Cooper Legion
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Everything posted by Cooper Legion
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Day is as seen in morning. Weak daily bump for F2 compared to other movies, but it did have the best Mon hold by a fair margin so I guess that balances out. Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 ASHFALL South Korea Dec 19, 2019 $2,143,477 ($45,723,636) 309,840 (6,284,457) 1,276 35.38% 2 Forbidden Dream South Korea Dec 26, 2019 $998,117 ($6,735,718) 147,145 (962,972) 962 16.47% 3 START-UP South Korea Dec 18, 2019 $927,480 ($18,345,500) 132,584 (2,522,408) 842 15.31% 4 Midway U.S. Dec 31, 2019 $902,033 ($914,170) 128,368 (129,861) 775 14.89% 5 Frozen 2 U.S. Nov 21, 2019 $377,235 ($96,533,725) 55,046 (13,368,674) 621 6.22% New Year’s CGV PS 18k, forecasting 75k total for the day.
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@Eric Laurence, @WrathOfHan, this is how you do controversial
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International is a done deal, whereas WW could be pretty close, so I assume that’s what they meant. Maybe like a 10% chance at this point.
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WrathOfHan and Eric's CONTROVERSIAL Predictions of 2020
Cooper Legion replied to WrathOfHan's topic in Box Office Discussion
Also 140/360 for WW84 -
WrathOfHan and Eric's CONTROVERSIAL Predictions of 2020
Cooper Legion replied to WrathOfHan's topic in Box Office Discussion
Frozen is increasing 20-25+% or so 🤔 -
WrathOfHan and Eric's CONTROVERSIAL Predictions of 2020
Cooper Legion replied to WrathOfHan's topic in Box Office Discussion
Yesssssss, Yesssssss. Let the controversy flow through you! -
I think you’re dead wrong on this @doublejack. The events of Wandavision will be extremely important to the plot of this movie, and D+ shows will be equally important to the plot of the MCU as movies — some shows less important than some movies, and some movies less important than some shows. Ultimately we’ll just have to wait and see, but I feel like you’re applying a very outdated mindset about the mediums.
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I am actually intensely curious about how Wandavision and Loki could affect this. If the 20 weeks before release have like 12-16 weeks of episodes that connect to it in some way and drive conversation kind of like The Mandalorian, that’s a crazy element of additional marketing that no other movie in history will have had. Like releasing a movie connected to the Mandalorian this weekend.
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Midway doing about 100k on Eve. Frozen 2 lucky to pass 60k imo. CGV PS 12k, will forecast 53k.
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Franchise history for MCU Spider-man (all ranks contemporaneous peak): OW SMH 117M, 29th FFH 136M*, 28th, +.63% monthly DOM SMH 334M, 49th FFH 391M, 38th, +.65% monthly OS SMH 546M, 54th FFH 741M, 27th, +1.28% monthly WW SMH 880M, 49th FFH 1.132B, 23rd, +1.05% monthly This is the only sequel coming up where Endgame doesn’t fall between, and I don’t necessarily expect it to perform that much better OS or WW. Maybe 25th/20th or so, thanks to FFH’s cliffhanger. Domestically I feel there’s a bit more room for improvement, perhaps to 25th/30th or so. By July 2021 that 25/30/25/20 should translate to about 155/425/810/1235, which is monthly growth of reasonable .55%/.36%/.37%/.36% Final verdict: Mild downgrade 155 OW 425 DOM 810 OS 1235 WW I hope they turn in a remarkable movie and beat these numbers to keep the threequel trend alive.