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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. F2 drop looks merely okay to me. More of a 480 indicator than a 500 indicator
  2. Day is as seen in morning. Weak daily bump for F2 compared to other movies, but it did have the best Mon hold by a fair margin so I guess that balances out. Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 ASHFALL South Korea Dec 19, 2019 $2,143,477 ($45,723,636) 309,840 (6,284,457) 1,276 35.38% 2 Forbidden Dream South Korea Dec 26, 2019 $998,117 ($6,735,718) 147,145 (962,972) 962 16.47% 3 START-UP South Korea Dec 18, 2019 $927,480 ($18,345,500) 132,584 (2,522,408) 842 15.31% 4 Midway U.S. Dec 31, 2019 $902,033 ($914,170) 128,368 (129,861) 775 14.89% 5 Frozen 2 U.S. Nov 21, 2019 $377,235 ($96,533,725) 55,046 (13,368,674) 621 6.22% New Year’s CGV PS 18k, forecasting 75k total for the day.
  3. @Eric Laurence, @WrathOfHan, this is how you do controversial
  4. International is a done deal, whereas WW could be pretty close, so I assume that’s what they meant. Maybe like a 10% chance at this point.
  5. Probably not *everything.* But only the weaker 50-25% of movies might drop below for the next few years, and then maybe none.
  6. With Uncharted looking to move now, the time has never been better to move this up to TFA’s prime calendar spot and shuffle West Side Story elsewhere (25th?)
  7. I was actually happily surprised this morning to find that C.S. Strowbridge over at the numbers had a very cogent take: https://www.the-numbers.com/news/243840830-Weekend-Estimate-Skywalker-Heads-Earthwards
  8. I think you’re dead wrong on this @doublejack. The events of Wandavision will be extremely important to the plot of this movie, and D+ shows will be equally important to the plot of the MCU as movies — some shows less important than some movies, and some movies less important than some shows. Ultimately we’ll just have to wait and see, but I feel like you’re applying a very outdated mindset about the mediums.
  9. Daily actuals Dec 27, 2019 1 $26,069,973 -15% -71% 4,406 $5,917 $315,866,789 8 Dec 28, 2019 1 $25,075,535 -4% -47% 4,406 $5,691 $340,942,324 9 Dec 29, 2019 1 $21,244,082 -15% -47% 4,406 $4,822 $362,186,406 10 Pretty decent Sun drop relative to Sat, less so vs Fri
  10. I don’t think the situation will be remotely comparable to Agents of Shield tbh. That didn’t have a real influence on the MCU, high production value, or much broader buzz. No guarantees that Wandavision or Loki will either, but the potential is there at least.
  11. I am actually intensely curious about how Wandavision and Loki could affect this. If the 20 weeks before release have like 12-16 weeks of episodes that connect to it in some way and drive conversation kind of like The Mandalorian, that’s a crazy element of additional marketing that no other movie in history will have had. Like releasing a movie connected to the Mandalorian this weekend.
  12. Midway doing about 100k on Eve. Frozen 2 lucky to pass 60k imo. CGV PS 12k, will forecast 53k.
  13. I’ve been enjoying it so far, but it is bogged down with the seemingly increasingly common “whole first season is a prologue” syndrome.
  14. Whoever is maintaining the title, the Fri/Sat numbers are pretty outdated now and it’s throwing off the wknd figures. SW 26.2/25.3/21 72.5M | Jumanji 11.7/12.4/11 35.1M | Frozen 6/5.85/5.3 17.15M
  15. Franchise history for MCU Spider-man (all ranks contemporaneous peak): OW SMH 117M, 29th FFH 136M*, 28th, +.63% monthly DOM SMH 334M, 49th FFH 391M, 38th, +.65% monthly OS SMH 546M, 54th FFH 741M, 27th, +1.28% monthly WW SMH 880M, 49th FFH 1.132B, 23rd, +1.05% monthly This is the only sequel coming up where Endgame doesn’t fall between, and I don’t necessarily expect it to perform that much better OS or WW. Maybe 25th/20th or so, thanks to FFH’s cliffhanger. Domestically I feel there’s a bit more room for improvement, perhaps to 25th/30th or so. By July 2021 that 25/30/25/20 should translate to about 155/425/810/1235, which is monthly growth of reasonable .55%/.36%/.37%/.36% Final verdict: Mild downgrade 155 OW 425 DOM 810 OS 1235 WW I hope they turn in a remarkable movie and beat these numbers to keep the threequel trend alive.
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