18:00:00 256 Ready Player One 2018-04-09 18:00:00 118 Tyler Perrys Acrimony 2018-04-09 18:00:00 115 Black Panther 2018-04-09 18:00:00 82 Avengers Infinity War 3D 2018-04-09 18:00:00 81 Isle of Dogs 2018-04-09 18:00:00 61 I Can Only Imagine 2018-04-09 18:00:00 60 Chappaquiddick 2018-04-09 18:00:00 53 Pacific Rim Uprising (2018) 2018-04-09 18:00:00 52 Ready Player One 3D 2018-04-09 18:00:00 52 Avengers Infinity War The IMAX 2D Experience 2018-04-09 18:00:00 37 Blumhouses Truth or Dare (2018) 2018-04-09 18:00:00 36 Love, Simon 2018-04-09 18:00:00 34 Ready Player One An IMAX 3D Experience 2018-04-09 18:00:00 32 Rampage (2018) 2018-04-09 18:00:00 30 The Miracle Season 2018-04-09 18:00:00 27 Avengers Infinity War An IMAX 3D Experience 2018-04-09 18:00:00 27 Tomb Raider (2018)

10 year's is a short time everything on that list that get a sequel close enough to 2027 has a good chance to be indirectly remembered, if you look at 2008 yearl'y top 20: 1 The Dark Knight WB $533,345,358 4,366 $158,411,483 4,366 7/18 3/5 2 Iron Man Par. $318,412,101 4,154 $98,618,668 4,105 5/2 10/2 3 Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull Par. $317,101,119 4,264 $100,137,835 4,260 5/22 10/16 4 Hancock Sony $227,946,274 3,965 $62,603,879 3,965 7/2 9/7 5 WALL-E BV $223,808,164 3,992 $63,087,526 3,992 6/27 1/8 6 Kung Fu Panda P/DW $215,434,591 4,136 $60,239,130 4,114 6/6 10/9 7 Twilight Sum. $192,769,854 3,649 $69,637,740 3,419 11/21 4/2 8 Madagascar: Escape 2 Africa P/DW $180,010,950 4,065 $63,106,589 4,056 11/7 2/26 9 Quantum of Solace Sony $168,368,427 3,501 $67,528,882 3,451 11/14 1/25 10 Dr. Seuss' Horton Hears a Who! Fox $154,529,439 3,961 $45,012,998 3,954 3/14 9/4 11 Sex and the City WB (NL) $152,647,258 3,325 $57,038,404 3,285 5/30 9/18 12 Gran Torino WB $148,095,302 3,045 $271,720 6 12/12 6/18 13 Mamma Mia! Uni. $144,130,063 3,194 $27,751,240 2,976 7/18 11/6 14 Marley and Me Fox $143,153,751 3,505 $36,357,586 3,480 12/25 4/30 15 The Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian BV $141,621,490 3,929 $55,034,805 3,929 5/16 9/4 16 Slumdog Millionaire FoxS $141,319,928 2,943 $360,018 10 11/12 5/28 17 The Incredible Hulk Uni. $134,806,913 3,508 $55,414,050 3,505 6/13 9/4 18 Wanted Uni. $134,508,551 3,185 $50,927,085 3,175 6/27 9/18 19 Get Smart WB $130,319,208 3,915 $38,683,480 3,911 6/20 11/6 20 The Curious Case of Benjamin Button Par. $127,509,326 2,988 $26,853,816 2,988 12/25 4/23 Argument could be made for Madagascar 2, Dr Seus and Marley and me is well remembered. Only one MCU entry is somewhat getting forgotten with Lee Hulk because it felt outside of it, being a MCU fully integrated movie make you certain to be remembered for a very long time for example.

Apparently the book that was made for that one was brutal (and Tom Hanks the actor exist in that universe and meet Gump). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gump_and_Co. Forrest Gump tells readers "Don't never let nobody make a movie of your life's story," though "Whether they get it right or wrong, it doesn't matter." Seem to have been influenced quite a bit with the battle between the studio and the writer (that signed a contract without a accountant for the movie and accepted that the studio could put together a list of movies to calculate the profit instead of having is bonus calculated on Forest Gump profits leaving him with nothing) That give credence that Forest Gump is a very dark comedy were everyone with a dream to do something are all killed and those without any goal or dream (or dream to die young in combat) end up rich happy billionaire. A script was still done from it too.

