Cooper Legion
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Everything posted by Cooper Legion
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Weekend Thread (14 Feb - 17 Feb) - Sonic 58M/70M
Cooper Legion replied to Eric Prime's topic in Numbers and Data
The #1 2nd place movie in America -
Weekend Thread (14 Feb - 17 Feb) - Sonic 58M/70M
Cooper Legion replied to Eric Prime's topic in Numbers and Data
I’m not particularly confident in how Sonic legs out, but it’s got a clean runway until Onward. 1.6x BoP just didn’t have the same je n'ais ce quoi -
Weekend Thread (14 Feb - 17 Feb) - Sonic 58M/70M
Cooper Legion replied to Eric Prime's topic in Numbers and Data
Then what kind of line would you have needed for Sonic more than double BoP domestic -
Weekend Thread (14 Feb - 17 Feb) - Sonic 58M/70M
Cooper Legion replied to Eric Prime's topic in Numbers and Data
Hope Sonic and Parasite walkups can hit that projection. Wouldn’t be too bad for Photograph but given the nature of the movie it’s probably dropping Sat, so wouldn’t be too good either. -
Weekend Thread (14 Feb - 17 Feb) - Sonic 58M/70M
Cooper Legion replied to Eric Prime's topic in Numbers and Data
Still on 60+ -
Box Office Theory's Most Anticipated Films
Cooper Legion replied to AniNate's topic in The Speakeasy
Ooh, yikes, I just knew of it as “that Jessica Chastain female international spy movie.” But with a director like that it’s probably dropping off the list next week. -
Box Office Theory's Most Anticipated Films
Cooper Legion replied to AniNate's topic in The Speakeasy
At long last, a truly worthy top 3. Never again must I know the pain of only having two eligibles. Wandavision 1) Eternals Falcon and Winter Soldier 2) Shang-Chi Black Widow Raya Jungle Cruise Mulan Lovebirds 355 Dune 10)No Time to Die -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Well, “much” is fuzzy, but basically yes. I think the amount of people who’re aware that movies functionally open on Thursday and go then if they’re interested but not even necessarily all that hyped has grown, even for Pixar originals. I think a Pixar original doing IO’s OW numbers in summer would probably have 7M+ previews, but not one releasing on a schoolnight Thurs like Frozen was. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I think it’ll do fine, but IO made the DOM top 30 and I dunno if Onward makes the top 130 -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
2015 was a different era than 2020 for previews, but I doubt Onward finds anywhere close to IO levels of success. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
On the other hand, Pika did just 9.5 as a non-sequel. Seems almost unbelievable in retrospect. The Fri and Sat PS make me think 50s for the true FSS should be the most likely, would be mid 60s+ for 4.5-day -
Jumanji and Frozen franchises are really strong in top 10s/movie. 12.5 for Frozen, ~12 for Jumanji (well, I guess 10 and change counting the 1995 version). Are there any other multi-entry franchises in the double digits for average top 10s? I guess if you count them as a “franchise,” Aladdin, The Lion King, and Beauty and the Beast all score quite well with the original+remake. Seems sketchy though. Maybe should restrict to 21st century only.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Don’t be silly, of course not. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Alita Thursday OD, or Alita Fri? Both present some complications. If you can see Pika I would start there. -
Black Widow | July 9 2021 | ScarJo secures the bag from Disney
Cooper Legion replied to Kalo's topic in Box Office Discussion
CM WW-C ~980M FFH ~930M CW ~970M Those are all the McU movies that made 1B+ without being a top 5 monster DOM or WW. BW, frankly, would be very lucky imo to be on that level. WW-C 850 would be excellent, and I think whenever movies are actually getting released in China again, even with all the shuffling around and competition, it’ll make enough there to be close to or slightly over 1B. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
When you see Sat flat from (true) Fri, it’s people pricing in Valentine’s Day -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Did you mean D-0+ D-1 “OD” or D-1 OD? -
Looks like ~90k OD for LW. Egg starts at a strong 98, though probably not maintainable.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I guess Canada has no appreciation for fast blue hedgehogs