Carlangonz

First 12 hours with all remaining shows included 3475/5045 - 68.8% Well this may be the best or second biggest Day One for anything this year excluding musical events otherwise it would be below BTS' Yet to Come and The Eras Tour. Apparently Cinépolis didn't exclude Wednesday Discount for previews and a lot of cheap tickets are taking down the ATP so can't really tell how it could go.

FIVE NIGHTS AT FREEDY'S (PREVIEWS) - FIRST 6 HOURS (T-13 DAYS) Two theaters are lagging so that info is missing from data. Title Sold Total Available Occupancy 5 Nights at Freddy's 1999 3911 51.11% Insidious 5 (T-7) 58 2036 2.85% Spiderverse (T-14) 2203 17820 12.36% Barbie (T-21) 1312 20805 6.31% Fast X (T-14) 825 15448 5.34% Some clarifications: Everything except for Insidious 5 was taken until 12 hours of sales. Also in the case of Barbie and Spiderverse they were taken for the full opening day since they didn't held previews. I'm dropping Insidious 5 for maybe a week but taking it back on the final days because I'm interested on how pace correct things. This year horror has always started slow but accelerated incredibly on final days so Freddy should be the exception. I'll keep Spiderverse because I'm expecting it to be closer on upfront demand and screen allocation as well. Barbie and Fast X are being dropped definitely but I just wanted to use them to show how massive these first hours were.

Destroyed in less than 6 hours by FNAF so I guess I'll go without any direct comp

It's been just an hour of sales for Freddy at Cinépolis and Universal messed up with screens

Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour (T-2 Days) Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Occupancy Growth from T-9 ATP Total sales in $ The Eras Tour 131 15147 24268 62.42% +4,33% $221.71 $3,358,268.50 Yeah this is as front-loaded as pretty much most of these musical events. There was a show added for a VIP theater on Friday night which inmediately filled so this is going to definitely skew big cities; out of the sample is among main Mexico City where occupancy is o/u 80% but Metro Area is abour 45%-50%. Sunday still stagnant in most places so I don't know if walk-ins may give it a final push so likely Saturday will remain its biggest day. I wonder how it would've performed without Sunday but more screens on Fri-Sat. ATP is going up in the sample because better sales for VIP shows but because of it and less VIP screens on 2nd and 3rd tier cities I'm expecting it to be lower. Sticking with mid-$70M but could be lower. Hard to tell if walk-ins are going to ramp up because unlike other comps like BTS or Coldplay, shows and seats are actually there on Sunday and with Cinemex and smaller chains as well.

Tickets for Five Nights at Freddy's going on sale next Thursday. It opens on the 26th with previews starting at 7PM on the 25th. Seemingly low initial show count so comps will be interesting.

Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour (T-9 Days) Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Occupancy ATP Total sales in $ The Eras Tour 130 14519 24196 60.01% $220.61 $3,203,039.10 Not doing any comps; just having it for future reference. This is coming from usual 8-complex sample with the exception that one of the locations has now added 4 new VIP screens. All 130 shows are coming from 22 screens. Is being more front-loaded than I initially expected as shows that were added after Day 1 are being quiet with exception of those added for 7:00PM on Friday. Sunday sales are also being held back by night shows so we'll see if walk-ins manage to impact there. Overall I'm not expecting more shows to be added and final screen count including Cinemex to push it a bit above 1,000 screens which would be way above any other similar relase except for Permission to Dance in Las Vegas which reached nearly 2,000 screens. Now thinking on somewhere between $75M-$85M for the first weekend.

I think is too high. Probably akin to Exorcism of Emily Rose give it a bit higher or a bit lower. After explosive sales for Five Nights at Freddy's in DOM I've been thinking a lot about it because honestly is a franchise I do recognize but I'm not familiar with and I feel I may be missing something with it. I've looked at some metrics and they're massive. Of course lack of knowledge for me influences it but they're more impressive than Mario or Barbie's and seems to be playing in similar veins with the big exception that is missing the multi-generational appeal those two had and even among horror titles, 2017's It also had. For the 12-18 demo is kinda like Mario, it has a general and massive appeal and doesn't limit to a gamer community. I feel like if it's well-received this could explode beyond with older audiences with precedent of last year's The Black Phone breakout and all its mythology behind it which does sound cool. Tracking shall be fun but until then I'll keep thinking if this has the potential to be on the leagues of Conjuring Universe or even It. Of course no day and date here and the Halloween-Día de Muertos corridor making it the most fitting release for the season since Coco.

If Saw X opened to $30M and Believer is looking to $70M+ and DOM presales are off to a great start then I'll go way higher on my expectations for Freedy as it could top $100M+. I'm honestly a bit losed on this one because it skews younger so is hard to tell how much of it will actually translate to sales but seems like an event for the demo.

