It was a bit of an unorthodox stat, especially without a “true” for emphasis. I think the point was to compare more fairly with Thanksgiving Pixar openings which have 0 preview component.
Yes, unfortunately the CFR of 5% suggests that there are probably still many undiagnosed cases. Containment failure at this point seems pretty clear, and health infrastructure failure is following. But Spain/France/Germany/UK/US don’t seem to be learning the right lessons from Asia and Italy.
Wishing the best for all Italian members of our little community.
Indeed, barring a wild Sunday, this take did not hold up.
This is the weekend that it should have impacted domestic $$$, guess I just underestimated the obliviousness of US audiences 😬
Probably shouldn’t have brought TLK in given summer vs not-summer.
Basically it sounds like I underestimated overall legs difference in the market 2020 vs 2010, I wonder what the exact stats on that are.
BOP’s initial long range tracking was 73/215: http://cms.pro.boxoffice.com/featured_stories/2010-01-weekly-anticipation-index-2
Weekend forecast of 82M: http://cms.pro.boxoffice.com/featured_stories/2010-03-updated-weekend-actuals
I believe Sat bumps will suffer across the board as covid awareness is higher than it was on Fri, and Sun drops will suffer across the board as covid awareness is higher than it was on Sat. Not a huge effect in either case, but shaving a couple tenths off most internal multis. Hopefully end up wrong on that though.
My gut says this is on the A side of A- whereas Cars 2 was on the B+ side of A-.
Zootopia has a massive 4.1x True IM, but imo this will be lucky to hit HTTYD3’s 3.6x.
2+9.5*3.6->36. 100 could be tough with covid
FWIW young people are actually incredibly safe from the virus. Though they can still engage in spread to vulnerable groups, so minimizing infections in the young is still important.
I wish there was a source for Pixar adjusted OW PTAs. Old Mojo was so nice.
Btw I’m not going to start a club because it would be in incredibly poor taste, but the smallest overall weekend of the domestic box office in the 2000s is Sep 15, 2000: https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-chart/weekend/2000/09/15
with 54.2M
It would have seemed like an unbeatable record given inflation, but now I’m wondering if it will be beat in the next 8 weeks.