Carlangonz

Yeah distribution is messy even for titles backed by large studios.Broker had a planned release for last year but apparently distributor scrapped it and it all got messy that at the end a smaller distributor took it and released it a few weeks ago. On the other hand there have been releases that take just one or two months like Emergency Declaration which made good money and then went on to become a Netflix hit.

Yes is that one. Moderate release from a relatively unkwown distributor

Weekend 1. Blue Beetle - $46M 2. Meg 2: The Trench - $33M 3. Tennage Mutant Ninja Turtles - $21.1M 4. Talk to Me - $20.3M 5. Barbie - $13.8M 6. Oppenheimer - $13.4M 7. Demeter - $11,9M 8. Metallica: Live from TX - $3.8M 9. His Only Son - $3.7M 10. Sinkhole - $2.5M Summer break is pretty much over at this point so it'll be hard for both Blue Beetle and TMNT to keep it up especally after an ugly drop by the latter. Looks like both are going to finish somewhere around $130M. Meg 2 still going out strong aiming to a close race with Little Mermaid for No. 6 this year. Talk to Me is this weekend's standout as it barely dropped a third of its opening and it has passed titles such as Everything Everywhere all at Once and Moonfall on its way to surpass Greenland to become its distributor's biggest post-pandemic hit and 4th largest ever. Among comps it has beat The VVith and Hereditary.

Seems like losing IMAX and Dolby did had a strong effect on Oppenheimer. Despite that it has now surpassed Top Gun: Maverick and is looking to finish close to/on par with Quantumania and The Flash. It'll also surpass every single Star Wars title except for The Force Awakens. Have to check but I think it's also the highest grossing title to never top #1. Barbie is quite close to $900M about to join The Lion King as the second title in the range.

This is disastrous. I have no words.

This is awful. In Mexico that's less than Fury of Gods. Less than half of F4ntastic and half of Dark Phoenix. In Argentina it opened on 6th!

Agree on everything. A 'latino in the US' stories are always a tough sale unless they get a boost from local stars (Overboard) but the biggest pull on this one is Damian Alcazar which isn't on the same league as Derbez when it comes to BO mojo. I'm thinking it opens on par with Shazam 2 (mid 70s) or even manages to overperform close to 90s. It'll be like previous SH titles this year and explode or quickly die by its wom.

We'll see about Meg and if it tops $400M but is at least locked to surpass Little Mermaid and $380M. Talk to Me is a standout this week. Great opening considering it's coming from a mid-size distributor and a small campaign compared to previous horror titles like Evil Dead Rise, Insidious 5 or Pope's Exorcist. Oppy loses all IMAX and Dolby shows on Thursday to Blue Beetle. We'll see how it it handles next weekend drop.

I didn't thought about it but honestly does feel that way. I feel is mostly about exploiting nostalgia among adults who are familiar with the property rather than finding a new audience like Mario for example which did great both things. I also think is a bit like Spiderman live action and Spiderverse movies. People accepts animated versions and they do respectable numbers but it doesn't have such a wide appeal like live-action counterparts. Original titles are always the most fun to follow: Coco, Parasite, No se Aceptan Devoluciones, Inside Out all in the past 10 years. Elemental just recently and even though they're based on books they're not precisely IP: The Whale and Oppenheimer. The fact that these last three did what they did make me a bit hopeful for a potential breakout soon

I'd say is ok for Turtles. WOM and lack of competition should carry it past $10M. Meg is nuts. It's basically repeating the performance of the first one and should top $400M and No. 6 of the year. Creature movies apparently are immune to many stuff. Barbie can't catch a break as is now is looking like it's going below $950M as Oppenheimer remains on track for $330M pending to see how losing IMAX and several screens affects it.

