Cooper Legion

Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 Frozen 2 U.S. Nov 21, 2019 $811,006 ($76,589,597) 123,063 (10,938,995) 1,461 42.42% 2 FORD v FERRARI U.S. Dec 04, 2019 $330,828 ($4,128,561) 48,005 (556,747) 948 17.3% 3 A Little Princess South Korea Dec 04, 2019 $183,394 ($2,065,776) 29,507 (319,583) 683 9.59% 4 KNIVES OUT U.S. Dec 04, 2019 $163,791 ($1,980,324) 24,507 (285,475) 655 8.56% 5 START-UP South Korea Dec 18, 2019 $82,456 ($82,456) 18,717 (18,717) 110 4.31% 6 Last Christmas U.S. Dec 05, 2019 $114,878 ($1,244,192) 17,502 (179,071) 603 6% Damn, off by almost 2k -37% weekly Wed CGV PS flat at 17k, just going to forecast 125k again. Jumanji 3 CGV PS 14k, based on KO and FvF last week let’s say roughly 60-80k today? Seems it will be well behind Frozen for its OW, which might be $4M or so? Jumanji 2 opened to $6M or so 5-day and had unremarkable legs to $13M. Edit: Also, you may notice there were almost 19k limited previews for START-UP. I did not realize those were happening, and it skewed the KOBIS PS numbers for it. If there are more limited previews sometime in the next week it could be skewing the overall PS number further.

Legendary. What is dead may never die.

Nah, we can all agree that. The reaction has been completely fucking ridiculous and overblown. It’s mind boggling and concerning.

Likes are 5.2% of views, seems like a pretty normal ratio though admittedly it’s not a stat I often track. BW 24 hours was 5.5%

Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 Frozen 2 U.S. Nov 21, 2019 $790,819 ($75,841,934) 117,655 (10,815,899) 1,426 44.51% 2 FORD v FERRARI U.S. Dec 04, 2019 $350,454 ($3,800,590) 51,007 (508,708) 947 19.72% 3 A Little Princess South Korea Dec 04, 2019 $164,734 ($1,883,933) 26,093 (290,074) 657 9.27% 4 KNIVES OUT U.S. Dec 04, 2019 $158,347 ($1,817,885) 23,714 (260,945) 640 8.91% 5 Last Christmas U.S. Dec 05, 2019 $112,757 ($1,130,159) 17,334 (161,553) 587 6.34% GGV PS for Tues are up to 17k, let’s aim for 125k admits.

Seem like it will be about halfway between 105 and 135 in the end. Morning was nearly as good as last Mon, but the nights are starting to get really dead. With new pattern the next 3 days should be more dialed in. It’s still a solid drop in low 40s.

Amen Avengers WHATIF? Coming for that 1B Animated OS

When it’s too small/late in run for a Sunday estimate from studio, won’t see an update on Mojo til actuals on Mon — or even later. If Ad Astra had done gang busters in China maybe we’d have had an update today.

The 127 does not include China yet. 130 Club is dead thanks to China, will be like 131-132M or something. RIP in pieces.

*squints* *removes glasses* *sprays glasses* *scrubs glasses* *puts glasses back on* Maybe more like 135k. People are walking up.

Mmm. Trying to hit the top quartile of MCU, in other words.

Dangerous phrase. I agree that trailer metrics are weaker than I expected though.

Black Panther made the WW top 9, so if you don’t at least shoot for that it’s basically spineless

Yeah, took a closer look later and my average case scenario was just 20M short. 80% range obviously wider than that, so fingers crossed. If it makes top 10 could stay for like 2 years potentially.

But what about Free Guy and Scoob?

The idea that BOP+WW84+TSS+Battinson+Black Adam+DC Super Pets+Aquaman 2 are more “exciting” than BW+Eternals+Shang-Chi+DS2+Spidey3+Thor4+BP2 is transparently contrarian nonsense written for clicks. The latter will have stronger average/aggregate trailer metrics, Domestic performance, overseas performance, and very likely critical and audience reception. And that’s fine. There are still many eventualities where those things are true and the former movies are highly successful, and that’s what people should focus on rather than some unwinnable dick measuring contest. Edit: I should clarify that’s it’s good for individuals to be excited by what they’re excited by, many many many people on the planet will be more excited for the former set of movies, and if the author is one of them that’s all well and good. The issue is with implying it’s true for a majority of folks or in some objective sense, both of which are pretty ill-supported notions.

Re: unopened markets Crude estimation but they should be good for maybe 50-60M is rest do ballpark 900. Venom’s 180-200 from top 11 current markets seems a bit conservative to me, just the top 3 can reasonably be 140+ thanks to how movies perform in Japan. Other 8 had a 48M week or so, so they should add 50-75ish. Maybe 920-980 in my books, but Verrows club still looking dire.

I think April-May for Eternals. Bet we get the F&WS trailer sometime in early spring though.

Is there any chance at all for Jojo to come out on top of those three? I know you guys aren’t directly New Zealand, but you get some peripheral effect, right?

I like Gal as Diana, but Steve, Max Lord, and the 80s setting aren’t really doing it for me. Not enough of Cheetah to say, how she works out probably makes or breaks the movie for me 🤞

Good seeing you back, but I understand the feeling. Ciao for now.

Jumanji opens this week but looks remarkably weak. 8k KOBIS at D-02 Local 시동 (START-UP) opening the week after, 45k D-09. That might put a dent in, but F2 won’t need that many screens by then and looks like very different demos targeted.

Some relatively good news from ROW. Of course comparing opens to opens is tricky when the first was a legs movie in a lot of markets.

4 episode premiere yesterday. 2 a week for the next 3 weeks. Hoping the episode count on the “last season” is like 52

Think we are missing top 10, bummer. With ERs it’s not as bad as it looks, but DOM is underwhelming.