Deja23
-
Posts
1,773 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Events
Blogs
Gallery
Annual Subscriptions
Media Demo
Posts posted by Deja23
-
-
I feel like some have seen a couple of people predict $2b or #1 DOM/WW pre-Endgame and are using that to assume everyone else’s expectations are inflated. Sure, there are very few people thinking that high (and most were pre-Endgame) but the point is that sub $1b is very unlikely. As unlikely as $2b would be. TFA had high Facebook views too and IW and EG had high twitter views. Facebook skews older so high views there is good imo. We shouldn’t discount them just because YouTube isn’t a ridiculous amount. No, I’m not saying this will pull a TFA.
Plus genre and fan base matters when thinking about views. Families aren’t going to be sitting on YouTube watching and rewatching trailers for weeks. After the teaser, a lot of people will have decided if they’d see the movie or not, they don’t need to pour over the trailers like marvel or Pokémon fans looking for every hidden detail. Those on the fence will wait for reviews/WOM/etc.
Of course my expectations are based on the movie being good. If it sucks or is meh, then yeah, sub $1b. But I haven’t personally seen anything that would make me think that at this time. Sticking to $620-$700m DOM and $1.3-1.5b WW.
-
1
-
-
I think TLK will beat Incredibles 2. That movie was coming off 14 years of nostalgia and it did $600m. TLK has even more nostalgia than that, plus the soundtracks, Broadway shows, etc. it’ll be huge. No, I’m not expecting $2b WW or $800m DOM, but I think $1.3-1.5b is reasonable range. That first teaser really did well in gauging interest. Way more than something like Pikachu as that keeps getting brought up. The animated Pokemon movies weren’t massive, TLK’s rerelease alone did more than all the past Pokemon movies. And it did amazing in its first run. A few people might be over predicting it with $2b or over Endgame, but under $400m is definitely under predicting it.
-
1
-
-
3 minutes ago, TMP said:
lol
I did see some calls for a Jasmine focused sequel as most people liked her character, but a live-action universe would be ridiculous. That it’s a reporter suggesting this is funny though. Don’t give Disney such ideas!
-
Yeah I’m not sure Disney will definitely push EG above Avatar. Outside of pushing certain films to $100 and getting BP past $700m when it got so close, they haven’t shown much interest in milestones. They might, but EG has already done above and beyond what anyone expected at the beginning of this year. Yeah, some fans wanted it to be #1 and many others were sure Avatar was going down after the opening, but almost no one was expecting $2.6b+ a year ago. Disney made $500m on IW, will make even more with EG. That’s their ultimate goal, the revenue. Not a milestone that’ll be primarily used for fan bragging rights.
-
2
-
-
2 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:
Why exactly did it fall so hard OS this week? I mean -70% seems excessive, what happened?
Maybe China run ending. The extension was applied for, but China didn’t grant it. Probably would’ve gotten $5-10m more with extension. Plus, multiple openers in major OS territories like UK.
-
3 minutes ago, filmlover said:
I actually wouldn't be surprised if Aladdin ended up sticking around for most of the summer, especially after seeing it (my sold out audience applauded big time at the end).
I keep reading this in reviews. So strange. Aladdin is one of the last movies I’d expect to get applauded. Thought that only happened for franchise movies like CBMs and Star Wars. I guess Disney is one big franchise. Actually, Bohemian Rhapsody probably got applause. Was it like that for The Greatest Showman or BatB 2017?
-
It’s getting great audience reviews on RT. Not saying their new system is totally valid, but those who’ve watched it seem to like it.
94%/93% though it’s still early and with only 600 reviews. Plus I think those who choose to see movies early tend to give more favorable reviews.
-
23 minutes ago, nevermore said:
3RD UPDATE, SUNDAY AM: Aladdin just flew to a higher atmosphere. Saturday ticket sales clocked $30M, a -3% dip when compared to Friday+previews figure of $31M. Industry estimates have the Disney live action animated reboot at $89.4Mover 3 days, and a 4-day of $112.7M, now the 5th best bow over Memorial Day weekend ahead of 2014’s X-men: Days of Future Past ($110.5M).