The guy isn't even known in Mexico let alone for mexicans in the US. I wish I could agree on people seeing it because we're affected by it but since the last time I came here around the time the movie launched launched discourse is going only worst among advocates of this. Even small reviewers are getting harassed and called out as "part of the elite" for not speaking about it considering there's still 3 weeks left for its opening. Not saying people aren't concerned or aren't empathetic with those living it but there's a clear intention to misguide audiences. Also there was some stuff that resurfaced in social media related to the producer who was very close with the past administration to the point of traveling on the presidential plane and before that his relation with a well known and popular priest who had several abuse and misconduct allegations. If you thought things surrounding this movie in the US were polemic it's even worst in Mexico.

Like someone said early I think love for Avatar just goes unnoticed. People I know irl that enjoyed or even love it are people that rarely talk about movies and would never say a word or post anything related to their taste for these movies. Between the original and the sequel I actually never met someone irl that told me how much they like/love it until the rerelease came out. It's a saga of its own time and people would wait until the next one to discuss it and so on.

Taking a time off from tracking but doesn't seem to blow up atm. I'm thinking o/u $60M

This year is likely to see some stuff that hasn't happened in years. From top of my head: 1. First year since 2009 that Disney doesn't show up in the Top 3 yearly 2. First time since 2004 where Universal wins the year. Back then they won with another animation: Shrek 2.

Oppenheimer beating Quantumania and Flash is probably my most unexpected event this year. Wonder if it will start beating Barbie this weekend. Let's see how Meg legs with upcoming competition and how close ends up to Transformers which seems appropriate. Elemental is crazy as well. Holding with sub-50% drops despite a sizable theater loss for two weeks now.

Oppy remains the standout for me. Pesos and dollars I know but is funny how it started with similar numbers as DOM but has held better in here despite way less IMAX screens compared to overall screen count. It has grossed more than Dunkirk and Interstellar combined!

Yeah $1B is likely dead

Already losing theatres in some markets so it'll requiere a strong PSA to excell on its hold. Maybe $240M and close to beat John Wick 4 by the end of the weekend.

Thinking around $140M for Meg 2 and $75M for Barbie to end with $830M after the weekend. I guess there's a chance for Barbie to miss $1B

Yes. Looking to win the weekend with ease. Tickets on sale until the 10th. Maybe Warner will bury it so it's up to WOM.

I was looking at the schedule from rest of the year and looks quite bleak. Meg 2 I guess will do ok and overperform to rest of OS. Creature releases are somewhat immune to fatigue but we'll see. Hopefully TMNT gets a PiB2 type of run considering it'll get no competition for a long time. Thinking Shazam 2 numbers for Blue Beetle and fall to be lifted by the Nun 2 / Saw X / FNAF combo. The latter is opening during the November 2nd holiday but I think opening on par with US should be fine; hopefully Universal reconsiders. November and December are packed with stuff that could go either way.

Oppenheimer is getting more advantage from capacity limitations as it remains barely flat in screens compared to Barbie which lost about 1k. Barbie towards $1B-$1.05B and over $60M USD. Has crossed 10M admissions becoming only the second title this year to manage it and shall reach 16.2M-16.7M beating Joker on it as well. Oppy does seem on track for $300M depending how screen count remains. IMAX shows still excelling. 2nd best result for Nolan only below Dark Knight Rises in lc and 3rd/4th on admissions. Elemental's hold was amazing despite losing both screens and shows at several locations. Hopefully manages to beat Transformers and cross $350M. It outlived Indy, Ruby, Insidious and likely MI7 as well. Dead Reckoning sadly lost steam quickly and is going below Fallout and Rogue Nation.

Surpassing Lightyear would be good but nevertheless Elemental already did great; surpassed the 4x multi which may be the best for Disney animation (WDAS/Pixar) since Coco. It's good for Elio and Pixar overall gaining confidence back.

Now that's one that could actually be a massive unexpected breakout like Maverick or Barbie.

For some reason I don't get yet Mexico usually overperforms the rest of LATAM when comes to creature films. First part was an out-of-nowhere hit both OW and legs-wise so may be it once again.