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Barnack

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Everything posted by Barnack

  1. Agreed on budget fully take into account expected tax rebates, they go when they are sold or able to be used by the financier later. Tax rebate once they get there (depending on the jurisdiction it can be a year after the production) goes into the financier pocket. Financier accept the risk of a 60m production that will cost them 50m because of tax rebate, they will not necessarily have agreed to spend 50m on a movie of a 50m cost (a smaller product) and after that the producer/director getting themselve tax rebate on their own and spending more (or if they do not put it in their pockets). I doubt the difference between publication is one taken the liberty of calculating the bonus on a gross estimate of where the movie would end up making or anything like that, more that it is an unknown secret information and that they hear different number from different source and sometime yes one publication talking (and using has a sentence) about how much they spent on the movie while someone else is talking about the expected net budget.
  2. And their character are presented has bad people and denounce the bad aspect/historical aspect of it, it is a somewhat to very politically correct show. I am not sure why do you quote someone asking himself how Borat would be received today for saying Hellboy is receiving bad review because it is a bad movie.
  3. You are talking about quite 2 different movie and subject I think. You quoting a message wondering if Borat reception would be different if released in 2019 instead of 2006.
  4. I mean I thought he was just lying/hyperboling about those IRL stories to feed is over the top Internet avatar.
  5. So this will test @The Futurist theory that critic / bro's will find anything R-rated better than anything PG-13 in the SH genre.
  6. Should not put too much weight in December release, Poppins made +20 that weekend, bumblebee -3.5% and Spider Man +14%. Lego batman was on President days weekend with an unrealistic Sunday hold and used a 270% friday jump to reach that, is it really realistic to Shazam to beat that ? -37% is close to last April A Quiet Place. At least it will have about 0 competition to help.
  7. Would that be the best hold for a SH movie ever, 2002 Raimi Spider Man did -37.8% and without the big previews of today. The best legs for the genre were WW made -43.3, Black Panther -44.7%, Spider Man 2 -48.7, Avengers -50, Dark Knight -52.5%, Isn't -50% great for a movie like this ? Much better than say a Guardian of the Galaxy (and that had great multiplier).
  8. I have fully entered Poe's law then and you could be right, I was certain until very recently that the flat earth stuff was a form of Pastafarianism religion act to see if people would believe that people could believe that, well that could have been the case also.
  9. It is quite close to 100% impossible that they were serious that the weekends will go bigger and bigger instead of down for that movie, almost everything that gang say is a group art performance I think.
  10. It is getting hard to tell, my question was not rhetorical. I always like for Alita anti-gravity talk imagine it is all thong and cheek talk of 300m domestic being locked type for this.
  11. For LG project, one key is too look how difficult and for how much you can sales it overseas before starting to shoot it. Some name awareness a la Robin Hood or this can really help them a lot to do that, a franchise that made 160m the last entry in a extremely popular genre. I would imagine they financed 5 to 20% of it.
  12. It is silly and Ant-Man 2 nice run did prove her wrong.
  13. etc.... No to defend Grace, but that not what she is saying, over 600m to justify green lighting a sequel, not to break even (and I imagine that assuming that sequels cost more), ridiculously wrong yes but not that level of ridicule and at least consistent with her Ant Man 2 should have been a cheap direct to tv affair.
  14. Paramount act apply only for the peoplpe that were both studio and had theater at the time I think, the big 5 and their subsidies, not to Disney/Netflix and newer: https://variety.com/2018/politics/news/consent-decrees-department-of-justice-1202893374/ A common misperception is that the decrees apply to all distributors. In fact, they cover only the studios who were defendants in the 1948 case: Paramount, MGM, Universal, Columbia Pictures (Sony), 20th Century Fox, United Artists and Warner Bros. I think everyone else somewhat respected it, because it would have been immediately expended to them if they would have started to abuse their position, but it was not in the law they could not.
  15. That a good question, I had to check, pulse raw data look like this and does not give an indication of many ticket were solds, just the movie, theater, when, etc...: Looking at one pulse bunch (1000 sales), I didn't achieve to find any case of a movie with the same show time / but time / location, so sales of more than one ticket do not seem to show up has multiple unique sales in the list. Pulse push 1,000 ticket sales and refreshed it (back in the days) every 5m sometime 15 minutes, sometime longer middle of the night, I would imagine than in reality during the hours of Friday evening of big weekend they could sales much faster than the pulse interface need to be representative of what is going on and skip many transactions. I imagine that has long at it is proportional between every case / movie that does not matter much, it is not like the absolute number would be telling, it is just relative to others and how much they sold. I remember back then that if you divided OW / ticket sold tracked on fandango, you had the exact same ratio for Dwayne Johnson movies (Skyscraper and rampage) indicating that it was probably very telling between very similar movies.
  16. The fact that we rarely know the numbers of screen a movie is playing on domestic is probably known by every long time BOT member yes. It is a 30 minutes show, that is quite impressively long and seem a bit hard to watch for a BOT member (the level of triviality like budget would matter when talking box office and spending time on this is quite entry level)
  17. Hard to say, movie do not drop but raise on Saturday usually. Iron man 2: friday: 43.74 sat: 45.776 (105% of friday) sun: 31.106 (71% of friday) Iron Man 3: Friday: 53.259 Sat: 62.273 (116% of friday) Sun: 43.012 (81% of friday) Shazam: Friday: 14.451 Saturday: 19.524 (135% of friday) Sunday: 13.629 (94% of friday) captain Marvel: Friday: 41.015 Saturday: 52.872 (129% of friday) Sunday: 38.845 (95% of Friday) Do look more Captain Marvel than Iron Man 2-3
  18. When there is a foreign sales they only count domestic, you can look at the Liongates movies for a clearer example (back in the days the break down was more detailled) https://deadline.com/2015/03/hunger-games-mockingjay-part-1-profit-box-office-2014-1201391223/ Has you see they put $0 in foreign release cost, that why Green Book has a "small" 37.5m (I imagine that the complete award campaign run is 7.5, to 10m of those) releasing cost, it is only the Universal cost (many intl market has much smaller cost than domestic, really really smaller that why it can look big)
  19. That the foreign sales line, 40m universal only distributed domestic : https://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=intl&id=greenbook.htm Lot of studio profits is not on that page for the rest of the world. Still quite low, if the movie would have not been sold / released intl it would have made $0/lost money according to this (profit being smaller than the foreign sales), a $85M best picture winner on a 23m budget with just 4M in bonus would have made $0 ? I think deadline are jumping the shark a little bit.
  20. Mojo say, -4.1% and -30.2% Sunday. -30.2% Sunday does sound harsh right ? That Iron Man 2 / Iron man 3 level. One day is a very small sample size for a trend too.
  21. Well there the very easy case of the CGI attempted to not even be known to exist on screen (photo-realism) and failed to do so (like mustache removal in Justice League everyone saw vs CGI cats in captain marvel that about no one remarked). Than there is the harder case of CGI of stuff that are obviously impossible for them to exist or not attempting photo realism, were subjectivity get a bigger role. Awful CGI are getting quite rare nowadays.
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