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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. I was thinking 2-2.5x the weekend and ballpark 5 from Japan
  2. From opening Saturday. I guess now I’d say more like 85+130. WThF were shockingly low, but it’s been a remarkably predictable/normal run since then.
  3. The idea that only China+SK+Japan will be significantly affected may be comforting, but it’s also rather unwarranted. Talking definitively about what Disney should do when it depends on the next 35 days of viral spread is just silly.
  4. 5 days before their release date, Detective Chinatown 3 and the rest of the CNY slate was expected to make over $1B. Now nobody knows if they’ll even see the light of day before June. Virology can hit like a speeding freight train. Delaying Mulan’s release worldwide just because of China is foolish. Delaying it because of China+minor corona #s in Singapore+South Korea+Japan+Iran+Italy is unlikely. Delaying it because of medium-major corona numbers in those markets+India+France+Germany+Spain+Australia+New Zealand+Southeast Asia would be another thing entirely. I hope Disney won’t be in a situation where the pros of multi-continental indefinite delay outweigh the cons, but I don’t think it can be totally ruled out at this point.
  5. Expected BRAHMS: THE BOY II (2020) CALL OF THE WILD, THE (2020)
  6. That’s why you always need at least one hour of run rate to go along with the level 😛 Anything in the 20s is well better than I expected. Fox getting bought is justice for awful budget decision like this.
  7. Nah. Those didn’t really matter for Frozen at that point. Very small % effect
  8. It was 80% 25 and up. Seniors movie. Dead nights.
  9. Depending on Dec strength I think the F1 date can be slightly better. But basically agreed, despite not being the best for LA or Japan holidays if you have to day and date it late Nov is a great spot to be.
  10. This weekend is a snooze. Nothing to even really care about with KO, Jumanji, or Parasite in terms of milestones and records. Maybe Para can snag a top 3 20th wknd or something
  11. Wandavision 1) Eternals Falcon and Winter Soldier 2) Shang-Chi Black Widow Raya Jungle Cruise Mulan Lovebirds Dune No Time to Die 10) Soul
  12. Gretel is Super Bowl deflated. Black Christmas was able to do 4.2 off just 230k, for 18.4x My guess is 300x15 or so. Still no critic or audience RT 😂 Call of the Wild at 100% Aud
  13. Frozen 3 or Incredibles 3 seem like the most obvious candidates to me.
  14. How’s Brahms OD looking, if it’s not too much trouble. As putrid as the Thurs?
  15. At this rate we need a 2020 version of @ElsaRoc’s club 😛
  16. Black Christmas 10 Underwater 17 Horror has been on an epic streak since the holiday season began.
  17. Haha, brutal commentary on F2. I kind of agree though. This market was a disappointment in the end.
  18. Yes, it is. Smaller films are going to come out, sure, that we expect to miss 1B. But just because we expect them to be low doesn’t mean they aren’t low.
  19. Frozen 2 will likely win in Deadline’s profit estimates. The diff of 200M in gross is about 90M in revenue given their similar DOM/OS-C/C splits, so Frozen’s 110M advantage in production budget will put it ahead.
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