Barnack

Even for them it is still a gross estimate, even too lot of revenues ramp up linearly / strong correlation with box office, prediction models are not perfect.

Yep the remake did break the concept by making Cranston characther new money and everything he do is choice and what he like.

Kind of movie where I went too, oh nice $150m look safe, no $170m even, could it go over Shape of Water, ok with that China OW numbers in that goes not only over $200M but maybe even over Argo and now it seem safe to go over $300M It is like a mini Bohemian Rhapsody.

Blum said on twitter that a sequel was unlikely .

Feel like stuff are going way too good in both the DCEU/MCU at the same time right now for the franchise war to thrive.

Remember when he used the term being a journalist, a real one, one student raise on their desk saying Captain oh my captain if he would become a journalist teacher in the same day he said: B/c I'm a MORE THAN reasonable guy. But you've gotta be willing to meet me halfway & have the conversation, not stall/hide behind email. I've held stories for over a year... for ppl who treat me with respect. I NEVER want to jeopardize a deal, b/c then my reporting is for naught! unironically.

Yeah this could be a lot of it, the low screens being 6:00 pm fan events and the rest of the Thursday night being almost a regular showing ?

Exactly, the % of the sales that are those special fans events/PLF screening, when people that prefer usually pay for 2D goes for them because of sellouts, we saw some $30-$40 tickets in New-York "news", I imagine they have an hard time selling those past the first couple of days.

I have no idea about second weekend drop and in generals no idea how to predict OW/legs/drops, really not where my "knowledge" is. The snark was with the CM not being liked by audience referring to what seem to be an online score currently getting obvious hitjob, for an A cinemascore movie with excellent comscore exit poll metrics, not for the drop prediction.

Wonder also how much the fanbase is now ready to spend in average by ticket the very first 1-2 days versus the rest of the run, maybe some of the people with Internal numbers have a notion of the average ticket price by days of release ?

And maybe some deal on sharing some of the cost with the Lego company product placement wise. It,s rumored budget is not too dissimilar to the previous Cloudy with a Chance of meatball. Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs Total Lifetime Grosses Domestic: $124,870,275 51.4% + Foreign: $118,135,851 48.6% = Worldwide: $243,006,126 Made only 3.3m in "profits", Sony hitting the movie with an abnormal very large 30m overhead Direct net budget: 116.84m WW P&A: 98.5M About no participation bonus With on the good side 36% of it's revenue share from theatrical vs 64% after (domestic heavy showing up here) CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF MEATBALLS 2 Total Lifetime Grosses Domestic: $119,793,567 43.7% + Foreign: $154,532,382 56.3% = Worldwide: $274,325,949 It made 56m in profit with a Direct net budget: 79.8m WW P&A: 112.5m About no participation bonus Revenues was split 121.5m from theatrical 170m after for a not particularly good home ent performance of 41% from theatrical/59% after split. Would it have been a more intl affair like the Hotel Transylvania franchise, the second one expected to need 207m WW (77.9 dbo / 129.8 intl) with a 84m net budget and a 102m releasing cost.

And BvS had an eastern holiday inflated weekend right ? YA was not a particularly leggy run and the comscore is really good on CM: Even though Captain Marvel launched on International Women’s Day yesterday, she continues to remain male heavy, 61% to 39% on PostTrak. Females over 25 remain the third best draw at 22% behind M25+ (33%), and Men under 25 (25%). And at 4 stars, an ‘A’ CinemaScore, and an 86% from females and 80% from males, e I would assume you are only trolling but by now I am not sure if you do not somewhat believe (at least emotionally) some of the stuff you say, really taking obviously hit job RT score over post-track cinemascore .

what would make the messy and whining part would not be OD or thursday preview, I doubt many care about OD numbers, it would be that anything before Friday night not counting (like the logic would obviously say so) into the OW.

It was a big step I would imagine, not so long ago you had : https://www.independent.co.uk/arts-entertainment/films/news/lexi-alexander-says-no-way-to-directing-wonder-woman-film-citing-fking-weight-of-gender-equality-9856047.html It was this intimidating and ridicule pressure level to be attached to the first big franchise one.

I would say it is box office mojo that kind of decide no ? Just make that thought experience, the studios would call it OD, say it on their twitter account, etc... but not box office mojo or the-numbers.com or anyone else..... Would we go with the studio way to count or the box office mojo way to count ?

First days metric tend to be more skewed that total runs metric. But this Marvel movie does not have a love interest line nor a shirtless Chris appeal either.

Length of the pre-sales + augmentation of the pre-sales prevalence + demography that pre-buy a lot + no giant best movie of the year type of buzz that get people that didn't expect to go in ?

I will let the people that follow this stuff more dissect how and why, but yes end of the day it is absolutely crazy that this open above Guardian of the Galaxy 2, It is a very first apparition from a character "no one" knew about, with good but not special reviews/trailers (make you wonder how closer to BP opening it could have been with a BP trailers/worlds building/budget/reviews, maybe around the same ?).

Certainly is (just harder to calculate on a mass amount of movie level), should imagined that for a star wars it could be fund too, thanks.

Just to gage the prediction, do you remember to how much you thought Guardian of the Galaxy 2 would easily open before seeing the first trailer and after seeing baby groot ?

Audience are now quite use to long movies anyway right ?, even comedy. I also doubt it will be an issue.

First time I heard that one, in what way ? According to dialogue web site #of word count: Finn: 1,447 Rey: 1,363 Solo: 1,225 Kylo:: 618 Poe: 604 Rey has a lot of silent moments and would be imo the lead, never rewatched the movie in full but from memory it is her story, her arc and obviously the lead. Solo has no arc in this and could have been really easily removed from the movie without much work.

Those were somewhat epic story.

That not really absurd, Cinemascore of movie with fanbase do have an overrepresentation of them in their score and must be read into that context. But did the movie please is most targeted audience still isn't an absurd or useless metric, it is just not one that is made for public consumption nor one the media should talk about.