Extraordinary for Saw X, seems like everything it could work out well in favour of it actually did. Hopefully reaches $100M but we'll see how it holds with Exorcist coming out this Thursday. As @Purple Minion pointed out, Nun II is coming quite close now to beat Little Mermaid as No. 6 this year after this weekend's great hold. Lack of bigger competition for screens has helped it a lot. Amazing holds for both locals Sobreviviendo mis XV and Heroico. Modest but good results overall for both of them. Hopefully is a good sign for Radical to become a sleeper hit. Exorcist: Believer is surprisingly having healthy sales enough to get a bankable opening in the ballpark of $70M+.

This is how I found out that this doesn't happen in the US. It's been a thing in Mexico for decades I'd say in some cases. It wides from Live Opera from the MET to Champions League, Super Bowl, the World Series and World Cup matches. Even WWE PPVs as well when its popularity was massive on the early 2010s. If I remember correctly a chain also hosted some shows for Game of Thrones' finale and Doctor Who's opening episodes of newer seasons. It kinda works but mostly for sports and big events like Super Bowl or playoffs for Champions League and World Cup.

Awareness was completely low for Expend4bles. It'll fade quickly unlike Gran Turismo being a bit of a sleeper hit beating Blue Bettle and TMNT. I'd say good not spectacular opening for both local openers. Hopefully both manage to survive upcoming competition. Nun II about to lose steam with direct competition and giving up on a lot of screens but looking to collect $350M+ showing staying power for Conjuring franchise which has now 6 titles over $300M. October looking to be a bit better than September; nothing seemingly breaking out or reaching Nun heights but delivering consistent numbers: Saw X and Exorcist: Believer potentially grossing $150M+ between both of them. Saw's marketing has been particularly standing out but opening one week apart from the other may hurt them. Killers of the Flower Moon which won't definitely won't follow suit to Oppenheimer or The Whale but still aiming $70M or so. Equalizer 3 may be about the same and potentially higher if it follows John Wick route. Paw Patrol and Trolls 3 should show some strenght as well. Perhaps a combined number equivalent to $200M+ with no direct competition until Wish and November holidays benefiting Trolls. Eugenio Derbez is coming back on a theatrical release with Radical which apparently isn't much like his recent comedy hits but still a moving feel-good drama about an elementary school teacher in a small border city. We'll see if can become a modest hit. The Eras Tour coming fresh off Taylor-mania which very well could grab the second to biggest opening of the month with $90M and collect well around $120M. As the final potential hit and taking advantage of the Halloween-Dia de Muertos corridor there is Five Nights At Freedy's which has a large following among a young demo and could carry it to $120M+ and on par with recent horror hits like Evil Dead Rise and Pope's Exorcist.

Can't see it making much more than Expendables 3. For a franchise that is very popular it hasn't really been a box office hit and hasn't had the growth that franchises like The Purge have experienced. Maybe $50M+ ($3M) but idk at all. I do have to say that unlike most horror franchises this one has historically been too restricted by rating getting C-Rating for each title. It's basically 18+, requieres ID and there aren't exceptions.

SEPTEMBER 14-17. INDEPENDENCE DAY WEEKEND. Despite being amidst the weekend, there was a very positive effect from Independence Day. 1. The Nun II - $72.4M/$259.7M (-48.47%) 2. Sound of Freedom - $23.2M/$164.7M (-46.05%) 3. Haunting in Venice - $12.8M 4. Gran Turismo - $10.1M/$116.1M (-39.16%) 5. Welcome Al Norte - $9.7M 6. The Dive - $5M 7. After Everything - $4.5M 8. Retribution - $3.2M/$39.2M (-64.45%) 9. TMNT: Mutant Mayhem - $2.5M/$121.6M (-32.44%) 10. Blue Beetle - $2M/$107.8M (-54.55%) Nun is holding pretty good with a week left before Saw X arrives and Exorcist the week after. Seems like it'll take a spot among the crowded $350M club this year among Elemental and Rise of the Beasts. Similar to Warner's own Meg 2. Sound of Freedom still being a phenomenon particularly among religious audiences looks like will come close to $200M pending on how it holds screens. Gran Turismo showing great legs now passing both TMNT and Blue Beetle. Is not a tremendous result but not okay-ish either. Blue Beetle now leaving as the 3rd worst result for a wide release this summer only above Ruby Gillman and Indiana Jones V.

1. The Nun II - $140.5M/$149.8M 2. Sound of Freedom - $43M/$127.1M 3. Gran Turismo - $16.6M/$101.2M 4. Retribution - $9M/$33M 5. My Fairy Troublemaker - $5.5M 6. Blue Beetle - $4.4M/$104.8M 7. TMNT: Mutant Mayhem - $3,7M/$118.5M 8. Talk to Me - $3.6M/$109.8M 9. Strays - $3.6M/$34.9M 10. Meg 2: The Trench - $3.2M/$356.3M Not until Heroico next weekend. Sadly streaming has killed any chance for a resurgance of local cinema in theatres for post-pandemic era. Not only in here but most of the region overall. Yeah, kinda surprising a deal was reached. Still don't think will make much more from there.