But all quite reasonable hot takes, well done.

Apparently it is and is "strength" is to not feel like a lecture at all (not seen but what I did read about it).

Oh Interstellar 2 with what happen with Ann/Matthew on that planet with at a during this time a the ranch story line of what happen with the small humanity restarting from scratch but with high tech with those 2 destiny somewhat meeting again in some ways could be a lot of fun and like for an Inception 2 it would be greenlight easily with a giant budget. No doubt many would be interested (to be in it, to producer/distribute it/watch it, etc....), my comments was not in that sense, it was more it is really unsurprising to me that Nolan didn't do a sequel since the Batman and it is also not surprising that a studio do not do a sequel of is movies without him being involved (if they have the rights to do so, he could put in is contract that he has to sign off on them)

I imagine it could be loosing Lord&Miller for Star Wars and now being in a situation were it would be many year's after 21/22 JS participated into that not happening.

Reading a little bit about that project just made me learn something, director can be brought has development deal and not really to direct the movie, for example: http://variety.com/2014/film/asia/jaden-smiths-karate-kid-sequel-draws-breck-eisner-to-direct-1201153638/ Sony has signed Breck Eisner to direct its sequel to “The Karate Kid,” its hit 2010 actioner starring Jaden Smith and Jackie Chan. In a leaked sony email of the same day: This is just a development deal. Jean, don't hit that over the head but let Fleming know Breck is being brought on to supervise a new draft. We don't have cast deals or a start date. Couple of months later: http://www.slashfilm.com/karate-kid-2-loses-breck-eisner-gains-new-writers/ It wasn’t until earlier this year that the sequel finally found a director in Breck Eisner— and now it seems it’s directorless again as Eisner has exited.

That movie made a giant 198.5m in gross profits (91.2m in talent bonus and 97.4m to Sony) from over 400m in revenues with a 45m production budget.... There was talk about a sequel and even focus group/audience poll made about it: https://wikileaks.org/sony/emails/emailid/179884 Confidentially, an option on doing a sequel to our “The Karate Kid” has arisen and it may be possible for a Summer 2015 release. The Karate Kid 2: Please provide an estimate high/low range if this film were to be made for a 2015 release, most likely in the summer in the U.S. Jaden Smith and Jackie Chan would star, storyline not too dissimilar to the sequel of the original Karate Kid film, but take place in Beijing with a climax in Hong Kong at a mixed martial arts tournament. Censorship rating/tone would be similar to the last film. ----- We feel the findings are pretty clear. While it is covered in detail within the report, the main takeaways are as follows: · The Karate Kid is a brand that adults have more affinity towards than kids, though kids liked the 2010 movie more than adults.· Relative to other family brands (Wimpy Kid, Journey to the Center of the Earth, Percy Jackson, Night at the Museum) The Karate Kid is middle of the pack among adults, and trails these other brands with kids.· Karate Kid’s strengths relative to these other brands are its inspirational tone, good message, and the nostalgia adults feel for it.· After being exposed to a short concept for the sequel, interest levels do not rise significantly, and are heavily concentrated among families, and African-American moviegoers.· Jaden is very polarizing, particularly with general audience and parents, less so with kids.· There is a worry, particularly among girls but with parents as well, that the plot will focus too much on Dre, and too much on the martial arts fighting.· Mr. Han is the most important character to parents, kids, and general audience. Mr. Han’s relationship with Dre is the most important element of the brand, and seeing Dre help Mr. Han the most compelling hook in the sequel.· Seeing several different martial arts styles is more appealing than just focusing on one.· Rating has no impact on the majority of moviegoers. Parents prefer PG while the general audience prefers PG-13, though the general audience has the biggest overcomes with Jaden. Regardless of rating, a tonal balance is key.· The majority of moviegoers have no preference on setting, but when forced to choose, Tokyo is the most interesting. ------ Main issue seem to have been the star: It's not all bad news, but you're right on two key aspects: 1) Jaden is a significant liability. 2) We may have missed our moment. People's affection for the remake has faded over time. They really liked the movie and Jaden in the immediate aftermath of the remake, but that goodwill has dissipated. With loosing the crowd that went to the first because of Nostalgia being an other big concern.

Are you really surprised that Nolan didn't do a sequel or that the studio didn't do one without him ? I am a bit surprised by people being surprised by some of those entry not getting sequels right away or even ever.