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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. Verified vs unverified just can’t compare. 86% verified is a medium score, pretty in line with the B+ CS, which most recognized as a sign of bad WOM.
  2. I wonder if Disney will give a typical Disney Sunday lowball. If it’s heading for a real 66, would they give an official 63 or something? Imagine the headlines.
  3. Missing 459,005,868 would be a funny parallel with 2015, but doesn’t seem remotely likely to me still.
  4. Just as a mental exercise, full on Doomsday: 26 22 16 64 wknd, 354 cume. Add 5/3 the weekend (Smaug 7/3rds) is 107, for 461M. Reasonable expectation more along lines of: 26.2 22.5 17.5 66.2 wknd, 356 cume. Add 2x wknd for 488M F2 vs TROS is back on, I guess.
  5. J and F numbers meh as well. Maybe Sat as a whole will diverge from 2013 performance. Can hope for a better Sun if so.
  6. 26 would not be a shocking miss, but even with break Saturday early part should be a bit stronger than Friday so I dunno if running even is a good sign to avoid Jat’s projection.
  7. It’s possible that I am undershooiting OS, as I did these a bit casually. Many of your DOM:OS ratios seemed a bit high, but I didn’t consult a bunch of historical data. Doing so now, 4:9=30.7% DOM would be a franchise low for solos and matched only by Endgame itself. Admittedly that franchise low was Thor2 with 32%, but a Thor3 rebounded to 37%, so I feel fine with 34.6%. OTOH maybe things will reach a new level of OS heaviness post Endgame 🤷‍♂️ The next dozen or so should all be a lot easier to predict after we’ve got the first 2,3,4 of ‘em, but I assume going essentially blind is most of the fun here in the first place 😛
  8. I’ve got some time to kill, so I guess I’ll also throw some very far off predictions into the ring. I am pretty skeptical about over 3x legs from a sequel in the April/May slot though. 215 600 700
  9. If I was Iger I’d be trying to lock him down for a movie or three ASAP. Maybe with enough of a pause to do some smaller projects between Love and Thunder.
  10. Hmmm... divorce... Adam Driver starring... it all makes sense! The ST is a longform advertisement for Marriage Story
  11. I won’t comment on exactly how much until we get weekend estimates tomorrow, but this looks way high. DOM I’d give more like 490-540. I have not been paying much attention to specific country totals for TROS, but the overall OS looks too high by a similar amount. Maybe Os diverges from DOM with a solid hold this weekend though 🤷‍♂️
  12. Well that’d be 53M, so no pessimistically like, 63% at worst. But considering calendar factors and weekday gross it’s really bad.
  13. He did give a number for Sat, it was just inside like 6 spoiler boxes for drama. I’ll use only one
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