It's added only as a comparison but the record is still hold by No Way Home. Then it's Endgame and BTS in Las Vegas.

It's happening as per Cinépolis. Now we shall see its way towards $100M+

Easter, Children's Day - Labor Day and Christmas remain the best dates for releases. The Nun II is so-so in presales but like Insidious 5 I'm expecting to blow up on final hours. Shall be the biggest opening since Barbie with $170M+ opening weekend including previews. The Eras Tour behaving somewhat front-loaded for regular shows as expected. VIP shows are being added to met demand tho. Thinking $70M+ could happen considering there's over a month of sales yet. Hard to comp with anything; BTS live show in Las Vegas was a single-day event and Seoul's concert was a 5-Day. Nevertheless this is way higher than anything else for these type of events.

AUGUST 31 - SEPTEMBER 3 WEEKEND. 1. Sound of Freedom - $59.5M 2. Gran Turismo - $27.6M/$77.2M (-25.61%) 3. Retribution - $18.2M 4. Talk to Me - $11.4M/$102.8M (-26.93%) 5. Blue Beetle - $10.1M/$98.1M (-51.45%) 6. Meg 2: The Trench - $8.7M/$351M (-49.13%) 7. Strays - $8.2M/$28.3M (-43.84%) 8. TMNT: Mutant Mayhem - $7M/$113.3M (-39.14%) 9. Viaje Todo Robado - $6.5M 10. Oppenheimer - $3.9M/$323.4M (-47.3%) As expected, Sound of Freedom took No. 1 and delivered the largest opening since Barbenheimer over a month ago. Like in the DOM market, pay it forward played an important part as well but is unknown how much of total sales were repped by this. Great holds across the board although Blue Beetle sadly won't pick up and still struggles to reach $100M which will pass until Tuesday. On the other hand Talk to Me remains a standout delivering the best hold among the Top 10 and actually crossing $100M having made 3x its opening weekend; tremendous success.

Biggest opening since Barbenheimer weekend with $50M/$3M

Launching towards $50M+ opening. 1st tier cities are pretty much done for the weekend taking over PLFs and largest auditoriums. Strong ATP with tickets at $198.90 for regular screenings and $349.00 for VIP shows.

Sadly no. Maybe Sound of Freedom wins the weekend. The story this weekend is going to be how Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour fares with presale starting just in a few minutes. It's a 7-Day event at Cinépolis and probably won't reach the heights of the BTS' latest two concerts but it'll be interesting after her past shows in Mexico City.

Yeah because there were no advanced or Wed previews for it

AUGUST 24-27 WEEKEND. 1. Gran Turismo - $37.1M 2. Blue Beetle - $20.8M / $82.9M (-53.78%) 3. Meg 2: The Trench - $17.1M / $338.1M (-48.19%) 4. Talk to Me - $15.6M / $86M (-23.15%) 5. Strays - $14.6M 6. TMNT: Mutant Mayhem - $11.5M / $104M (-45.5%) 7. Oppenheimer - $7.4M / $317.4M (-44.78%) 8. Cobweb - $6.8M 9. Barbie - $6M / $908.6M (-56.53%) 10. Demeter - $4.8M / $21.3M (-59.33%) Indeed meh opening for Gran Turismo; we'll see how it legs but is coming after kids return to school and a period where the market is dead. Blue Beetle had an average drop for a SH title. It's looking like $120M in the end which would be the worst result for a Marvel/DC title since 2007 and 2012's Ghost Rider films and 2004's Catwoman. Meg 2 has now surpassed both Quantumania and Flash in the 2023 ranking. Shall pass Transformers and Elemental by next weekend and finally The Little Mermaid by the time The Nun 2 opens. Talk to Me is astonishing! It'll become the first horror film non-backed by a major studio to surpass $100M since Scary Stories to tell in the Dark. Before that I think the closest is 2012's The Woman in Black which wasn't backed by major studios in US but was distributed by Videocine which is the largest local distributor. TMNT is still looking like a $120M-$130M grosser in the end. The thing with kids being back at school is that first weeks are always rough because families have to put up too much time and resources to get everything right so by the time things are ok these titles are pretty much out of theatres. May be the last time we see Oppy and Barbie at the Top 10. Oppy leaves as Chris Nolan's second biggest title in lc and third in admissions. Barbie on the other hand delivered Warner's biggest number ever in lc and third in admissions as well.

Seeing Elemental and Oppenheimer going above a 4x multi is beautiful. Oppenheimer is probably my favourite story for a B-15 rated title since Parasite. A movie that apparently hadn't enough mojo to catch a lengthy run but came through and pulled extraordinary legs.