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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. Cooper Legion
    Deadline would have cut Birds some slack if it opened on this weekend.
  2. Cooper Legion
    Bummer, but also not that surprising. Are other holdovers looking normal, or muted?
  3. Cooper Legion
    Deadline saying stuff: https://deadline.com/2020/03/onward-opening-weekend-disney-pixar-coronavirus-invisible-man-1202876016/
  4. Cooper Legion
    Won’t necessarily be a May opening, but it was probably going to be the lowest since Thor without covid. I mean, “lowest MCU May opening since Thor” could still be a top 30 all-time OW.
  5. Cooper Legion
  6. Cooper Legion
    https://variety.com/2020/film/news/onward-box-office-opening-way-back-1203526213/ Onward 38-40 TIM 14 Way Back and Sonic battling around 8
  7. Cooper Legion
    Great. Thanks as always for the sales info. I’m sure you went over this a few times when you were getting up and running, but what do the numbers with decimals mean again?
  8. Cooper Legion
    In the absence of covid, 115/306 is a very reasonable guess at legs, and a totally plausible if a bit lower than my own estimate OW. Obviously LRFs for 8 weeks from now have almost no bearing on what will really happen though.
  9. Cooper Legion
    50% + sequel drops are perfectly common. Especially for animation with a 5-10 year sequel gap. The worst performing Pixar movie is TGD with ~130M adjusted and lukewarm reception.
  10. Cooper Legion
    How is The Way Back looking? @charlie Jatinder as well, if you’re still awake.
  11. Cooper Legion
    I floated a hypothetical where it finished with a 100M DOM total. John said it would make “the same amount” without coronavirus. This is a clear claim that Onward could finish at 100M under normal conditions. There’s a lot of info we don’t have, but we do have more than enough to identify that idea as laughable.
  12. Cooper Legion
    Marketing expenses don’t really kick off until the next trailer. Guess they figure (probably correctly) that they can wait another week or two to delay. Even if F9 snatches the Aug 7 date, they can put this in Free Guy or Jungle Cruise’s spot and move them to wherever.
  13. Cooper Legion
    Look, clearly overall holdover gross is going to be a better guide than openers anyway. But with where tickets stood Wednesday night, and reception, a 39M debut would be a pretty clear sign of Covid impact to me. And please keep in mind that the first signs aren’t going to be a 50% slash or something, just 5-10% or so.
  14. Cooper Legion
    They were losing way more than 125-180 with the April date.
  15. Cooper Legion
    See, it’s ridiculous nonsense like this that reduces your credibility when it comes to the subject.
  16. Cooper Legion
    This take is not gonna hold up well in 72 hours.
  17. Cooper Legion
    Would not be surprised with something like 40->100 and a neverending debate about what it would have made without covid
  18. Cooper Legion
    Wandavision 1) Eternals Falcon and Winter Soldier 2) Shang-Chi Black Widow Raya Jungle Cruise Mulan Lovebirds No Time to Die Soul 10) Uncharted
  19. Cooper Legion
    Very poorly worded in retrospect. I’m been in enough arguments now with oblivious people (not just this site, primarily elsewhere) that I’m going to feel a sense of grim vindication when they start to wake up. But the underlying cause is horrific, and if it was within my control I’d keep conditions such that 90+ remained plausible. I still think Mulan will move, tbh.
  20. Cooper Legion
    Watching that tracking plummet below 50 will be a treat.
  21. Cooper Legion
    That’s happening in DOM too, they’re just clueless. OS could be better by virtue of China being on the upswing and better mitigation measures in SK/Japan.
  22. Cooper Legion
    It actually is helpful to note that the sky is falling when the sky is, in fact, falling. Coronavirus situation is much worse than many still realize. I don’t want people to react with panic, but realizing the seriousness of the situation and taking appropriate steps would be beneficial.
  23. Cooper Legion
    Although, coronavirus induced production delays could wreak havoc on the 2021 schedule. We’ll see how that develops.
  24. Cooper Legion
    Raimi has been working on it for a while and they’re fully on track for DS2’s date.
  25. Cooper Legion
    It’s not just an OS issue. OS may be better than DOM in a month.
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