Lucasmessi12
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Everything posted by Lucasmessi12
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Black Panter 2= will drop domestically, but continue flat or even slightly increase OS. Wonder Woman 2 = I doubt it will drop in domestic market (the incredible 4x multiplier prove that first movie was loved by audience), legs obviously will not be like those of the 1 movie but OW will be much bigger. OS will increase 100% certainty. Aquaman 2 = may drop a little OS, but quite likely to continue above $720m+ OS, domestically should remain at the same level. Captain Marvel 2 = certain that will drop OS (without the big Endgame tie en boost ), domestically is likely to drop as well but not much like in the OS market.
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Shazam! OS Thread - 221.5M OS - 357.8M WW
Lucasmessi12 replied to PanaMovie's topic in International Box Office
Maybe it's a signal to WB and DC needs to be dark again? -
Shazam! OS Thread - 221.5M OS - 357.8M WW
Lucasmessi12 replied to PanaMovie's topic in International Box Office
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DUMBO (2019) | $237.5M Overseas, $352.2M Global
Lucasmessi12 replied to Purple Minion's topic in International Box Office
It looks like it's going to make the numbers I predicted $220m- $ 230m OS. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Lucasmessi12 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I'm sure Shazam will make at least $60m OW, these Fandango pre sales comps means nothing (US is another example), and I remember very well in December 2018 in Aquaman's debut week, Mary Poppins was going to do more than Aquaman because they were selling pretty much the same, and that DC movies were a lot more presales heavy than Disney live actions and blah blah and What happened? these predictions all failed! And Lodrnox and Matthew are obvious trolls accounts (most likely from old members of this site, I doubt they are new). Just ignore what they say. -
CAPTAIN MARVEL | 701.4 M overseas ● 1128.3 M worldwide
Lucasmessi12 replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
CM made $34.2m on Monday to Wednesday last week (but was somewhat a bit inflated by the holiday in Mexico last Monday). -
Shazam! | April 5, 2019 | 21st Most Profitable Film of 2019
Lucasmessi12 replied to Neo's topic in Box Office Discussion
Ant Man made $519m WW (budget of $130m and probably more spent on marketing as well), and still got a sequel, just saying... Shazam has a budget around $90m, and I do not think Shazam will make less than $500m WW. -
DUMBO (2019) | $237.5M Overseas, $352.2M Global
Lucasmessi12 replied to Purple Minion's topic in International Box Office
I think i overestimate it, most likely $220m-$230m OS -
Shazam! | April 5, 2019 | 21st Most Profitable Film of 2019
Lucasmessi12 replied to Neo's topic in Box Office Discussion
I think your projections will be totally wrong. -
CAPTAIN MARVEL | 701.4 M overseas ● 1128.3 M worldwide
Lucasmessi12 replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
Guardians of the Galaxy 2 has an international run very similar to CM. In the end week ending May 7, 2017 GOG2 made $ 123.8m weekend OS. https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/comscore-announces-official-worldwide-box-office-results-for-weekend-of-may-7-2017-300452807.html A week later ending on May 14th GOG2 made $52.2m weekend (estimates) and And $101.8m on full week, bigger than CM $95m this week (I'm already including actuals CM numbers). https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/comscore-announces-official-worldwide-box-office-results-for-weekend-of-may-14-2017-300457247.html And after that GOG2 ended up making $89.5m more OS until the end of its run (total $473.9m OS), if CM continue to behave the same as Guardians of the Galaxy 2, will end up around $680m. In the week ending May 21, 2017 GOG2 made $28m weekend and $46.4m full week. https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/comscore-announces-official-worldwide-box-office-results-for-weekend-of-may-21-2017-300461144.html If CM has similar numbers this week, it will end around $680m-$685m OS. -
DUMBO (2019) | $237.5M Overseas, $352.2M Global
Lucasmessi12 replied to Purple Minion's topic in International Box Office
$250m OS - China + $ 50m in China = $300m OS -
CAPTAIN MARVEL | 701.4 M overseas ● 1128.3 M worldwide
Lucasmessi12 replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
But there were holidays in some countries during the days of this week, right? who inflated the weekdays a bit? I said it was going to be difficult to reach $700m OS because of this weekend drop that was not good (we'll see how much it will go up with actuals numbers). -
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CAPTAIN MARVEL | 701.4 M overseas ● 1128.3 M worldwide
Lucasmessi12 replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
I do not think it will reach $700m OS, this weekend's performance was not great at all, and it's competing against nothing, Dumbo debut next week, and Shazam the following week, and movies often suffer when new blockbusters debut (especially in international markets). I think it wll ends between $685m-$690m, but of course I will not be shocked if CM reach $700m.. -
Shazam! | April 5, 2019 | 21st Most Profitable Film of 2019
Lucasmessi12 replied to Neo's topic in Box Office Discussion
Shazam will make $70m + in OW, just wait and see. -
You're right, Aquaman would not have made 1 billion in November, it would make $ 1,150 billion. If Aquaman had hit the billion "only" because it was released in December, Bumblebee would have to made 1 billion as well, Bumblebee was a far more recognized character by the international audience than Aquaman was.
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Shazam! OS Thread - 221.5M OS - 357.8M WW
Lucasmessi12 replied to PanaMovie's topic in International Box Office
$400M. -
Shazam! | April 5, 2019 | 21st Most Profitable Film of 2019
Lucasmessi12 replied to Neo's topic in Box Office Discussion
SHAZAM Is trending WW on twitter. -
brazil Brazil Box Office Thread
Lucasmessi12 replied to Fullbuster's topic in International Box Office
Very likely it will make more than R$150m, I would say between R$175m-R$200m, will depend on the exchange rates to know how much it will be in U$ Dollar. -
Shazam! | April 5, 2019 | 21st Most Profitable Film of 2019
Lucasmessi12 replied to Neo's topic in Box Office Discussion
I would not take those comments that Shazam "screams America" here seriously, some of these people are just trolls or biased.