Even better shot at $250m DOM now with ~2.8x legs for the 3-day OW. It’ll likely end up ~$30m higher than the higher end of the 4-day projections. I guess so many bought into the online chatter, myself included, that this is so unexpected. Wish I had done a $100 4-day club now lol.
Aladdin played great everywhere, but its strongest plays were in the South and the West.
This is probably explains why some individual theater presales in tracking thread didn’t seem to correlate with Fandango presales.
-
2
-
-
3 minutes ago, imbruglia said:
CGV 14:0
Aladdin 118k
Endgame 23k
Aladdin is now 98% like.. wow. WOM is strong.
That’s one of the highest I’ve seen on here. Are musicals big in S. Korea or was Aladdin really popular here? The way the WOM is OS and DOM, it really seems it could’ve done $1b if it had better marketing and was a well made film with less flaws.
-
4 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:
I think we’ll be seeing a lot more of Naomi Scott after this, and I wouldn’t mind a bit.
She’s the reason I was rooting for the movie to do well. Liked her since Lemonade Mouth and she was good in Power Rangers too. And if the Charlie’s Angels reboot is good, this’ll be her breakout year.
Also, Aladdin’s RT All audience score continues to climb. Now 89%.
-
13 minutes ago, Blaze Heatnix said:
I've just read Olivia Wilde's tweet... Well, if she wants to promove her movie, more power to her.
However, I don't like when people tell me what should I watch or not. I hope Olivia understands that people will watch whatever they want and not because someone is asking them to do or not.
I think she's wasting her time. That's it. I have no interest to see her movie, but there are many people interested about it ( I presume ). So, if people want to see her movie, they will see it. No need to worry about it, Olivia. Thanks.
We’ve already beaten the various meanings of her tweet to the ground in this thread, but this is a new one.
You say you’re fine with her promoting her movie, then you say you don’t like being told what to watch. But isn’t that what all movie promotions are? Studio marketing departments trying to tell you what to watch, constantly bringing their movie to your attention. How else to you know about a movie or decide to watch it if you don’t get told? The Aladdin and Godzilla tweets being promoted are essentially doing the same her tweet is doing.
-
7
-
1
-
-
3 minutes ago, RtheEnd said:
Quick stop by
say Al 29, JW3 8.8, AEG 6.8,PDP 5, BB 24
-
2
-
8
-
-
4 minutes ago, dakus said:
I expected it to be female skewing, but 59% surprises me. I was expecting closer to 54-55% personally.
Does anyone remember that BaTB was for the demographics?
Per Deadline:
QuoteBeauty And The Beast is different from female-skewing predecessors like Hunger Games, in that it’s pulling in attendees who don’t always frequent the movies. How do we know this? Essentially, when there’s a majority of 2D business. In Beauty‘s case, 2D is repping at least 60% of all business. Those who don’t attend the cinema frequently will always go for 2D pricing, while the die-hards opt for Imax, PLF or 3D. Nonetheless, everyone is going to Beauty And The Beast from grandparents to the millennial girls who grew up with the property. That group between ages 18-34 account for close to 70% of Beauty‘s audience according to ComScore/Screen Engine’s PostTrak.
On CinemaScore, 72% females showed up on Friday night, with 55% 25 and up. The under-18 set, who gave the movie an A+, represented close to a third of the audience. Also giving Beauty a perfect score were the under-25 set at 45% and 18-24 (16%).
For the 3-Day OW:
QuoteFinal Disney reported demos: 60% females, 40% guys with 74% business in 2D
https://deadline.com/2017/03/beauty-and-the-beast-weekend-box-office-selling-out-1202045224/
-
1
-
-
19 minutes ago, MagnarTheGreat said:
RE: billion dollar films
Lots of space for some $1B+ films available. So far there's only 2 this year.
