PNF2187

Moana, Rogue One, Sing all had their home video releases in early 2017.

That Sunday number has to be a deliberate underestimation. Somehow a movie with terrific Sunday holds has a 65% drop on Sunday when everything else in the top 10 has a sub-40% drop. Not buying it. Plus, Happy Feet (with a nearly identical holiday run) only dropped 30% on New Year's Eve. I wouldn't be surprised if that Sunday number ended up doubling in the actuals. Yep. TLJ might not be performing as high as people expected, but it's still expected to earn a $500M profit so I doubt it'll be considered a dissapointment.

Top 10 Domestic 1) Avengers: Infinity War ($210M/$530M) 2) Incredibles 2 ($130M/$425M) 3) Jurassic World: The Fallen Kingdom ($155M/$380M) 4) Solo: A Star Wars Story ($175M/$370M) 5) The Grinch ($105M/$365M) 6) Black Panther ($110M/$310M) 7) Deadpool 2 ($115M/$300M) 8) Mary Poppins Returns ($41M/$275M) 9) Ant-Man and the Wasp ($95M/$260M) 10) Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2 ($60M/$255M) Top 10 Worldwide 1) Avengers: Infinity War ($1.45B) 2) Jurassic World: The Fallen Kingdom ($1.24B) 3) Incredibles 2 ($950M) 4) Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald ($875M) 5) Solo: A Star Wars Story ($740M) 6) Ant-Man and the Wasp ($735M) 7) Deadpool 2 ($710M) 8) The Grinch ($705M) 9) Black Panther ($680M) 10) Mission Impossible 6 ($675M)

Domestically this looks to end as one of Pixar's lowest grossers at just over $200M. Internationally this looks to be Pixar's biggest original since Finding Nemo. I can't say I expected the latter.

Good to know: I'm watching it later today. Looks like it'll should hit $250-270M, which is amazing.

I guess that means around a $210M total for Coco then?

WOW.... that's a big drop for TLJ

I never thought TLJ DOM > JL WW would have been a possibility.... somehow it is...

Damn, with the exception of Jumanji, things look kinda low for the new releases. PP3 is in free-fall right now, while TGS, Downsizing and FF look like flops right now with their insane budgets (OK, Father Figures's budget isn't massive but it doesn't look like it'll make its money back at all right now). I swear TLJ's estimates keep dropping, and Coco is holding nowhere nearly as well as Moana or Tangled. If it plays out like Happy Feet from now on, it'll crawl to $200M, though hopefully it holds better in the new year. Eh, they'll still churn out sizeable profits for Disney. Ferdinand's numbers are depressing since they aren't much higher than Coco which came out a month prior and is in 42% fewer theaters. Blue Sky's future does not look promising in the slightest.

Wrinkle for sure. That only has to deal with Isle of Dogs (it'll probably be great, but not a box office smash) and Sherlock Gnomes (both on the 23rd). Nutcracker has to deal with Grinch (Nov 9) and WiR 2 (Nov 21), with Spider-Man (Dec 14) and Mary Poppins (Dec 25) being the nails in the coffin.

That would be truly depressing for Ferdinand if the actuals had Coco coming in higher. Looking at Bllue Sky's budgets, they seem to be on the rise these past few years. They've been hovering at around $80-95M for the longest time, before slowly inching over $100M since 2014.

Around $12M behind Moana's Domestic at the same point, though it's way ahead of Moana worldwide. Moana added another $85.8M to it's domestic total at this point, so I think this still puts Coco on track for $225-230M domestic and around $550-600M overseas

Watch the difference between the estimates and actuals be around $5-10M as well. I remember TFA's original estimate being at $238M before shooting up to $248M in actuals.

And the fact they split it into two only made it more excruciating to watch it, especially Part 1, where pretty much nothing actually happens, leaving Part 2 to basically wrap the whole thing up, and it didn't wrap it up very well in my opinion.

While not unexpected, Coco is gonna be Disney's leggiest release of 2017 by the end of the weekend.

I'll be honest, TLJ didn't feel anywhere nearly as dark as the trailers made me think.

The only other Disney releases since 2013 to have a 70%+ tomatometer among critics and a rotten score with audiences are The BFG (75% vs 57%) and Into the Woods (71% vs 49%) - though it is worth mentioning that The Incredibles has a 22% difference between its audience score and the critics tomatometer, though that was in 2004. That makes 3 films out of the 34 films distributed by Disney since 2013 that have this distinction. So I don't think the conspiracy theory holds much weight at all. Having seen TLJ, I think it's more likely to be a divisive one among fans. Also, TLJ still has an 8.1 on IMDb.

Ferdinand is at 3.3% right now and is looking at a $14-15M OW, Coco is at 1.6% which would translate to $7M in that case. Then again, this is probably flawed logic, since comparing Coco to TLJ would result in a $3.7M weekend.

A $7M FOURTH weekend for Coco is worse than Moana's FIFTH weekend ($7.7M) and TS2's SEVENTH (wide) weekend ($7.1M) and it's also under Tangled's fourth weekend as well ($8.8M). Hell, TGD (-58%) would be having a better hold than Coco and that was up against TFA, Alvin 4, and Sisters. Hopefully, the actuals are much higher than what they are right now, but going off of MT, this may be the case.

The perfect streak is gone. Lady Bird now at 99% because of Cole Smithey, though since when was a B- review considered rotten? There was a B- review for Coco from IndieWire yet that was still considered fresh.

IT WAS.. 21% SUNDAY DROP.... instead of the 33% drop that was projected. And I thought Moana had good Sunday holds...

They did say for a limited time in the Youtube description for the trailer for the short.

If this had the same legs as it does now and opened at BvS level, it'd be at $349,088,141 right now.

Interesting the Guardians 2 is probably ending up as Disney's second-lowest grossing major film released this year overseas.