Cooper Legion

Well, below 1B is a bit of a disappointing result for an MCU movie at this point. Don’t see what’s so inflated about that.

ThFSS equivalent for FFH was only 140 or so imo. Doubtful SM3 can 200 even with the cliffhanger.

Not great for Sonic, not awful. This thread being so dead is kind of a bummer, albeit many OS threads are dead right now because we’re lacking in movies doing big OS business. If someone provides me a source for where to see weekend numbers (is $R or USD) I’ll make sure there’s at least one post per weekend.

Shazam OS-C-J 15.7 WTh 56.3 FSS 30.4 weekdays 31.3 2nd wknd BOP 7.8 WTh (49.7%) 38.7 FSS (68.7%) 14.1 weekdays 23 2nd wknd (73.5%) Shazam added ~50M after 2nd weekend, maybe 40-50M for BoP although possible VD bump makes me nervous. OS still headed for about 125+5 from J imo, exactly what I had last weekend. DOM maybe 95, 225 or so finish.

People hoping VGMs will be the CBMs of the 20s just don’t want to acknowledge that CBMs will be the CBMs of the 20s.

Sonic+BB3 over every 2020 movie

Sonic targeting Bad Boys opening figures. Jumanji targeting a 10th weekend above Endgame. Now, I know what you’re thinking — “but Arendelle, wasn’t Endgame notoriously frontloaded? Are its late weekends really meaningful comparison to anything?” Well the thing is... that was the weekend it got rereleased and increased over 200%

This doesn’t seem at all realistic with the history of kids/family bumps on the post-Pres Friday. E.g. 5 2 The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part $2,192,036 +94.9% -50.2% 3,833 $571 $75,796,075 15 6 4 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle $1,346,038 +132.3% -27.9% 2,519 $534 $382,980,253 66 4 2 Peter Rabbit $2,845,620 +116.3% -30.1% 3,707 $767 $61,591,322 15 2 2 The Lego Batman Movie $4,249,572 +136.9% -42.2% 4,057 $1,047 $118,256,150 15 4 2 Kung Fu Panda 3 $2,875,390 +131.6% -25.3% 3,448 $833 $107,479,974 22 4 3 The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water $4,013,127 +108.4% -37.9% 3,680 $1,090 $113,684,961 15 1 1 The Lego Movie $7,275,739 +169.2% -43.2% 3,890 $1,870 $158,985,835 15 9 5 Frozen $1,023,438 +125.6% -40.1% 1,891 $541 $380,727,773 92 I think you’re underestimating the effect of the weekday break. Thursday being just 33% bigger turns a +200% Fri into a +125% Fri.

Sunday being inflated hurts the 3-day multiplier though. Someday I will look more thoroughly into how those two factors net out with each other.

Optimistic: 3-18-23-18-13 (75M 4-day/62M OW) 5-3.5-3 (86.5 Oweek) 6.5-13-8.5 28M 2nd wknd (-55%) 1.5 (116M 11-day, 41M Tues-Mon) 116+41*5/3=184M

3-18-21-16-11 would be nice

I don’t think it’s a Great idea to complain Now about specific aspects Of a movie when we Really don’t know how things will be Executed

What about the 300M+ hit currently making over 6M in its 10th weekend 😛

3*PB won’t happen

Suicide Squad made 700s without China, they have a great CBM director on it. No need to be worried about TSS when it will do 2-3x BoP or so

Very true. Likely going to lose money even after TV and streaming,

**Clexa flashbacks intensify** Can we not do the Kit as lead vs Richard as lead fanboy wars, guys? It’s supremely dumb, even by fanboy war standards.

I’s 3+18=21 OD. Despite the 20% diff there, the next 3 days look great as is 😛

Yeah, bugged out as of this morning.

Alita’s overall open was solid (relative to expectations) but the Mon % was baaaaaad. Made some sense for an adult skewing movie on a holiday that’s more school than work (e.g. JW2 also -48%) but Sonic previews:OD indicates more actual family business. Maybe it will play as more of a middle ground of Maze Runner: Death Cure -27% or AQM -32%, but I think that will still take Mon over 10 more likely than not.

I guess we will have an idea from Sat and Sun %s, but I think this will play much closer to kid/family comps than Alita of all things.

I dunno, Lego Movie was President’s 2nd weekend but did 12.8(VD)+20.3+16.8+12.6 Even Lego Batman 10M Monday with just 32.6 3-day. Below 10 for Sonic will be a disappointment for me after this Fri. Edit: Peter Rabbit -4% Pres day. Spongebob -19%, KFP3 -25%. If Sun clears 14M or so just don’t see below 10.

Poke true Fri ~14, so call it 3+18 or so for Thurs+Fri. Maybe 3+18+19+16+12 or so for 68M 4-day. More pessimistically knock a mil off each of SSM for 65

But not the #1 piece of Harley Quinn audio-visual media released on Feb 7th