So for the past 4 years, there’s been at least 4 $1B grossers. Means we’re due 2 more. TROS and TLK are near certain imo. Finding Dory, Despicable Me 3 and Minions were all $1B+, so we have to fill that animated movie slot, which will likely be Frozen II. And there are other possibilities like FFH and Hobbs & Shaw. Toy Story 4 depends on reception and while I think Jumanji 3 will decrease, it’s another possibility. We might end up with 5-6 this year. 6 would be a record.
-
So the RT audience score went from 88% to 93% for Verified and 78% to 88% for All. I’m more surprised about the jump in the All audience score. 10% increase in 2 days. I haven’t paid much attention to other RT audience scores so not sure how it compares. It looks like it’ll settle here and will likely start dropping over time like most movies.
-
Based on the trailers, Booksmart reminded me of Superbad. Don’t know how similar it actually is, but they’re both R-rated high school comedies. Maybe they started promoting it late. Didn’t even know it existed till a couple of weeks ago. Definitely would’ve done better with WB or Sony.
-
It’s funny to me that there’s been an Aladdin vs. Godzilla thing going on. The movies are so different, they’ll both be fine if the GA like them. There’s no need to get upset about either or hope for one to fail.
-
8
-
-
12 minutes ago, Water Bottle said:
@MadmenEndgame is now restricted from being able to access the site with his account.
Nice try, but you’re never going to be able to get rid of Shivampa and his many alts if that Not Cool reaction is anything to go by. 😂
-
31 minutes ago, Nova said:
Okay? I didn't realize a good RT score meant a great box office run.
Judging by how its doing in the UK and how it's tracking, I'm not expecting much from it.
Edit: 91% with 11 reviews and a 6.0 rating?
Gotcha. I wasn’t implying it would do great and didn’t realize it’s out anywhere yet. Just surprised by your statement and went to check RT as I assumed that’s what you were basing it on.
-
1 minute ago, Nova said:
I will say that judging by SLOP2 being a nothing burger, Aladdin may end up having a pretty good run in terms of legs for MDW openers. Not much competition until Toy Story 4 comes out.
Nothing burger? It’s 91% on RT...
@Barnack, didn’t realize that. Guess they will make some on streaming.
-
4 minutes ago, RealLyre said:
the home video/Blu-ray and streaming sales will cover most of the P&A costs so you don't need to worry about that. Aladdin will be a success if it can bring back the production budget from the theatrical run.
There won’t be any streaming sales if it goes straight to Disney+, but it should have healthy home video sales. 3x the prod budget gives it $550m. Should be able to get there. That’ll cover the P&A costs. Especially since going based off the international threads, Disney didn’t market the movie as much as they could’ve.
-
4 minutes ago, Nova said:
But someone just said $8.4M and you said no and went all the way down to $7M.
This was literally 20 minutes ago….and there's a pretty big difference between $7M and $8.25M for a Thursday preview.
I think he was replying to that poster that, based on previous expectations, $7m would be a better number for the preview. But if he was to be even more optimistic about it, $8.25m would be his pick.
-
6 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:
I am expecting from Friday pre-sales. They are healthy.
So if I’m understanding this right, the better than expected number isn’t the preview, it’s that it might have a good Friday? Which might translate to a good OW...
-
1
-
-
1 minute ago, RealLyre said:
it'll be interesting how the verified RT score and Cinemascore will correlate with each other. As far as I know those 2 are now the only online scores from people who actually have 100% seen the movie right?
it's currently at 90% verified audience rating so I think this should translate to an A or A+ Cinemascore. We'll see.
I don’t think it’ll be A+. It’s better than people expected and fun to watch, but no one is saying it’s amazing. I’d say A- based on these reactions.
-
1
-
Aladdin live action movie | 24 MAY 2019 | Disney | 7th most profitable movie of 2019. Disney does it again!
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
I don’t get your point. Aladdin was overshadowed by the Genie in the animated movie too and I’m guessing you weren’t complaining then. Also most have said Aladdin was good, but Naomi Scott played a great Jasmine. Plus, it’s Will Smith. Just as it was Robin Williams 27 years ago. I’m actually glad Jasmine is getting more praise. That’s the something better it seems they’ve done with the live action.