Cooper Legion
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Everything posted by Cooper Legion
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Birds of Prey 113.4m OS 195.8m WW
Cooper Legion replied to Jamiem's topic in International Box Office
Figure people will want this for reference. Shazam: 15.7M Thurs cume 28.7M OS-C Fri cume Initial est 71M OS-C Sun cume actual 72M OS-C Sun cume afaik markets should be identical, both have Japan later and everything else day and date? Went to about 176M OS-C-J finish, x2.44. Now, Shazam got Endgamed, I think Birds can do x2.6+ though obviously OS reception will be a determinant as well. Btw, expect a lot of comparisons to Shazam, Ant-man, and Captain America:The First Avenger(!) in the deadline writeups -
Shazam! OS Thread - 221.5M OS - 357.8M WW
Cooper Legion replied to PanaMovie's topic in International Box Office
Wonder what could have brought you to this thread I’m looking for daily nums for BoP reference. -
Box Office Theory's Most Anticipated Films
Cooper Legion replied to AniNate's topic in The Speakeasy
Wandavision 1) Eternals Falcon and Winter Soldier 2)Black Widow Raya Jungle Cruise Mulan Lovebirds 355 Dune No Time to Die 10)WW84 -
PSm will beat this, maybe low 40s. High 200k weekend may be possible.
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Weekend Thread | Birds of Prey $33.25M Weekend
Cooper Legion replied to TMP's topic in Numbers and Data
This is a very iHeartJames comment -
Weekend Thread | Birds of Prey $33.25M Weekend
Cooper Legion replied to TMP's topic in Numbers and Data
Welcome back! -
Birds of Prey 113.4m OS 195.8m WW
Cooper Legion replied to Jamiem's topic in International Box Office
Italy Thurs OD -24% Shazam Wed OD, -~20% Shazam Thursday Day 2. -
Weekend Thread | Birds of Prey $33.25M Weekend
Cooper Legion replied to TMP's topic in Numbers and Data
Not that this is a particularly rigorous or consistent or predictively useful ratio, but I had some time to kill: MoS x13.85 previews to total BvS x11.9 SS x15.85 WW x37.5 JL x17.6 AQM x35.2 SHZ x23.8 Joker x25.2 Doubt this replicates the WOM summer fueled WW or Christmas fueled AQM. OTOH with previews low shouldn’t be in the super low zone either. Maybe 20-30x for 90-135 or so? -
Weekend Thread | Birds of Prey $33.25M Weekend
Cooper Legion replied to TMP's topic in Numbers and Data
8x4 32 8x5 40 -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
No one will win the deadline vs buzz thread competitor this time, because Deadline is just using our range 😛 -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Wow, really exploded at MTC4 in a way that doesn’t match what we often see with this size release from MTC1,2, or the olden days of Pulse. Curious about the keyser data, but maybe there are just regional differences in PS runs at play. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Shush now, how am I supposed to know that I’m saying something reasonable without the patented Kenny stamp of approval? -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I’ve got 40 as the O/U point until/unless keyser shows up and tells me same day preview sales are going well. -
Birds of Prey 113.4m OS 195.8m WW
Cooper Legion replied to Jamiem's topic in International Box Office
A 50 could, in theory, though I think BoxOfficePro is right on the money with 2.75 legs in their most recent long terms forecast. A 40, not so much. 40*2.75=110 is roughly what I’m feeling atm. -
1 The Closet South Korea Feb 05, 2020 $571,478 ($1,300,749) 82,773 (187,459) 1,130 41.61% 2 BIRDS OF PREY (AND THE FANTABULOUS EMANCIPATION OF ONE HARLEY QUINN) U.S. Feb 05, 2020 $249,518 ($673,547) 34,876 (93,154) 961 18.16% 3 The Man Standing Next South Korea Jan 22, 2020 $196,889 ($32,404,168) 28,642 (4,419,911) 799 14.33% 4 HITMAN: AGENT JUN South Korea Jan 22, 2020 $130,994 ($16,312,427) 21,120 (2,247,486) 679 9.53% 5 Miniforce : Deeno the King of Dinosaurs South Korea Feb 06, 2020 $33,270 ($55,229) 5,229 (8,128) 367 2.42% 6 Little Women U.S. Feb 12, 2020 $36,897 ($92,326) 4,911 (12,627) 22 2.68% 7 JOJO RABBIT U.S. Feb 05, 2020 $27,213 ($82,165) 4,135 (12,060) 244 1.98% Birds already 35.5k for today on KOBIS, settle 36-37ish. Fri CGV PS actually a slight drop from Thurs anemic 5.7k, guess I will forecast 35k or so. With numbers like this hopefully the Coronavirus fears are affecting the weekend more than I realized.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Just under 30% level and 25% pace is consistent with a day or two ago. Would be ~4M, but D-0 should be able to pop more in %? -
Birds of Prey 113.4m OS 195.8m WW
Cooper Legion replied to Jamiem's topic in International Box Office
150 DOM seems... optimistic. I’d consider 80% of that a good result at this point. Could we see 95+140? I hope not, but I wouldn’t be shocked. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
With respect to industry tracking, it’s not as sophisticated as the data we get in this thread at this point. Even if walkups drive the previews to 5.5, 50M would be a lot to ask of the internal multi. -
Can’t say I particularly care about this news personally. I think this will be like Civil War in terms of event status and connection to other properties, and I was totally ready for Feige to hire some rando and ghost direct it. On the other hand I don’t have any objection to Raimi if Feige thinks that the culture fit will work. Neutral on it, like I was neutral on Derrickson. And of two options I’m personally neutral about, gotta consider the one that evidently has a lot of other people hyped to be an upgrade.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
37% increase in daily sales doesn’t seem like what you’d wanna see on a T-1 where great reviews dropped. Hoping MTC1&2 outpaced that. -
Birds of Prey 113.4m OS 195.8m WW
Cooper Legion replied to Jamiem's topic in International Box Office
I know that “well reviews are good, maybe it will leg well with WOM” is a natural response to a possible lower than hoped opening. But as a word of caution I think it needs to be said that Shazam had really good domestic reviews as well, probably even better than where BoP will land. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Children notoriously hate having to watch TV and movies