Cooper Legion

Actually yes. The #1 movie in history was the culmination of a 4 movie big franchise run by a directing duo who like to subvert expectations for the sake of it. They’re just able to recognize exactly when and how that can be made to work.

Good location for response. I shouldn’t have mentioned Rian in weekend in the first place, too tough for people to leave the topic alone. Speaking of Fanboy Wars, there are no more fanboy wars. For a war you need at least 2 groups of similar enough strength, and nobody is close to MCU. 60% of 2019 top 5, absolute dominance. Prepare for same feat in 2021.

Just sayin’

Pessimistically 9 WW has gotta be on the table, if 8 is.

Hmm, could be 177 or even lower. -4% Sat is pretty unfortunate too.

89+49+40=178, *2.8 would do the trick. I think that’s very very unlikely with the calendar configuration, but 🤷‍♂️

Frozen if it hits 4.9 is up 48.5% from Dis Fri (up less from act Friday I suspect). F1 was +51% with same calendar, so looks pretty normal and even strong to me. Friday was just break benefited.

He did it all to let Knives Out have a stronger hold this weekend. True 12D chess

Rian Johnson is having the last laugh this weekend

SK will probably be same. Maybe 50% drop but from a number that makes it pretty I rrelevant.

Yeah

Yup. Jat noticed it yesterday, I think atm he thinks the True Friday was like 66.5-67.5, but I lean a bit more like 65-66.5. There are some posts about it in this thread somewhere, but also some still on the current page of buzz.

Standard bump isn’t really 9-10%. TLJ about 7%, TFA unclear but maybe 2-5%ish. Proximity to break would deflate TROS’s a bit too.

The actual Thurs/Fri split isn’t provided, even to Jat (or Rth afaik, but they’ve been at this longer so maaaaaaybe?). Data that is available is for true Friday only, and incomplete. But it strongly suggests that the True Fri should be higher than the OD actual minus 57, so previews being lower is just a well-educated conjecture and exactly how much lower is unknowable.

Yeah, I couldn't really comment when I saw them cause I had a couple other things going on, but the demographic splits almost give me more pause than the CS. It seems like almost as many M25+ showed up to TROS as TLJ, maybe more. But then the other 3 demos dropped by an even greater % than the overall drop. It almost reminds me of how Disney SW has been rejected in newer OS markets. Disney can’t be happy with that when they had to be hoping (and trying to actively pursue) exactly the opposite trend for long-term reasons.

TFA was a crowd pleasing WOM monster. Very much doubt TROS will hit the -45% or so needed for 100M. Take the under on 90.

Yes, unless something goes wrong on holidays thinking AEG is dead and we can target Ode to My a Father and Along With the Gods: The Two Worlds.

Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 ASHFALL South Korea Dec 19, 2019 $6,078,463 ($12,347,527) 797,415 (1,680,504) 1,971 55.64% 2 START-UP South Korea Dec 18, 2019 $2,150,027 ($6,236,118) 281,332 (869,027) 1,022 19.68% 3 Frozen 2 U.S. Nov 21, 2019 $1,075,722 ($90,592,224) 144,300 (12,601,899) 836 9.84% 4 Sin-bi-a-pa-teu Geuk-jang-pan Ha-neul-do-ggae-bi Dae Yo-reu-mun-gan-deu South Korea Dec 19, 2019 $940,116 ($1,241,423) 136,652 (181,366) 810 8.6% 5 FORD v FERRARI U.S. Dec 04, 2019 $233,675 ($7,849,134) 29,711 (1,037,437) 273 2.13% 6 Jumanji : The Next Level U.S. Dec 11, 2019 $201,744 ($7,183,464) 27,260 (1,000,621) 408 1.84% Final CGV exactly as expected, but a pleasant surprise with CGV ratio at under 46%, very strange. CGV PS are flat at 31k, thanks to break. Sunday should see a very nice soft drop to 140k or so. Cats PS are 145k D-02 145k. Forbidden Dream D-04 9k, not a big PS movie clearly.

May have to move AoU’s opening out of the disappointment bucket at this rate.

Now that we”re about to have a sample size of 3, there are several things* about the Disney main Saga weekend behavior that make a lot of sense if TFA’s OD actual of 119.119 is more of a 54-65 split and very little sense with a 57-62 split. They key here is that Disney doesn't need to actually “fudge” anything for the discrepancy to arise, because there are only 2 numbers that actually get reported by Disney (or any other studios): preview estimate and OD (preview+true Fri) actual. If the preview actual is below the preview estimate, which is especially understandable if you’re doing 50% more preview business than the record, this won’t show up in any kind of “preview actual” on Monday because the convention is to pretend like previews are a part of the Friday daily. So the quantity of “OD actual minus preview estimate” vs “True Fri actual” actually has a small % error for all movies, not because of any effort to mislead from any studio but because of basic reporting conventions. In this case it makes sense that a relatively large % error is possible because of the unprecedented nature of the preview gross, and we’re just saying that of the plausible actual splits of — e.g. 60+59, 59+60, 58+61, 57+ 62 (what has been historically assumed because of the preview est), 56+63, 55+64, 54+65, 53+66 etc — the latter ones are a lot more consistent with certain public data and certain private data. *Those things include: 1) Preview to true Fri bump 2) true Fri to Sat bump 3) true Fri to true FSS multiplier 4) true Fri est from Rth 5) true Fri est from DL (late night est, not joke est) 6) comscore details I won’t share without approval 7) comscore details I won’t share without approval

Look at the posts directly above yours...

Found this on reddit. Got a feeling it might be pretty reliable though

Frozen added 10.6x this weekend with same calendar, what a friggin beast. Wir2 8.3x Coco 8.9x (Sun Christmas Eve) Moana 8.8x (Sat Eve, Sun Christmas) BH6 8.8x